Saturday, September 19, 2015

California Drought & El Niño.

The last few years high pressure has
dominated the western part of
the North Pacific.
It's official as I read yesterday . Our California drought is the worst in 500 years ! After four years of drought, California’s snowpack levels have already been declared the lowest since records began about a century ago. Now with new information gleaned from tree-ring data, scientists think that California’s snowpack is the lowest it’s been in over 500 years—and maybe even 1000. Who knows precisely ? Even if accurate , then again our state has had "winters" have been a oddball kind . The years between 2012 -2014 have been the warmest winters any native California's have seen . For Climate Changers they'll hit the panic button . In between those years that California was high and dry with mild -warm winters , the entire eastern part of the United States was hit with the "coldest" , blizzard like weather even seen. It';s sort of the flip side of the coin . So we here in California want warm water in out Pacific coast . (1)>>  HELL NO! The warm ocean water is the primary culprit to the California drought .The idea is that a massive column of warm water, 300 feet deep and 1,000 miles across, has been occupying more or less the same location in the Pacific Ocean for more than two years. The warm spot changes shape occasionally and has drifted closer to the West Coast, but its most dangerous feature is its ability to stubbornly dominate a large space.According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the problems started with the ocean-atmosphere interaction known as La Niña, which parked a high-pressure system just off of the West Coast in 2011. That high-pressure system had several effects. First, it rerouted storms that were heading toward the western United States, depriving California and the West of precipitation. It also changed the direction of the winds passing over the Pacific, diverting cold air that normally absorbs heat from
Equatorial Pacific Ocean temperature anomalies for
July in the Super El Niño years of 1982 & 1997
as compared to the same period in 2015.
Images adapted from
 NOAA's TAO Triton
the ocean. Hence, a warm ocean blob emerged. 
The reason: what appears to be a monster (2)>> El Niño in the making. The abnormally warm waters along the equator could mean a wet winter.There are no guarantees, but there have been portents. On one Saturday in July, San Diego got more rain than it got the entire month of January. Most of the "rainy" weather if any one meteorologist has paid any attention is below the "warm blob" that just sits off the coast of Bay Area Pacific Ocean . Warm water is no go to any weather , if the El Nino effect leaves the southern hemisphere moves slowly north of the equator  the weather changes drastically for South America . It has happened before in 2000 years, mostly laying waste to ancient Peruvian civilizations , The (3)>> Nazca and Moche peoples faced server droughts, and destructive weather conditions that basically wiped out those cultures within a 2000 year period. 
Cold water upwells to the surface at the equator to replace it. With El Niño the opposite occurs; the weakening or reversal of the trade winds means not only is heat transport out of the tropical surface ocean reduced, but so too is cold water upwelling at the equator. The weakened trade winds also allow the heat buried in deeper ocean layers in the west to surface and, as this bulge of warm water relaxes under the pull of gravity, to become smeared out across the Pacific. The temporary rise in sea surface temperature associated with these processes is why we now see mass bleaching episodes when El Niño arrives. 

Under Water Volcano's . A THEORY.

volcano, called Axial Seamount
(pictured), would erupt this year.
Near the Oregon coast . Coincidence?
You have all heard of the "warm water blob" that in the northern Pacific Ocean continues to grow and is having a profound effect upon marine animals from Mexico to Alaska, and may be altering weather across the continent.The crazy thing about it is that there has not been any serious scientific research on it . There have been many articles written about it .Nothing for me explains it more as to the cause of the warm water as originating ( or having to do with) underwater volcano's ?. This  mysterious blob  consists of  water that is roughly around 5 degrees Fahrenheit warmer than the typical ocean temperature. While that may not seem like much of a difference, the circular patch of warmth, which started as a small patch of water off the coast of Alaska, has grown to 500 miles across,and is the biggest and longest-lasting temperature anomaly in the historical record. Most Oceanic warm blobs are caused by active undersea (4)>> volcanoes. The area along the California, Oregon , Washington and Alaska coasts it know as the "ring of fire". Which great plate tectonics are at work . (5)>> Axial Seamount, an active underwater volcano located about 300 miles (482 km) off the coast of Oregon and Washington, appears to be erupting, says a news release from Oregon State University.The eruption confirms the prediction by two scientists that such an event would take place there in 2015.Instead, I surmise that Axial Seamount, along with untold numbers of other underwater volcanoes, has been heating the seas for quite some time. That could explain the record-breaking warmth – the so-called “warm blob” – in many parts of the Pacific Ocean right now. Underwater volcanoes appear to be on the increase, leading to an increasing amount of unusually warm water in the oceans. In past times this has resulted in mass extinctions during magnetic reversals and ice ages dating back to hundreds of millions of years.

California Fires . a weather changing phenomenon .

