Thursday, June 29, 2023

Antony Blinken. US FOREIGN POLICY & CHINA .






Antony Blinken , his trip to China looked like a pathetic getsure , hardly any signs of genuine diplomacy.. Now China killing it. All recent diplomatic wins have been theirs. Then they basically stopped us meeting with them for months. And now they let him come only to ensure he walked back all the Sabre rattling. Based. (1)>>Asking China to do anything that doesn't prop up their system or would alleviate problems but reduce their cash flow, isn't going to happen. Joe Biden said Mr Blinken “did a hell of a job” in his rare visit to Beijing. The US president added: “We’re on the right trail here.”Chinese president Xi Jinping hailed “progress” in relations .  (2)>>Besides , Blinken emphasised the need for diplomacy and keeping "open channels of communication", a statement added.His trip is the first by a top US diplomat to China in almost five years. A planned Blinken visit in February was called off after a suspected Chinese spy balloon flew in US airspace.Something tells me that this clown wants to visit China out of panic. I'm not convinced that debt ceiling was raised around early June 2023. I mean, based on the news from AmeriKKKan MSM, it doesn't look like a normal negotiation. So, I believe that this is a begging mission to China that Blinken plans to do.yep, militarily, economically, his boss's re-election, etc. the list is comprehensive, and of course, war in Ukraine, blinken is crapping bricks, think  (3)>>the plan is trade taiwan for another 4 years of biden, so joe won't suffer the same fate as trump now but if biden loses.......I can't help thinking that the  (3.1)>>BS story about a 'spy base' in Cuba was the latest attempt to provide an excuse for Blinken if the negotiations broke down. Except that it failed spectacularly.  (4)>>Same as with the weather balloon, exactly what information would China gather that could not be achieved easier by satellites and other means?The desperation of the US government is definitely reaching new highs (lows?). It was so used to playing from a position of strength that it can't deal with the fact it is not even an average player now. While the last administration definitely pissed away a lot of soft power and drove out a huge number of experienced civil servants (who took a huge amount of institutional history with them), the trend began long ago.Domestic politics has been a clusterfuck since at least the 90s and was only barely functional before that due to the strength of personalities like Tip O'Neill, Tom Foley, Howard Baker or Bob Dole, not because of any inherent superiority of its government.

a clusterfuck tricky Foreign policy 
 (5)>>Foreign policy has been coasting on the post-WWII consensus that desperately seeks a perpetual war to fund the MIC and its Wall Street financiers. Winning the Cold War was never their intention - it was their golden goose. The 90s was spent trying to militarize the drug war (which was tricky since half the drugs are funded by the CIA). 9/11 let them unleash the Global War on Terror which worked well enough for the last twenty years. Except the underlying issues that drive terrorism cannot be addressed through military means. The boots on the ground need to be community development and social workers, civil engineers, school teachers, microfinance specialists, etc, not infantrymen in fortified compounds. (Thankfully at least one major country realized the above and deployed its resources accordingly. Compare Kabul to Kashgar - who won the 'war' on terror?) (6)>>Exactly what Blinken hopes to accomplish, I have no idea, but he has nothing to offer besides bluster and bravado that the current administration cannot back up.The security afforded by 2 oceans have always underscored US foreign policy. While I don't think the base itself would upend US security in anyway, it is thought provoking.The US has fought in two world wars, but the mainland was never threatened. In the (7)>>war games and discussions regarding Taiwan, unlike the war in Ukraine, it's always assumed that the Chinese mainland will be hit, with some Taiwanese nationalists also often bringing up hitting the three gorges dam, yet the possibilities of China hitting the US mainland aren't really discussed. The US has not supported Taiwan independence for 50 years. This is nothing new. Along with virtually every other country in the world, the US has acknowledged the "One China Policy" since the 1970s.Don't confuse America's constant insults and taunting of China with actual foreign policy. The bottom line is that America and China need each other economically.I know this will get a lot of down votes here because people do not want to hear it, but it is all factually correct.  (8)>> I think boots on the ground are far fetched, we aren't in the fallout timeline yet, but if we're talking about full on total war, without stuff like limiting war outside mainland China (like in Ukraine), I doubt China won't launch some missiles at the US, like Shanghai getting bombed means LA is getting hit. Came here to say this.. anyone who buys into this crap about how China is evil or Russia is evil why not actually review recent history the  (9)>>USA lies and doesn’t keep our end of the bargain and then utilizes the Ukraine which is the human trafficking money laundering corrupt kinda country kinda international flop house where the oligarchs play and do what the fuck they want and does anyone even know how much money we gave those communists -nazis  in Ukraine who operate like we are starting to when someone comes up in popularity against the current political power (never a leader they don’t exist). Like now,  he who doesn’t tow the line they get locked up and keep their cross dressing makeup wearing music video homoerotic nut job  story in the position of puppet I mean power of the current U.S. made fiasco in UKR , now in Biden's dementia there is is a strange twist to huge policy blunders about policing the world . . Frankly, it's none of our business how the  (10)>>Chinese people run their own country. Just like it is none of their business how we run ours.We need to do what is best for us at home and stop obsessing about distant lands that are not part of the United States. We can do cross-investment and trade with China without meddling in their internal politics. yes, look for genuine solutions . 


