Saturday, April 18, 2020

APRIL Opinions.


Why Lockdowns are so wrong , and why.
WELL the "lockdowns" are basic a hostage held [we]  scenario that could go on indefinitely.Lockdowns do not work because they are short-term and unsustainable while viruses possess the ability to return season after season. The virus can literally outlast your lockdown efforts. Seeing as China is the only source to model off of (we're pretty sure they've been fudging numbers), and lockdowns are being handled very differently in different states and nations, I am a bit skeptical of this model. Looking at the daily media panic driven numbers , besides the virus something else is at work. Perhaps "fear"? (1)>>We cannot wreck our economy every Fall therefore we MUST find another solution.  Those that filed for Unemployment , the numbers hit 16 million this week .  If and when we get through it, grappling with the misinformation, disinformation, dramatization, outright lies, political seizures, as well as the rest of clown world at large is going to take society years to unpack this crisis, all while the controllers consolidate more power and pat themselves on the back for another successful caper. (1.2)>>Schools, universities, public transport and non-essential retail should be closed. People would be confined to home as much as possible. But that  is economic suicide , we all know that .  (2)>>Pres. Trump knows it , that is why he wanted to "reopen" the nation  this past Easter . That was a pipedream ,  now the lockdowns are slowly being weaponized by the Democratic State Governors .  (2.1)>>It seems the pandemic is all about blaming Trump. SO
This could go for some time . I understand and agree with the points on the affects on our physical and mental wellbeing but the nation will be literally ruined unless people can generate income and do it now. Relief measures are too slow-kilometre long queues outside the Department of Labour for example. The passage of the economic stimulus bill, likely , is one good sign for the economy. It was one item on brokerage Jefferies’ list of prerequisites for an end of the stock rout. If the hiatus in economic activity – the closures of factories, stores, restaurants, hotels and services businesses of all kinds nationwide – is a matter of weeks, then $2 trillion could be enough of a safety net for all the workers, corporations and consumers affected. Blanket Covid-19 lockdowns may feel like a collective act of caution and responsibility for now, but the longer they last, the more they are likely to feel like a collective punishment for violations committed by a minority.  (3)>>The Stocks can be stable enough , but the problem has to do with people , people have to work , the self isolating , layoffs should not happned .  So  concerns are growing about the economic toll exacted by policies meant to contain it.  Lives before money. However, poverty is also a long term reality we have to face. We are going to need some serious drive in the private sector when this is over. Our country will need major investment strategies.We will only see this situation relatively under control by August or so, but if people helped and stayed home, it could be as soon as one or two months for a lot of countries. As long as people are sheltering in place, they cannot spend the checks the government plans to send out . The Lock Downs have to slowly be lifted again, returning people to work who were laid off to their original jobs .
endorsement of Joe Biden 
Former President  ( 4)>>Barack Obama offered his formal endorsement of Joe Biden on Tuesday, injecting himself squarely in the presidential race. It also marks the public re-emergence of Obama into the political arena. The former president kept a low public profile throughout much of the Democratic nomination fight, but he was active behind the scenes. (5)>>...AS I said before , the whole election on the Democratic side involves a lot of rigging , just as it did in 2016 for Hillary , but it was the same for the Republican side for Donald J Trump. Biden would "win" the nomination as I said before , but can he beat Trump during a pandemic crisis ??? Barack Obama's endorsement is problamtic , in 2016 he vouched for Hillary in almost an exact repeat of what happened *** We have a two party system in America unfortunately. You either vote for Biden, or you vote for someone much worse . Don’t kid yourself into thinking voting for any other party/candidate will benefit anyone but Trump. Some of that is the Democratic Party’s fault. After 2000 and 2016, it became conventional wisdom that narrow losses were the result of the party’s failure to reach far enough to the left. We now see from victories in 2017, 2018, and 2019 that this was wrong and there are other voters that are not only persuadable, but can make moderate Democratic candidates a viable threat in deep red districts and states.It’s really kind of sad, all politics aside. Joe Biden just doesn’t have it, if he ever did, which is debatable. Biden accomplished next to nothing in 40 years in D.C. He's running on what exactly? Biden has been lying, plagiarizing, and committing gaffes for 40 years. Now he brings incomprehensible gibberish to his 3rd run for POTUS. Biden is clearly unfit for office. Biden is clearly unfit for office. The problem for Democrats is that their establishment is out of touch with the base, and the progressives/leftists are out of touch with the general electorate. The reason Trump has a good chance of being reelected is because the voters who elected him don't believe it was a "crisis" of democracy that their will prevailed. They voted for his unconventional foreign policy, crude manners, and trade wars. The jobless rate is now at 3.5%, and incomes are now rising faster low-income workers. That includes a 5.9% annual increase for the bottom 1/10th of workers since Trump was elected -- more than double the rate during Obama's second term. A recent poll by Quinnipiac found that nearly 60% of people said that they are better off financially since Trump was elected, compared to 22% who said they were worse off. Presidents get reelected with those kinds of stats. Joe Biden has been absent  or woefully inarticulate in recent weeks due to the pandemic . The former Vice President can not run , but he has to provide a vivid plan of renewal for the nation , so far Biden's ideas are so out of date that its like a cliche come this November .
