Saturday, April 11, 2015

Iran Deal. The Nitty Gritty.

Double Dealing for Iran.
More American money headed to Iran.
For the most part the Iran Nuclear deal deserves a look . HONESTLY ( as I see it ) ## this deal was more about getting Iran involved in the war to fight the Islamic State terrorists , than preventing Iran from getting a bomb. The Wall Street Journal reports the suggestion underscores the wide gaps that still exist between Iran and the world powers who reached a framework deal April 2 that would limit Iran’s nuclear abilities and mandate international inspections. In exchange, sanctions imposed over Iran’s disputed nuclear program would be scaled back. So what is up with Iran ? Over the years ever since President Reagan , Iran was the part of the so called axis of evil. Like wise the Iranian mullahs have named  ***America as the 'Great Satan'. This name calling all starts because of 30 years of so called sanctions .Convincing China, Russia, Germany, UK, France and most of the UN General Assembly that stronger Iranian sanctions and ultimately war is something that Middle East "allies" have little or no power to control The major premise of  (3)> WaPo that Obama must convince Mideast allies that Iran is not being empowered, thus, is false. Middle East 'allies" never will be mollified. yet it is the world of nations that must be persuaded if stronger sanctions and war must be undertaken. So far, it appears that other large and small nations do not support such undertakings. Yes, why all the smoke and mirrors and not a diplomatic solution? Strange, but this is the first time Iran has even been at the table in what, 35 years? . (5)>  The United States had put Iran on the backwater for so long that much of why the middle-east is falling apart because of it. Since 1979 when the Iranian revolution began , and the whole episode with the American Hostages , one of the underlining issues was not just the Shah who was the center of the hostage deals  &  why the Americans were held so long back then , most of all the issue of (4)>  billions of dollars of assets that the old Shah kept ( if not stole ) from the Iranian people that were sized by the our  American government . However ever since the 1980's  we have been dealing with Iran in much the same way President Reagan did  using his "Iran- Contra" debacle . Now the issue of sanctions has come up.  The United States has said that sanctions removal on Iran will be phased gradually, but Iranian officials, including Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, have said that sanctions on Iran must be lifted as soon as a final agreement is concluded. (1)>  Yet under the deal Obama is now trying to sell, not one of these is to be dismantled. Indeed, Iran’s entire nuclear infrastructure is kept intact, just frozen or re-purposed for the length of the deal (about a decade).The response to criticism of this "framework" is that critics offer no alternatives except war. This is a false choice. There are 2 alternatives that have been proposed. No lifting of sanctions and the crippling effect on Iran's economy will continue to limit Iran's ability to more effectively wage war. Second, walk away from the table insist on a stronger deal (more concessions by Iran) keeping sanctions in place. In short, no deal or a better deal is arguably preferable to this deal. The urgency to get a deal "now" is born out of the political imperative of giving Obama a "win" and burnishing his legacy. Remember that in September 2007, US News & World Report stated: "Amid deepening frustration with Iran, calls for shifting Bush administration policy toward military strikes or other stronger actions are intensifying." And in June 2008, President-to-be Barack Obama declared: "The danger from Iran is grave, it is real, and my goal will be to eliminate this threat." For most of the warmongering by BibiPrime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu warned last Saturday night, adding that he hopes the deal will not come to fruition. Listen up everybody. Iran is not going to detonate a nuclear device within Israel. 20% of the Israeli population is Arab and detonating a device there would ruin society and civilization for a 100 miles around. Use your heads. let's see if we can steer Iran to the development of crucial nuclear power generating systems so it can desalinate water for the region. Let's see how the 70% of Iran's population which is 35 years of or younger responds. So all else is in God's hands. Iran has agreed to cut its number of centrifuges from 19,000 to around 6,000; it will reduce its stockpiles of enriched uranium by 97 percent; its breakout capacity (i.e., ability to produce material for a bomb) has been extended from 2-3 months to one year; its nuclear facilities at Arak and Fodrow will be modified and converted to peaceful purposes, and Iran will allow for intrusive IAEA monitoring at both locations. That’s another reason why this framework is a big deal: Iran has agreed to unprecedented verification and supervision of all its facilities by the International Atomic Energy Association. IAEA inspectors will not only have access to the entire supply chain that supports Iran’s nuclear program, as well as to its uranium mines, but Iran will be required to grant access to “suspicious sites” or covert facilities anywhere in the country. There is no other country in the world that has open itself to this type verification by to international inspectors.

