Monday, August 16, 2021

Afghanistan , the end of the "endless" war ?

The Taliban enters Kabul with out firing a Shot ,
enters the Presidential Palace . It's not a shock at 
all but the to the U.S. polarized pro war Media .
YES, It was all planned .


Well all HELL is breaking lose on the American media right now . For a while Pres. Joe Biden enjoined a honeymoon with CNN and MSNBC as the poster boy love child . Biden had the guts to do what Trump could not do , he pulled the troops out . Now the pro war liberal media is attacking him as if he were Donald Trump . The  20 years of training the afghan military by the Pentagon , trillions of dollars of American investments arguably is a problem . First we never should have invaded , occupied Afghanistan  .YOU  remember trump tried to pull by the way this war is bipartisan right as all wars are they're very bipartisan right now the military-industrial complex has a stranglehold on both parties so trump was trying to pull us out of this war because it turns out you can't just invade other people's countries .  (1)>>Since the U.S pulled out of Afghanistan. It has been responded with a mixture of applause but a great sense of anger. Many people reference the years of training and financial assistance to all have it fall apart . Biden's speech , after reading what he said on the latter he is correct , the US trained the Afghan troop 380, 000 strong THEY DID NOT WANT TO FIGHT along side US troops , matter of fact the Afghan troops stared to surrender to the Taliban province by province starting this January with out a fight , basically joining the Taliban . BUT the US STATE DEPARTMENT aka Joint Chiefs knew it . It was NO SHOCK to them what was coming down the pipes. The crazy pro war media outlets like CNN & Military Industrial complex they were blind sided by Joe Biden . It's interesting how the Media is now writing a narrative thatPresident Biden's most senior advisers say there were stunned at the way Taliban fighters were able to advance across Afghanistan while government forces melted away or simply laid down their arms.  "   That is what the spin is right now . What the media did not investigate is for the last 8 months the Taliban were controlling Afghanistan ,  (1.1)>>they were being armed , supplied with money by Pakistan . Pakistan is a Taliban ally . Despite "warnings" of the Pentagon , the sudden withdrawal was ALL PLANNED . 

Donald J Trump & Joe Biden sold out Afghanistan . So Did the Afghan government .

Last Year the U.S. Signed a 
historic agreement with the
Taliban .

It would be great if Afghanistan was working but it's been 20 years and it's mostly not. If it can fall so easily after we leave then it wasn't very stable at all.  (2)>>Americans shouldn't waste their lives or money on something that isn't going anywhere. At some point you have to own up to making a mistake.   By no means is all the blame placed on the Afghani government, but there is little motivation to improve when you have the US military and NATO forces doing all the heavy lifting. We've help to build their security institutions the best we can, but at this point staying longer doesn't mean better results. We can pull out now, or in another 20 years, and the results will be the exact same. Everyone involved should hold their own government accountable for their safety and well-being. I understand that leaving Afghanistan will put many Afghan lives in danger, but to be blunt, that is a responsibility of the Afghan government. There can be many conversations about what should have happened differently, or how smart investing over two decades would have been more beneficial. At the end of the day we cannot fight a forever war. Trump’s former Defense Secretary Mark Esper, who was fired last year after telling Trump that his military commanders were opposed to a drawdown, said both presidents were guilty of the same mistakes. 'The only way this conflict could have ended better was through a political agreement among Afghans that was conditions based, patient, and backed up by U.S. and allied militaries,' he tweeted. After nine rounds of talks between US officials and Taliban representatives in Doha, the capital of the Gulf state of Qatar, President Trump dropped a Twitter bombshell. 'Unbeknownst to almost everyone, the major Taliban leaders and, separately, the President of Afghanistan, were going to secretly meet with me at Camp David on Sunday,' he wrote.   That was last year . 

The Pro War American media meltdown .

Pompeo last year cut a deal with the
Taliban for the peaceful transfer 
of power .