 TIME TO DEFUND THE WHO !
The World Health Organization for short known as (6)>>WHO may have mislead the world. The WHO’s mistakes were not isolated, nor were they few. They began in January, when the WHO downplayed the risk of the coronavirus and foolishly repeated the Chinese Communist Party’s numbers as fact.{ propaganda}. The spread of the virus as far as to "blame" may be on all sides , with no exception . There was plenty of warnings as far as last November , but even at this point WHO was also a big epic failure . Perhaps bigger than the Government of the United States on pandemics .  Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, said in a statement, adding that since the organization’s formation in 2000, “it does feel that the investments we’ve made, expertise we’ve built, and experience we’ve gained over the last two decades has prepared us for this moment.” The escalation in Gates’ charitable giving also follows his high-profile scolding of the Trump administration for ordering a 60-day freeze on funding of the World Health Organization, a move that was met with alarm by the medical community and condemnation from international leaders.  President Donald Trump announced  that he is halting funding to the World Health Organization while his administration reviews the group’s handling of the coronavirus, accusing it of bungling the response and  (7)>>failing to communicate the disease’s threat. I agree with Trump with this . The United States should have reexamined WHO funding years ago. But given the timing of President Trump’s remarks in the midst of the coronavirus pandemic, we are already hearing condemnation of the administration’s plan to scrutinize WHO funding. Such condemnations are wrong-headed. Although having a global public health body is in line with US interests, the WHO, which has been largely underwritten by the US government, has repeatedly failed us. The current pandemic must be a final wake-up call that something needs to change.But Trump has already used the "move the capital" gambit, with predictable results, and then used the results to justify reducing payments to the U.N. How would he justify a complete defunding at this point? 


NOTES AND COMMENTS:

(1)>>We cannot wreck our economy every Fall therefore we MUST find another solution.  Advocates of the Chinese strategy sometimes forget that, with all its faults, Italy is still a Western democracy, and that makes a difference. You cannot lock people down, flat by flat. You need to appeal somehow to their sense of responsibility, doing whatever you can to contain the virus, but keeping the economy trudging on too. Social distancing, as important as it might be, ought to be by and large a measure that individuals understand they need to take. Economics has taken a terrible battering this last month, because it is thought to put “money before lives”. But all options cost lives, which is why political judgment has moved to center stage. Businesses are ruined, dreams shattered, people die. As in the conundrum of the swerving driver, do you avoid one death now, but is it at the cost of five down the road? The outcome should go some way to settle the central argument of coronavirus policy, of lockdown and suppression v mitigation and herd immunity. It will also condition a later political blame game, who was right and who was wrong.   As in epidemiology, the basis of the financial markets, and of arguments about them, is numbers—data and their deployments. Reliable data about covid-19 have been scarce, mainly because, in the shameful absence of widespread testing, no one knows how many people have or have had the virus, which would determine the rate of infection and, most crucially, the fatality rate. The numerator (how many have died) is known, more or less, but it’s the denominator (how many have caught it) that has been the object of such speculation.     (1.2)>>Schools, universities, public transport and non-essential retail should be closed   The government has lurched from 'doing nothing' to a panic-fuelled shutdown of almost the entire country, and it will be very difficult to backtrack. The cost looks set to be astronomical - and environmental benefits may be offset by lack of money to develop alternative energy etc. While it's probably correct to close schools and universities , but that can't go one for such a time , it could be economic suicide to keep schools closed for than the school year , not beyond . (2)>>Pres. Trump knows it , that is why he wanted to "reopen" the nation  this past Easter .For Trump, the economy is basically the stock market. He’s obsessed with it, much the way he fixates on television ratings. The stock market is, among other things, a great mood indicator. But it isn’t the economy—not even close. As we’re now discovering, to more horror than surprise, the cessation of commercial activity—travel, tourism, entertainment, restaurants, sports, construction, conferences, or really any transactions, in significant volume, be they in lawyering, accounting, book sales, or sparkplugs—means no revenue, no ability to make payroll or rent, mass layoffs, steep declines in both supply and demand, and reverberations, up and down the food chain, of defaults on debt. That’s the economy.