Wednesday, February 7, 2024

AMERICA'S HYPOTHETICAL SECOND CIVIL WAR(S)

25 US state governors signed a petition in support of Texas against the federal government. This is an updated map of states supporting Texas. This Map either "predicts" a Divided United States, but ALSO the 2024 Election . Many Blue States will be Red .




AMERICA'S HYPOTHETICAL (1)>>SECOND CIVIL WAR(S).  The Chinese Media is hyping up the events of Texas boarder is perhaps a prelude to  "second Civil war" . Over the past month and especially this week (it is currently near the end of January, 2024), I've been hearing about this idea that there may soon be a civil war in America. Biden refusing to shut our border and losing it over state governments defending themselves isn't how I thought the Second Civil War in the U.S. would start, but I'm here for the 25 governors taking a stand. HOLD THE LINE. “In the years leading up to The Second Civil War, legislators in Red states were pushing back by passing bills to prevent the drugging, mutilation, and disfigurement of children, bills that would ironically be deemed “fascist” by the despotic Biden Regime.” (2)>>Some sources say this is solely because of a Texas border crisis, other's say it's because people are tired of 'woke agenda', other's say its both and more.Personal political bias aside, this idea seems to be mainly promoted by *some* right wing conservatives, especially on massive Twitter accounts like 'EndWokeness'. We're about to find out how far Biden's handlers are willing to go to destroy America. Will Joe Biden start our second civil war for his woke followers?  (2.1)>>Popular Chinese outlets have been suggesting that events in Texas have led to deep divisions in the US widening to a point where unrest has become a stark reality.More than 6.3m migrants have crossed into the US illegally since the beginning of 2021 - record highs that have intensified a standoff between President Joe Biden and Texas Governor Greg Abbot .I would think CHINA senses something is going on , it's not all misinformation .  (3)>>I don't expect a revolution, civil war, or coup in the next 3 years. The Democrats are Warmongers, AS long as it suits their interests as in this. Open Borders leads to Undocumented Democrat Voters and a way to destroy a country from within. This is all being perpetrated by compromised foreign interests within the current regime and its being allowed to happen because the guy "in power" is just a figurehead. Show me someone who says Biden has been the primary decision maker this whole time and I'll show you someone deluding themselves. McCarthyism is now to come back.  (4)>>Americans do not control policy in America anymore. Its collectivist (really communist) for interests.  For me all bets are off beyond that. I just can't predict that far ahead. But for the next 3 years I expect a whole lot of Americans will have too much to lose. We will have enough oil, and we might export some. Our oil companies won't export oil we need ourselves for hard currency. For the next 3 years, we will have enough food. We can even eat beef if we are willing to pay enough for it. Chicken will be affordable. We won't export most of our beef and chicken for hard curre It is hard to find any credible evidence as all sources are (understandably) politically charged one way or another. So I've watched a few youtube videos and news pieces from each side and viewpoint. It's all very conflicting, below are a couple examples from prominent political channels. On the  (5)>>SUBJECT of WAR , it appears the American government leaders are in a squabble , a foreign policy that is dangerous , pushed by war hawks in the military industrial complex. We keep hearing about WWW 3  & It all depends on if World War 3 would be the same as the last two World Wars. If so, then we all know Europe is going to be the main battleground of the war, and most European nations are greatly experienced in dealing with warfare on their own lands due to centuries of war being fought throughout their countries. Not to mention that weapons and artillery are much more advanced nowadays. As for a second civil war in the US? Well, slavery ended last time, so what would this Civil War 2.0 be about this time? Religion? Political ideologies? Racism? Just plain secession? Why feel the need to secede when you don't have a legit reason to? The union today is much more advanced and evolved than it was nearly 200 years ago. So why feel the need to secede?If anything, we will economically fall apart because our current national debt and rate of increase is unsustainable. It may be next year, it may be 30 years. (6)>>But at some point the government will economically collapse.Which coincidentally is a reason why our capitalist economy is a good thing. With private ownership and operation, a lot of businesses will be able to continue to operate somewhat even with a crumbling government, and survive until things are established. There could be hardship of course, but it will be substantially better than it would happening to many other nations.Regardless of whether you believe that true or not, hopefully our politicians can get with the program already and tackle the problem while there’s still time, hopefully.The timeline of events is ridiculous = trump + supporters “build the wall!” .. Biden “let’s not build a wall” * huge number of illegal immigrants cross the border, people complain* .. Biden ADMITS that the border is NOT SECURE. Texas tries to secure border.. and now democrats want the military to be used to stop effort used by a state to secure a border?!