NOTES AND COMMENTS : 
(1)>>Asking China to do anything. Happening Now: the Chinese absolutely owned SOS Antony Blinken and the Biden Admin, and absolutely embarrassed them on the world stage. Blinken even denounced Taiwan independence! Blinken visited China to de-escalate tensions and reaffirm the relationship with China. For months China has poked the US, including multiple spy balloons that gathered US intelligence, a spy base in Cuba, and gaining allies around the world against us. Blinken cowered to China and refused to confront them, and even claimed the US doesn’t support Taiwan’s independence, leaving the country to fend for themselves. Before the trip Joe Biden stated that the balloons were an accident even though they gathered US intelligence.The Demos forget just a couple years ago, Pelosi went to Taiwan and expressed the US’ “ironclad” and unwavering support for Taiwan… talking out both sides of the mouth, seems like. (2)>>Besides , Blinken emphasised the need for diplomacy and keeping "open channels of communication". This meeting was "agreed" upon after Blinken had a call with Qin Gang, China's foreign minister. China has been reluctant to meet face-to-face to with Blinken for months. Why now? Reading between the lines, what most likely happened during the call is Blinken said the US is willing to offer China something, and Qin Gang took that message back to Chinese leadership who then approved the visit. What that thing is and whether the US will really follow through, who knows, but clearly it's something China is interested in.  (3)>>the plan is trade taiwan for another 4 years of biden.What can the US realistically offer regarding Taiwan besides their full support for reunification though? The US can promise not to meet with Taiwanese politicians or sell more weapons to Taiwan, but those are problems the US itself created. I don't think China will accept such a deal. My guess is it's something else. NOW  the Biden administration released its Interim National Security Strategic Guidance, which noted that “We will support Taiwan, a leading democracy and a critical economic and security partner, in line with longstanding American commitments.” By mentioning Taiwan, the Biden team became only the second administration ever, after the Trump administration, to highlight Taiwan in a national security strategy, indicating the U.S. intent to ensure Taiwan's de facto sovereignty in the face of growing Chinese aggression. The Biden administration is working on preparing plans to evacuate Americans in Taiwan, According to the Messenger, the federal government’s plans have been in the works for at least six months, citing three sources with knowledge of the plans. Anticipation of a possible Chinese invasion of Taiwan has been mounting as China’s military encroachment of waters and airspace has heated up in recent months.   Isn't it way too early to know? We have 18 months before the general campaigning even begins in earnest, and nearly 2.5 years until the actual election. So many of these issues you bring up now will likely be different then, and who knows what could happen between now and then!   White House officials said this was not official policy of the US. Ignoring the fact that this may just be strategic ambiguity, why are people so upset about this. It seems like the first thing in years that the left wing and right wing agree on, while the moderate are disinterested in the whole ordeal. Why was this such a mistake and why are the wings of the political spectrum particularly upset about this?(3.1)>>BS story about a 'spy base' in Cuba. How is China's presence in Cuba any greater threat to the United States than Ukraine joining NATO would be to Russia?Countries spying on each other is the way of the world. We absolutely spy on them, and they already spy on us.  Stories like this just reveal the US plan to incite war with China. The US has likely dozens of spy camps surrounding China.  Frankly that they are announcing a "spy base" feels like it's just meant to distract, because it is very weird to announce a spy base instead of having it be covert. (4)>>Same as with the weather balloon. Two important lessons should be extracted from this incident as we accept the fact that China, by no means, is our friend. This is especially so as a second Chinese balloon reportedly is making its way across Latin America. Understanding the following two lessons is a critical step in recognizing that President Joe Biden does not, based on how he dealt with the incident. Understanding these lessons should have triggered a U.S. response to shoot the balloon down immediately upon first entering U.S. airspace rather than while exiting it.While described as a weather balloon, it is much more likely to have been designed for a military purpose, although exactly what remains a mystery. China has satellites revolving around planet Earth that could provide surveillance data, unless their orbits could not surveil what a “meandering” balloon could. But such a balloon is also capable of providing a delivery system for an electromagnetic pulse attack (EMP), destroying electrical grids and denying users electricity for months or even years. Estimates are an EMP attack could kill 90% of Americans by starvation and societal collapse. Thus, these balloons present a serious potential threat to America.