Monday, December 19, 2011

GOP side SHOW Predictions.

Either Newt or Romney will face each other in the process of elimination , one of them will pick the other for Vice- President . 
Like the TEN LITTLE INDIANS that eliminated themselves one by one till only three were left. The Contenders to the White House will only narrowed down to three , and two . Finally after the freak show is over. One of three will be nominated and picked for Vice -President of the United States.With the Iowa caucuses around the corner and the GOP field still unsettled, here are my predictions for how Republican candidates will fare in the first caucuses/primaries of the 2012 GOP presidential contest.The predictions are based on the candidates’ current standing in the polls as well as their respective momentums, fundraising, and campaign strategies going into the home stretch of a dysfunctional race that, due to its twists and turns, has become the year’s most entertaining reality television event.Round One: The Iowa caucuses (January 3)Winner:Ron PaulEliminated: Rick Santorum .Paul’s principled conservatism and passionate following will deliver him a razor thin edge on a three-way tie with Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich, who will slow each other’s momentums with mutual accusations of being wealthy flip floppers. The media will accordingly disregard Paul’s victory as they focus on Gingrich’s apparent inability to capitalize on his national lead, Romney’s “comeback” leading to New Hampshire, and perennial “values” candidate Rick Santorum’s humiliating showing in the Hawkeye state. Round Two: The New Hampshire primary (January 10)Winner: Mitt RomneyEliminated: Jon HuntsmanRomney will deploy his arsenal of cash and political endorsements to win a surprisingly closer-than-expected state. The big surprise will be Paul, who will take second place after riding his Iowa momentum on the back of Gingrich’s latest atomic gaffe. Rick Perry and Michele Bachmann will look to South Carolina’s religious voters, hoping to revive their fading campaigns, as Jon Huntsman’s worse-than-expected showing will end his. Round Three: The South Carolina primary (January 21)Winner: Newt Gingrich Eliminated: Michele BachmannGingrich will take South Carolina after waging a negative, yet effective line of attack on Romney’s religion, pushing him to a not-so-close second place and threatening with prolonging an already bruising primary battle beyond Super Tuesday. Paul’s surprisingly strong third place continues lending momentum to his campaign while setting Bachmann free to start writing books about her failed presidential bid. Perry will stubbornly remain in the race by blowing television ad money all the way to Florida. Round Four: The Florida primary (January 31)Winner: Newt GingrichEliminated: Rick PerryGingrich narrowly defeats Romney, bringing back the narrative of the former governor of Massachusetts’ lack of traction, and splitting the soul of the GOP between an establishment drawn to Romney’s general election appeal and a reluctant conservative base of voters still not convinced by the credentials of the author of RomneyCare. Paul’s momentum will slow down compared to his previous showings, and Perry will finally end America’s most expensive failing presidential campaign to date.  Round Five: The Nevada Primary (February 4)Winner: Mitt RomneyEliminated: Ron Paul. Romney will narrowly defeat Gingrich in Nevada, despite the former speaker of the house’s inferior organization and gaffe-prone demeanor, further exacerbating the Republican establishment’s anxieties about Romney. At this point, the Republican Party’s behind-the-scenes activity will intensify with all the remaining actors assessing their clout and possibilities while listening to what the power breakers have to offer going into Super Tuesday when, following Republican’s order of succession, Romney should be crowned.Paul will brave the headwinds from both the party’s establishment and the mainstream media to modest showings in Colorado, Minnesota, Missouri, Arizona, Michigan and Washington, only to honorably bow out of the race somewhere around Super Tuesday without endorsing any of the remaining candidates (who he believes are not that different from President Barack Obama) and ready for 2016 when he’ll wage another painfully honest, bravely quixotic and sadly utopic presidential run.


Corporate owners of the Republican Party will never allow ANYBODY but Romney (of those left) to win the nomination. Obama will win 2012 because with "war" no longer "IN" Republicans have NO populist appeal whatever. Freedom? Truth is, for seniors like me who always vote? Freedom is having Medicare.

Mitt Romney has 23 days to confront any political damage from what may become the most memorable moment of Saturday night’s debate — the image of him offering to wager $10,000 to settle a bet with Rick Perry over the contents of Mr. Romney’s latest book.
Mr. Romney heads to New Hampshire Sunday evening and will campaign there, in Iowa and in South Carolina in the coming week as he battles Newt Gingrich and his other rivals before voting begins on Jan. 3. The seven remaining candidates will face each other one more time before then during a debate in western Iowa on Thursday night.
The rapidly closing window for campaigning puts new pressure on the candidates and their campaigns to respond quickly and aggressively to offer defenses against bad debate moments — or to take maximum advantage of good ones.
 Though Gingrich still leads Romney in many national polls, the former Massachusetts governor has gained significant new support in two early-voting states - one reason, perhaps, why he dealt gently with his Republican rivals. He landed the endorsement of the influential Des Moines Register on Saturday, a day after winning the backing of South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, and former Republican nominee Bob Dole endorsed him Sunday in an open letter to Iowans.


No comments:

Post a Comment