NOTES AND COMMENTS: (1)>>SECOND CIVIL WAR(S)News like this is really starting to kill my hope about American politics. Although there are certain things I do not like about this bill, it was very clear that this was a common sense compromise that would be a good starting point. We reached a point where there is no middle ground.The liberal left has pushed the conservative right to the edge and now when they have the majority are pushing back. The liberal left is paying for the pound of flesh they extracted and are balking at the price. Biden opened the borders and only with an election year bitting at his heals does he want to address the problem. The United States today is, once again, headed for civil war (starting with Congress) , and, once again, it cannot bear to face it. The political problems are both structural and immediate, the crisis both longstanding and accelerating. The American political system has become so overwhelmed by anger that even the most basic tasks of government are increasingly impossible.The consequences of the breakdown of the American system is only now beginning to be felt. January 6 wasn’t a wake-up call; it was a rallying cry. When you allow a force of tens of millions into the US and remove any restriction to accessing our border you are in violation of your oath of office. If you allow known foreign intel cells into the US, then give them cell phones and money, you are engaging in actions against the security of the US. Texas is catching hundreds of people on the terrorist watchlist from a variety of nations. The Biden admin is not doing this. When this admin is given this intel they ignore it and continue to allow millions into the US. That is treason. Biden has completely abandoned this country and his whole admin should be removed from office. He’s setting a record for historic failures. I think the problem is, any mass amnesty will just encourage further illegal immigration unless the immigration system is fixed to eliminate the possibility of future illegal immigrants coming to the country as well as refugees showing up unannounced on our borders (or within our borders) and immediately being allowed to stay in the US.The bill improved border security, but that wouldn't have fixed the problem. You would have actually needed a bill that made it near impossible for any illegal immigrant to stay in the US. (2)>>Some sources say this is solely because of a Texas border crisis.How serious is the Texas border crisis? There is a significant bureaucratic issue processing refugees. This also creates something of a humanitarian challenge in the same way any sort of bureaucratic delay limiting people’s ability to work does.  range from prelude to a second civil war Not much of a war. If Texas wants to bring this to violence, they would get swatted like a gnat.  mere posturing to gain favor with Trump.It’s posturing to gain favor with Republican donors.So american liberals, please explain  like myself how serious this situation is..there there is a huge problem with the US immigration system ???This entire century. Rhetoric is always ramped up in an election year and especially when a Democrat is in the White HouseLather, rinse, repeat.I feel like we’ve been told we’re dealing with a border crisis for the last decade.Re: the "civil war" talk, it's true that we now have governors from 25 other states siding with Abbott against the Biden administration/federal government/Supreme Court, which is pretty insane. It would also be foolish for either camp to escalate this into bloodshed, and they know that, but there's going to be a lot of public pressure to get one side to back down. Whether that means Biden taking control of the National Guard, cutting off funding for certain things, or whatever else remains to be seen.(2.1)>>Popular Chinese outlets have been suggesting that events in Texas . If the US entered a civil war, China would try to prolong the conflict as much as possible, and try to maximize its own geopolitical gains in Asia and the Pacific. However, China, along with pretty much the entire world, would enter an severe economic downturn. At least initially. The United States is China’s largest trading partner, and the sudden drop in U.S. productivity and consumption would lead China to lose billions of dollars until they found a suitable replacement. China would have to decide if a weak America or a poor China is more important. I imagine that at first, China would try to drag the war out, but as they begin to lose sizable amounts of revenue, their calculus may shift.As for geopolitical goals, China would get a lot more hawkish. They would be tempted to invade Taiwan, although I still think they would refrain. China would try to gain allies in the Middle East, like Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States, who would abandon the U.S. in a heartbeat. China would also try to consolidate its grip over Africa. Perhaps the biggest opportunity though would be Latin America. Traditionally the U.S. aggressively responds to any foreign influence that begins to surface and Latin America, as we saw in the Cold War, but it would be powerless to stop China while embroiled in Civil War.Back to the economic side of things, China may try to shift to becoming a consumer based economy like the U.S. China’s population is on the down turn, which does not bode well for any country, but especially countries like China which so heavily rely on cheap labor. A switch to a consumer-based economy would ease the burden of a collapsing population, and would allow for a higher quality of life for the average citizen. Conversely, a recovering America would likely revert to being more production-based, meaning that after the civil war we could see a role swap in the U.S.-China economic relationship. All in all, a fascinating hypothetical to analyze.