(5)>>Foreign policy has been coasting . Biden compares himself to Kissinger - The US president claims nobody alive matches his foreign policy expertise.  Describing a career of foreign policy failures as "expertise" is a weird flex but okay. American diplomatic relations is on the free fall . There is no turn around . Biden is so based. Don't you people understand the Russian-Ukraine war is a geopolitical game the US is  NOT winning? he goal was never for Ukraine to win. The goal is to cut off Europe from Russian natural gas, use the IRA to make the US a green tech manufacturer, and to force European countries to be the first people to pay the full up-front cost of total decarbonization, and that great cost to them will result in exorbitant profits for the US. And ultimately, this will bring the green tech industry to life making it cheaper for everyone.. Decarbonization would never happen in Europe so long as they have access to Russian gas. You can't square that circle. Russia must be isolated for the US to reign in the European vassal states. Just buy our damn solar panels you stupid Krauts! Sure, supporting Ukraine in the conflict risks nuclear war. But Biden understands that climate change is such a grave threat that this fight is necessary. (6)>>Exactly what Blinken hopes to accomplish, I have no idea. Chinese state-run media celebrated Antony Blinken’s Secretary of State nomination as “good for China.”Now we know why…I explained to a lefty friend today, who totally dismissed this as, and I quote, a “nothing burger,” why this was so bad. I explained the semi-conductor, it’s importance to literally all electronics, how important they are to the entire global economy, how Taiwan makes 90+% of the sophisticated ones, how China doesn’t have access to them, how the entire infrastructure is set to blow if China invaded so they don’t get their hands on plans/production, and how that would legit set the world economy back by like a decade.He goes “whoa. Ok. Yeah. Like, yeah that’s bad. Real bad.”I said “yeah. Biden, the worst president the US has ever had did this … and you voted for him because you were propagated to hate Trump.” He just looked at me blankly and said “fuuuuuck.”By explicitly stating what Blinken did, and from it coming from his position, that’s a different story altogether. It simply begs the question of China saying “ok, so we’re going to just head over there and be sure they’re operating as a “one China” … so you’re all cool with that then huh?” Which then makes the US have to either be like “yeah, cool, one China man!” Or “hang on a sec … you can’t do that …” and causing more problems.Simply put, Blinken casually saying what he did (most likely) isn’t just a simple “oh whatever. He’s just saying things. It’s no big deal.” What he said can very easily be interpret as a green light for China to invade. Plain and simple. If that happens, bad for everyone.(7)>>war games and discussions regarding Taiwan.  Bloomberg: US Secretary of State Antony Blinken says he raised concerns about China's "provocative actions" in the Taiwan Strait during talks in Beijing "We do not support Taiwan independence," he adds.  From what I know and I’ve seen, the US position has been “the one China policy” while simultaneously quietly advocating and positioning for Taiwan to maintain its autonomy. When pressured, most politicians simply say “we are for the one China policy” or “we continue to advocate for the status quo.” (Or something similar). The US doesn't officially acknowledge Taiwanese sovereignty while simultaneously guaranteeing Taiwan protection from invasion from the mainland. Officially Taiwan doesn't even consider itself independent from mainland china either but as one nation with the mainland being controlled by a rebel government. Without getting into the details the goal of this strategy is to preserve the status quo because doing anything else a worse option.Taiwan doesn't even recognize its own independent. The Republic of China still claims to be the legitimate government of China and sees the People's Republic of China as a pretender government. This is a total nothingburger. It is maintaining the status quo, which is the Republic of China maintaining its sovereignty over Taiwan, under the US military umbrella, but not formally declaring itself a