NASA color imagery from
the Aqua satellite
 showing widespread wildfires over Northern
California (remapped into Google Earth).
The (7)>> raging fires in California are no friend to the state. The soot and particles drift upward into the atmosphere creating a natural kind of (6)>>Contrail , which are clouds formed condenses and freezes around small particles (aerosols) that exist in aircraft exhaust. Some of that water vapor comes from the air around the plane; and, some is added by the exhaust of the aircraft. The exhaust of an aircraft contains both gas (vapor) and solid particles. These particles spread that at times cool the atmosphere. Conspiracy theorists  believe that this is part of a secret government attempt at weather modification . Smoke from these fires is nothing to laugh at . The particles can either cool the ground air by blocking sunlight / heat , or raise the temperature by trapping the solar energy like a green house . Just this week we all saw a temperature falling below normal , so a low pressure system moved in and brought the state some needed rain . None the less as of September 18, 2015 the weekend will soon be blanketed with abnormally high temperatures with triple digits inland . Perhaps as a result of the fire and smoke ? Particulate matter contributes to an unhealthy air , not as much as Carbon Dioxide , but its lethal  cousin Carbon Monoxide .For the year, more than 6 million acres -- an area the size of New Jersey -- have been burned, according to the National Interagency Fire Center. For the first time, the U.S. Forest Service will spend more than half its budget, some $1.2 billion, on fighting fires on the vast acreage it manages from the nation’s capital. With 190 million acres of land under its control, the Forest Service is ill-equipped to manage land to prevent fires or protect property once blazes break out, This is an ongoing problem w/ the feds. They are responsible for not allowing people to get rid of dead trees, brush, etc. They deserve a lot of the blame. Hopefully before long, the fires will be out for good, but what about the next fire? And the one after that? It’s illogical to assume that fires this bad won’t happen again and again. It’s not a question of if, but when, the next disastrous wildfire will strike California and other wildfire-prone areas. (Of course, California isn’t the only place contending with wildfires.) . It is no coincidence that forest fires began to get worse just about the same time the modern "environmental" movement came into being and were able to pretty much bring logging to a standstill. Certainly the drought is contributing to this seasons fires in much of Northern California and the NorthWest, but the numbers and intensity of fires were increasing before the drought even came on. Drought can certainly exacerbate fire conditions, but ultimately it is over forestation (fuel loading) that lies at the root cause of the situation. It is no coincidence that the drought in California coincides with severe cooling of most of North American continent landmasses to the East.Many are finally beginning to wake up to the fact that the something is very wrong with the weather. Many are finally realizing something profound is happening in our skies. Some are now finally making the decision to get involved with the fight to raise awareness of the lethal climate engineering programs, but are we already too late? The reason our forest burn hotter and with more devastating consequences is because of the mismanagement of our public lands.  This began with fire suppression and logging. If it's not "climate change/ global warming " as the cause of the California fires and dry weather . The leading cause of it might be California's liberal government doing it's best at mismanagement .

In 1976, climatologists said that that global
 cooling caused drought
 and fires in
and produced catastrophic
erratic weather globally.
(1)>>Tropical meteorologist Dr. Phil Klotzbach said August 2015 monthly sea-surface temperature anomalies in that strip of Pacific water nudged slightly ahead of 1997 for warmest in the modern era"The atmospheric response to the equatorial sea-surface temperature anomalies, measured by their atmospheric ENSO index (AEI), is the strongest event since at least 1948," said Dr. Todd Crawford, chief meteorologist at WSI, the professional division of The Weather Company, in aSeptember-November seasonal outlook. (2)>>The fact that El Niño is likely to last into spring is important for the United States since precipitation and temperature impacts from a moderate-to-strong El Niño are typically most noticeable during the colder months, from late fall through winter.This so called  powerful El Niño now forming, combined with the ongoing ocean warming, suggests that we are likely to see a mass coral bleaching episode that approaches, or exceeds, the worldwide bleaching that came with the Super El Niño years of 1982/1983 and 1997/1998. The 1997/1998 Super El Niño saw 16% of the world's coral bleach, the largest die-off ever observed, and some of this coral has never recovered. (3)>> The Nazca and Moche . El Nino's in South America are not good weather , HISTORICALLY . The Moche civilization ended with a famine caused by El Niño. El Niño causes extreme weather such as floods, droughts and disturbances that affect agriculture and fishing. There are several theories as to what caused the demise of the Moche political structure. Some scholars have emphasised the role of environmental change. Studies of ice cores drilled from glaciers in the Andes reveal climatic events between 536 to 594 AD, possibly a super El Niño, that resulted in 30 years of intense rain and flooding followed by 30 years of drought, part of the aftermath of the climate changes of 535–536. These weather events could have disrupted the Moche way of life and shattered their faith in their religion, which had promised stable weather through sacrifices. (4)>>The volcanic string comes ashore in Calif as Mt. Shasta and Mt. Lassen most East. To the west, the fault separates Pt. Reyes from the rest of N.America then continues south through Silicon Valley Mountains to Los Angeles.The subduction volcanoes are a bit inland with Calistoga as a hot springs. The discontinuity shifts over to the Mono Lake area (with honorable mention for the Sutter Buttes last active about 6 millon years ago and Mt. Diablo too). From Mono, the volcanoes make a line down to the Salton Sea (near L.a. last eruption about 9000 years back) then follow the Gulf of California with active volcanoes to the end…(5)>> The seafloor has also reportedly dropped by almost 8ft (2.4 metres), additionally said to be a sign of magma being withdrawn from a reservoir beneath the summit.It is dubbed Axial Seamount due its location along the axis of an underwater mountain ridge.We just don't know enough about undersea volcanos and volcanic eruptions, for instance just how many are erupting right now, and what impact is this having on heating the seas thus contributing to normal climate change (or evolution which is better way to
look at it). (6)>>Contrail. In 1999, environmental journalist William Thomas published an article that popularized the idea of chemtrails, toxic clouds that the Air Force was testing to control the weather for geoengineering. He based some of his ideas on the Air Force paper, but also on a patent filed in 1991 for a "Stratospheric Welsbach Seeding for reduction of global warming." That patent was related to research into the idea that seeding the upper atmosphere with reflective particles might slow global warming by reflecting sunlight back into space. So Thomas work steered the chemtrail conspiracy away from weather control for combat, and into weather control for combatting global warming.(7)>> The worsening of California wildfires was predicted a while back and has more to do with past practices of firefighting there than anything else. For a long time, they would put out every fire as fast as possible, eliminating even natural rates of forest-clearing by lightning and such. This led to well-documented overly dense growth which has exacerbated wildfires for years, creating an increasing trend in their extent. In a drought year, this leads to record fires.

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