(3)>>I don't expect a revolution, civil war, or coup in the next 3 years. People are more aware than ever that their financial security is an illusion, just as most other types are. I also believe that if another revolution were to take place in America, that the end result would appear as nothing like the first. I think a lot of folks don't realize how easy it is to become invisible in our nation, if one is willing to endure some hardship. For those already enduring an imbalance of it already, there are probably instances of violence in their lives, and feel that they have little control of it. This too is an illusion. What it is really is a choice. This choice is simple, how attached are you to the status quo, and do you honestly believe that your attachments warrant cutting off all ties. For many the answer is yes, as evidenced by the fact that there are an enormous amount of people affilicted with so-called mental disorders. While many of these are in fact indisputable, many are also social definitions for communal abnormalities. Social experiments with rats proved this long ago. As we are not rats, the scale of potential goes up exponentially when taking in the the sheer intellectual capacity that the disenfranchised truly represent. This is in social aberrations as well as technical capacity for greater impact. An example would be any of the shooter tragedies that have plagued us recently. These situations are indicators of the stress that the less influential in society feel. Personally, I feel a sleeping giant is in for a very rude awakening, for they ignored the fact they've been making their bed on a powder keg.  (4)>>Americans do not control policy in America anymore.  The RECENT BUDGET BATTLE in Washington D.C. over the border , bill , the reckless funding divide on Ukraine and Israel . Shows that the elected politicians no longer represent the American people but they are representing foreign governments in their spending budgets . Faced with big and challenging problems — climate, immigration, inequality, guns, debt and deficits — government and politicians seem incapable of achieving consensus. On each of those issues, the public is split, often bitterly. But on each, there are also areas of agreement. What’s broken is the will of those in power to see past the divisions enough to reach compromise.The US refuses to acknowledge the many problems and institutional crises confronting its democracy at home and stubbornly claims to be the template and beacon of democracy for the world. Such imperiousness perpetuates the ills of its democracy and causes dire consequences for other countries.The lack of faith extends beyond Congress, with recent polling conducted both before and after the leadership meltdown finding a mistrust in everything from the courts to organized religion. The GOP & DEMOCRATS internal bickering that for nearly three weeks has left open the speaker’s position — second in line to the presidency — is widely seen as the latest indication of deep problems with the nation’s bedrock institutions.(5)>>SUBJECT of WAR , it appears the American government leaders are in a squabble  The US has money ready to spend on Ukraine, but it's being blocked by Congress. So the amounts they've already allocated is running out, there are other funds ready but remains to be seen if these can be provided. Aid for Ukraine is the real issue. Biden is willing to tighten the border to get the aid for Ukraine that is needed. Democrats hammered out a plan that would meet many Republican demands but they continue to hold out for unacceptable restrictions. Many democrats are angry that they are being asked to give in as much as they have but most likely will go along with it if that compromise will help get needed aid to Ukraine. But Republicans of course have no intention to compromise, they never do. But I think it will be quite clear to most thinking people that republicans don’t really care about the border, about immigrants, about working together for solutions to these issues. They only want an issue that gets their bases worked into a frenzy. So Biden and company called their bluff. NOW sending Billions to Israel is another type snafu that Congress had tangled it's self in . There is a growing group that doesn't believe in sending military aide to sponsor foreign wars, in general. Israel have been lumped into this causing a non-partisan block to come out of both the left and right ideologies.Question still remains if Taiwan will be lumped in but since Taiwan is strategically more important than both Ukraine and Israel for Americans because America needs their wifi activated pillow to let them know how to sleep or their Bluetooth brush to vibrate when they've brushed enough......(6)>>But at some point the government will economically collapse.Democratic and Republican lawmakers have just two weeks to craft a new spending deal to avoid a partial government shutdown AGAIN! . But to live in the United States during this post pandemic is to experience Collapse now, not in some distant future. Collapse means radical discontinuity, and the necessity of learning ways of doing, thinking, and being that diverge sharply from previous norms. Right now we are seeing the collapse of the Two Party system within Congress .The amount of division in the United States could very well in the next few decades, unless something is not done about the political hostility in the next few years, lead to the break-up of the US. Whether or not this will happen is not what this post is about.I want to know: What would be the most likely implication if the USA were suddenly out of the picture, or split up into bickering nation-states?It is important to note, however, that Collapse is cause for optimism as well as pessimism.