Tuesday, August 21, 2012

Election Concerns 2012.

Two Roads for America , Like the 2000 election . Each of them a hard choice , each of them have both grave consequences .

Here I have gathered up some election concerns , dubious with a little biographical on Obama and Romney . I going to have to say that we have reached  an epoch here in the United States , and before us again is two roads . Back in 2000 Al Gore ran against George D Bush . A great majority voted for Gore , and as we know there arose an election controversy .The election was noteworthy for a controversy over the awarding of Florida's 25 electoral votes, the subsequent recount process in that state, and the unusual event of the winning candidate having received fewer popular votes than the runner-up.[1] It was the fourth election in which the electoral vote winner did not also receive a plurality of the popular vote. Later research showed that by the standards requested by the Gore campaign in their contest brief and set by the Florida Supreme Court, Bush would have won the recount. [2] However, had the Gore campaign asked for a full, statewide recount the same research indicates that Gore would have probably won the recount by about 100 votes statewide, consequently giving him Florida's electoral votes and victory in the Presidential election.[3] [4] Such PAST consequences sure enough come back when there are vary close POLLING NUMBERS ! As today, Obama is just slightly ahead of Romney . Both are ambitious  men , both of them have vary diffently philosophies .What can be said at this point is that, after three years of pitched battles between Obama and congressional Republicans, the country is heading toward a high-stakes contest. Election 2012 will be a contest not just between two candidates but also between two starkly different views of the role of government that underscore the enormous differences between Republicans and Democrat

The economy

The years leading up to the 2012 election have been an absolute economic shitstorm. This can go one of two ways. If the economy regains some lasting strength, it will be a big boon for Obama. If it continues to falter, especially in light of the eurozone crisis, people may look to Romney for solutions.

The wars

People are so tired of the war in Afghanistan and continuing instability in Iraq they might not even care. Contrary to virtually every election in the last 60 years, the Republicans are unlikely to attack their opponent on being "soft on terror." The reason for this is that Obama's foreign policy remains one of the most popular aspects of his presidency, with major victories such as the killing of Osama bin Laden. Combined with the increasing dislike of the Afghanistan War in the public, foreign policy is unlikely to be a major issue, unlike previous elections [Social issues often become more important when the economy is healthy, and white Christians can go back to telling other people how to live. Romney, however, is a former social liberal, once claiming to be more for gay rights than Ted Kennedy. He has since edged himself to the right on social issues, but it is likely that he will not focus on these issues as much due to his reputation as a flip-flopper.HEALTHCARE The major provisions of Obamacare will not come into effect until 2014, but the Supreme Court ruling on elements of Obamacare will no doubt play into the campaign. As people prepare to comply with the new law, if they like what they see, it might strengthen Obama's position. SCOTUS ultimately uplheld the whole law, in a 5-4 descision.At the same time, Republican nominee Mitt Romney remains infamous for passing a very similar type of health care reform previously while governor of Massachusetts. During the health care debates of 2009-2010, he strongly advocated for such a system to be instated nationally, making it difficult for him to attack the President's own health care plan. Citizens United - a wild cardThis Supreme Court decision, which allows corporations (including non-profits and unions) to spend whatever they want on political advertising, may play an unpredictable role in both the primary season and the general election. As one example, Karl Rove's PAC, American Crossroads, has pledged to spend $240 million to defeat Obama - more than three times their 2008 expenditure.[1] As of June 2012, Obama likely faces being outspent in his campaign as a result.[2]

Democratic Party

Barack Obama
Age: 51
44th President of the USA
Advantages: Sitting President; charismatic and eloquent; extremely strong fundraising; had an unparalleled field operation in 2008; voters' preferences for a divided government may turn in his favor with the Republican capture of the House in 2010; issued the order to kill Osama bin Laden; disappointed supporters may turn out for him anyway considering the nature of the Republican race. Sizable numbers of Republicans prefer Obama to the alternative,[3] as do ordinary voters.[4] As of now, the economy is just barely improving.[5][6]
Disadvantages: Obama's historically poor approval ratings returned once the bump that came from the killing of bin Laden subsided. While Obama's popularity increased around February 2012, public opinion is volatile, especially given the tentative nature of the economic recovery.[4] Obama has disappointed many left-wing supporters with such policies as keeping the prison at Guantanamo Bay open, re-signing PATRIOT, and killing an American citizen who was also a senior al-Qaeda operative with a drone, and also by lacking the Jedipowers that would have been necessary to make the Republican bloc in the Senate not filibuster any bill to create anything resemblinguniversal health care. He cannot rely again on his 2008 campaign tactics, and will be primarily judged on the state of what has, until recently, been a remarkably sluggish economy. His "foreign" policy  is weak , and confusing , he side stepped Congress on Libya . Leaving the Arab Spring in the hands of extremists. 

Primary challengers

No notable Democrats came forth to challenge Obama for the nomination, although anti-abortionist Randall Terry, formerly active in the Constitution Party and who has also run for office as a Republican, entered the Democratic primaries against Obama mainly in order to run graphic pro-life ads.[7] He ran strongest in Oklahoma and carried several counties. Likewise, a handful of other obscure primary candidates have had strong showings and carried several counties in Louisiana and West Virginia. But those are three states where Obama is highly unpopular among rank-and-file Democrats, many of whom are social conservatives, and there are no serious threats to his renomination.

Republican Party

Mitt Romney by Gage Skidmore 3.jpg
Mitt Romney
Age: 65, appears 40 thanks to hair dye.
Former governor of Massachusetts
Advantages: He can appeal to moderates and independents, and could potentially put MichiganWisconsin, and even Massachusetts,major states that the Republicans have not won in decades, into play. He has significant experience in both business and as Massachusetts governor. Has access to substantial funding both because of his own wealth and the support of super-PACs, and has been outraising Obama's campaign for quite some time.[8] VP choice Paul Ryan could bring over disenfranchised conservatives due to his experience with economic policy.
Disadvantages: He's too moderate for many Republicans, particularly in the current political climate. He has flip-flopped on several key conservative issues (notably abortion), and his Mormon faith may also hurt him with the Religious Right. His state health care plan for Massachusetts ("Romneycare") looks an awful lot like "Obamacare." He is derided by some as a man who "looks like the guy who laid you off" (and his company, Bain Capital, a typical private equity firm, actually did "downsize" many employees at its targets). Massachusetts ranked 47th in job creation during his time as Governor.[9]
No one actually likes him, although his programmers have learned well how to simulate human emotion.[10] Given that (unlike previous GOP candidates) he has not focused a large part of his campaign on national security issues, he has changed his position multiple times on social issues, and it is difficult for him to attack the President on health care, much of his campaign relies on the assumption that the economy will stay stagnant. Because of how complex the economy is, this is essentially leaving his campaign up to chance.
Adding insult to injury, he has conspicuous bank accounts in several tax havens and is sitting upon years of tax returns, which isn't exactly looking good to the public. While VP nominees usually "balance out" a ticket (like a fiscal conservative running with a religious conservative), Ryan will spell doom for votes in (at least) Florida as he is a former Randroid and isn't particularly known for his social conservatism either. His earlier proposal to voucherize Medicare wasn't popular with Republicans, let alone independents. Romney's plan for Medicare is nearly identical as well.[11] 
His foreign  policy should watched at a glance should he take office . His support for Israel's use of force against Iran could possibly engage the United States into another Dangerous war in the Middle East.

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