## THE “KEY parameters” for an agreement on Iran’s nuclear program released Thursday fall well short of the goals originally set by the Obama administration. None of Iran’s nuclear facilities — including the Fordow center buried under a mountain — will be closed. Not one of the country’s 19,000 centrifuges will be dismantled. Tehran’s existing stockpile of enriched uranium will be “reduced” but not necessarily shipped out of the country. In effect, Iran’s nuclear infrastructure will remain intact, though some of it will be mothballed for 10 years. When the accord lapses, the Islamic republic will instantly become a threshold nuclear state. ***Bush invades Iraq and is excoriated for not finding WMDs. Obama doesn't invade Iran and hands them WMD and the Left is ecstatic.(2)>The end result left everyone puzzled about the value of the deal. A former IAEA inspection chief wonders why the US would leave Iran on the brink of making a nuclear weapon, even if they stay at that point for the next ten years: “I’m a little puzzled by the political agreement,” said Olli Heinonen, a previous inspections chief at the U.N.’s nuclear watchdog, the International Atomic Energy Agency. “You’re going to leave Iran as a threshold state. There isn’t much room to maneuver.” This was confirmed earlier today by Laurent Fabius, the French representative to the talks. Fabius told Europe1 Radio that France wanted to reject the deal, but Kerry preferred to capitulate to Iranian demands to get his “success,” an admission also noted by Arutz Sheva: On Friday, French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius told Europe 1 radio that France had rejected an original of the deal outline as “not solid enough”, and had held out for firmer conditions. However, Fabius told the radio station that the Iranian delegation had responded by threatening to walk out of the talks. The French delegation was considered by observers to be one of the hardest bargainers of the P5+1 countries, a group which also included the U.S., Britain, Germany, Russia and China. Fabius told Europe 1 that France wants a firm deal “to prevent other countries in the Gulf such as Saudi Arabia from embarking on nuclear proliferation.” (3)> The WaPo editorial board seems to be unaware of the standard negotiating tactic of starting out asking for considerably more than you really need and are willing to settle for so that you have room for give and take. In WaPo's view, Obama getting somewhat less than the result he originally posited is a failure of some kind. People practiced in negotiation, whether between nations or when buying a used car, know better. (4)> The QUESTION of the SHAH's money, the  deposed Shah knows exactly how much money he took with him when he left Iran on Jan. 16, 1979. However, a lot of people think they know how much the Shah is worth. The estimates range from $50 million to $100 million, according to ABC's Barbara Walters, to over $1 billion, according to columnist Alexander Cockburn, all the way up to $56 billion, according to the government of Iran.(5)> All our problems with Iran go back to the US/British coup against the legally elected Mohammed Mossadegh in order to install the Shah as our puppet, who would do our bidding in the Gulf and buy our advanced weapons. The Shah was lionized by the US press who just gobbled up the b.s. about his barren queen, Soraya, and his being forced to marry Farah Diba (pictured) in order to have an heir to the Peacock Throne. Behind the b.s publicity was the brutal fact that the Shah's secret service SAVAK tortured and disappeared Iranians in large numbers. Losing our puppet state in the Persian Gulf was an offense the US has never forgiven Iran for, but the fact is that when the revolution took US hostages and held them for a year, (and Carter failed to rescue them), Reagan's people made a secret deal with Iran not to release them til after Carter had lost the election. It's a fact that US offenses against Iran have been and are much greater than anything Iran has ever done to us, and it's a fact that our opposition to Iran's nuclear programme is mostly motivated by the Sunni kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the Jewish state of Israel, who hate and fear the Shia state of Iran. Arabia's goal is a Sunni-dominated Gulf, if only it can topple Assad in secular Syria and Shia Iran. Shia Iraq is already in big trouble with the Sunni caliphate installed now in Syria/Iraq territory. All these jihadi fighters come mostly from Saudi Arabia, which is the lead exporter of terrorism to the entire world. We have a symbiotic relationship with Saudi Arabia: it provides the oil and the terrorists, we provide it with advanced weapons, use it in our vendetta against Russia (to drive down oil prices), and use our War against Terror to wipe out the terrorists that the Saudis provide us as 'enemies' that require wiping out. Everybody gets something.

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