AGAIN this was ALL READY PLANNED .Biden administration’s decision to withdraw all U.S. troops from Afghanistan by September 11, 2021 written on the wall . BUT he made a few mistakes I think , his biggest one was to abandon the US Embassy while China , and Russia are open for business.BUT perpetuating U.S. military engagement in Afghanistan has become a strategic liability and a futile investment that lost the capacity to alter the basic political and military dynamics in Afghanistan. That does not mean that desirable political and security developments will follow in Afghanistan after the U.S. military withdrawal. (3)>>THE AMERICAN MEDIA right now is having a meltdown , both on the Left and the Right . Remember when  Trump administration withdrew from Syria, and it was viewed as abandoning the Kurds, local non-American analysts whom were natives of Asia-Pacific region wrote a bunch of op-eds in major newspapers about the risks of allying with the US - and these were from countries that used mainly American military hardware and whose ports are regularly visited by the US Navy. Even that moved was called by the US media as "genocide" . Trump has again stirred the wrath of his critics by charging that the media can cause wars. His opponents immediately howled that he’d launched another salvo in his ongoing campaign to vilify journalists as the “enemy of the people.”   Joe Biden right now is under attack because he wanted to end a war that he signed onto way Back in 2001 . Did Biden pull the rug from under the Afghani people : YES he did  . I agree that he did . BUT the media misses a point that the Afghan government went AWOL on their own people .Moreover, it was the United States by negotiating directly with the Taliban that provided the group with legitimacy as an important player in the future of Afghanistan. The Ghani government had resisted dialogue with the Taliban, only to see the United States change its approach out of frustration with the Afghan leadership for its deep-rooted corruption and mismanagement, squandering the chance to govern and develop Afghanistan, which allowed the Taliban to maintain support , retake Kabul .


Additional Notes: The Aftermath .

Afghanistan headed for civil war between fighting fractions of the Taliban . Tribalism exists between each group,  non of these warlords are capable of running a country infrastructure , not even knowing of anything about setting up a government . Second , famine , drought will be big news there . It's possible that the Taliban will have to get foreign aide just survive , if it survives war between themselves will have to be seen.

NOTES AND COMMENTS :

 (1)>>Since the U.S pulled out of Afghanistan. It has been responded with a mixture of applause but a great sense of anger. The US has never been interested in “nation building“ in Afghanistan. In fact the US funded nation-wreckers (“mujahideen”) in Afghanistan when they were trying to build a nation. And then left them to the Taliban after that. Then came back and bombed them all.Worse yet since the US invaded Afghanistan the pentagon‘s own audit showed it was totally incompetent in even understand what was necessary for nation building - and spent 100x as much on bombing the country than on any reconstruction.  US presence in Afghanistan keeps the Taliban out of power in Afghanistan. This to some extent stabilizes Afghanistan. US presence has not achieved true stability and the development of Afghanistan as a somewhat strong nation. This situation is not bad for Iran as a strong Afghanistan could be a threat as neither the Talban nor the Kabul government are more likely to be hostile than friendly to Iran. A collapse of Afghanistan and increase refugee numbers would impact Iran negatively too (I think). So this at best neutral to Iran.(1.1)>>they were being armed , supplied with money by Pakistan.  Afghanistan has squarely put the blame on Pakistan for the mayhem in the country.This is because the Afghan officials believe that without help from Pakistan, the Taliban could not possibly takeover Afghanistan. Afghan President Ashraf Ghani chose to spark a war of words between Kabul and Islamabad in recent weeks after declaring Pakistan has played a “negative role in the Afghan conflict”.But this effort to continually blame Pakistan is not only contrary to the evidence available on the ground but also presents a misleading narrative that masks the failures of the Afghan government itself.  (2)>>Americans shouldn't waste their lives or money on something that isn't going anywhere. Wouldn't have made a difference. If sheer weight of numbers was enough to win in Afghanistan, that would've already happened - for the Russians in the 1980s. The terrain simply doesn't work for large-scale invasions, especially with the tactics that the Taliban employed.It would, however, have reduced the chances of ISIS popping up later on without the mess left behind in Iraq - but then there's always the possibility someone else may have appeared elsewhere. (3)>>THE AMERICAN MEDIA right now is having a meltdown .   The Liberal media is having it's worst night cutting down Joe Biden , in almost the same way it attacked Trump for 4 years . BUT the Media's role has a lot of harmful propaganda as we have seen in the last decade .  The Bush administration seemed determined to oust Saddam, and it might have attempted to do so even without strong public support. But most of the media was staunchly pro‐​war, and that bias greatly skewed the narrative presented to the public.  The role of an irresponsible press in shaping a pro‐​war narrative was even more evident in the prelude to the 2003 U.S. military intervention in Iraq. New York Times reporter Judith Miller and other prominent mainstream journalists were especially culpable in publicizing erroneous information about Saddam Hussein’s government regarding two emotionally charged issues. Now they have attacked Joe Biden. It remains to be seen how log he will now .