(2.1)>>It seems the pandemic is all about blaming Trump. The failure of the impeachment of Trump now has spun a new political aim by Democrats to get Trump with the idea idea he was slow to act when the Pandemic hit the country . We know the record of the events that unfolded . Trump did all he could at his own disposal , when he tried to ban travel to countries like China for fear of spreading the virus , he was attacked by Democrats as being racist . So go figure it , dammed if you and dammed if you don't . (3)>>The Stocks can be stable enough. This is staggering , but what is interesting is the Stock Market is still UP UP UP!  at 23,719.37 +285.80 Dow is up even more , rising almost 29% from its 52-week low close set on March 23. In fact, 28 of the 30 Dow stocks ended in the green Wednesday. It's about as level as it was in 2017 when Donald J Trump became President. With the coronavirus wreaking havoc on the U.S. economy, it had been one of the darkest months for stock-market investors in memory. Then in the past few days, everything seemed to change — or did it?The stock market continues to bounce back and analysts and investors are lining up on opposing sides of the market's big new question — whether stocks have hit the bottom.  The market will have wild swings in the next few months , but I see it rebounding by October .The one thing they both agree on is that there will be significant volatility ahead.For much of March, financial markets simply stopped working. All investors wanted was their money back, in cash, and, more specifically, in dollars. That Can CHANGE as LONG AS THE AMERICAN GOVERNMENT PUTS THE PEOPLE FIRST !!!.( 4)>>Barack Obama offered his formal endorsement of Joe Biden. Former President Obama in 2015 pushed former Vice President Joe Biden not to run for president in 2015, The New York Times reported. Obama believed at the time that Clinton, who would become the Democratic presidential nominee and lose to President Trump in the general election, had the best chance to win, according to the Times”. How did that work out? Hahaha. She was humiliated.The sudden "change" might be out of desperation .  Look, 2016 should've been a wake-up call for the DNC. They should have recognized that the voting public does NOT want anybody even resembling the "old guard" as President. Sure, HRC won the popular vote, but she still lost an election that IN NO WAY should have been lost. Period, end of story. I Think that Bernie Sanders "sell out" was alltogether stupid , dashed hope of many supporters of Sanders its much a do a repeat of 2016 when a lot of Bernie supporters jumped to vote for Trump. (5)>>...AS I said before , the whole election on the Democratic side involves a lot of rigging . Although it cannot be proven that the Democratic Party primary system is rigged . By all appearances, the timing of Buttigieg and Klobuchar exiting the primary race was unorthodox because the Super Tuesday primaries were taking place within 72 hours. Neither candidate indicated that they would leave the race after the South Carolina primary election. Additionally, news reports said that Buttigieg suspended his campaign after speaking with former president Barack Obama, a Biden ally. NBC News said, “There appears to be a quiet hand behind the rapid movement: former President Barack Obama.” Biden rolled to multiple Super Tuesday victories, which was bolstered by the endorsements from former primary opponents South Bend, Ind. Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.). Buttigieg and Klobuchar dropped out of the primaries before the Super Tuesday primaries and left Biden as the sole primary candidate representing the moderate Democratic Party wing. Their exits from the race bolstered Trump’s claim that the moderates’ gathering behind Biden was one example of rigging the primary system against Sanders.  Sanders supporters have complained that the playing field isn’t level and that party coordination of any sort is an undemocratic influence. But this isn’t a new conflict. Tension between pure democracy and the preferences of political elites has long been a part of America’s complicated presidential nomination system. At that point, with the Sanders movement claiming at every step of the way that the party is rigging the race against them, culminating in a convention where his enraged supporters will again try to shout down the proceedings. The Nomination of Biden sounds like history repeating it's self. (6)>>WHO may have mislead the world. The U.S. is the largest single-country contributor to the WHO, with its funding making up 15 percent of the organization's budget, per NBC News. Trump, complaining that the agency is too “China-centric,” said the U.S. would work with the WHO to reform its failings but would direct its funding elsewhere in the meantime, saying, “for the time being, we will redirect global health and directly work with others.” “All of the aid we send will be discussed at very, very powerful letters and with very powerful and influential groups, and smart groups, medically, politically, and every other way” the president said. “We will be discussing with other countries and global health partners what we do with all of that money that goes to WHO.”   (7)>>failing to communicate the disease’s threat.  But two facts seem absolutely certain. First, China’s Communist authorities have lied, concealed and misled about the origins of the epidemic and the toll of the virus in China. Second, the World Health Organization has acted as Beijing’s handmaid. The WHO should have known at the outset that it was dealing with a bad-faith actor in Beijing. Yet ­instead of immediately insisting upon access, openness and transparency from China, WHO leadership followed the Chinese lead and at times even took the Chinese line.   Maria Van Kerkhove, a WHO doctor, said at a press briefing on that “right from the start” she thought the coronavirus was human-to-human transmissible, but senior WHO leadership disregarded the evidence of this.