state independent of China. (8)>> I think boots on the ground are far fetched, we aren't in the fallout timeline yet. Weariness over the long-running wars with no set political objectives and tens of billions of dollars , putting boots on the ground in Taiwan is ruled out . BUT its possible that UKRAINE. The sentiment is right but if NATO steps in directly with boots on the ground this will escalate more than I think most realize. Blinkin abandoned Taiwan anyhow with the one China policy. Also, by aiding Ukraine, we ARE in the middle of the proxy war which is increasing tensions with Russia. Their only options against us are to hurt US interests abroad (Ukraine) or threaten nuclear options.I agree that Russia is a real-life country with rational actors, not some comic book enemy that will do anything in the pursuit of Pure Evil for Evil's Sake.What is worse is that it will accelerate China's plans to invade Taiwan. And there is no way the US doesn't go to war over that without an absolute traitor or idiot at the helm. Right now.They would probably declare Russia taking over European countries - even ones in NATO - and China taking over Taiwan as "not an American problem" as part of an isolationist foreign policy. Of course, when our country finds that the stuff we like buying needs to come through Russia or China (because they invaded the countries that provided those things to us) and we need to pay exorbitant rates for them, then it would become an American problem. Of course, by then, it would be too late and we wouldn't have any allies to help us. (9)>>USA lies and doesn’t keep our end of the bargain and then utilizes the Ukraine .  They lied to us about Vietnam, they lied to us about Iraq, they lied to us about Covid...but this time they are telling the truth about Ukraine...I'm honestly shocked that people still believe anything that comes out of our governments mouth .The media lies to the people time after time again, and yet everyone keeps running straight back to them. Ukraine decides nothing, its US that controls everything in Ukraine.US should give up make a deal with Russia on what should be left in Ukraine and what parts will go to Russia and perhaps some other countries like Poland Romania Hungary etc .Ukraine seized to exist as sovereign country in 2014 when US did Maidan coup and took control over its territories.The war was totally preventable and could've been ended long time ago, wouldn't it be for certain foreign parties interfering with certain sovereign state's affairs and interfering against the possible peace negotiations. Biden was one of the architects of what led to the current situation in Ukraine. Putin didn't just wake up one day last year and decided to start a special military operation in that country.   So besides the obvious aggressor - Russia, there are the other parties accountable for the war casualties. Let's not forget that. You've been lied to before, you're being lied to again and you keep spreading the lies further, regardless.(10)>>Chinese people run their own country. This was the highest-level meeting in Beijing since the start of the Covid-19 pandemic and a conversation of substance. If you examine Blinken’s remarks to the press, he makes three important points.First, the United States stands by the “one China” policy and does not support Taiwan independence. Second, it would be “disastrous” for the world’s two largest economies to decouple, ending trade and investment. Third, the number of educational exchanges and direct flights between the two countries must be accelerated.US politicians keep saying they support the One-China policy, then the US turns around and sells more weapons to Taiwan, sends politicians there to interfere in China's internal politics, and threatens to bomb TSMC if China tries to reunify with Taiwan. China’s success has more to do with effective economic mobilization, construction of infrastructure, attraction of capital, education levels, and other basic social and economic factors, some of which were gradually established through the Republican era, many of which were cemented during the Maoist era, and others during the Deng era. The Leninist autocracy is essentially a function of China’s size and developmental context as a peasant economy under heavy military and economic pressures combined with its proximity to the Soviet Union. I doubt that a similar corporatist Leninist structure could be effectively put in place in a developed or even a fairly democratic developing country. It might work in some place like Angola, which is basically already an integrated party-army-petrostate hierarchy which could easily be restructured to a formal Leninist system, but I doubt it would stick in places with stronger democratic traditions or more active civil societies like South Africa or Brazil, or really anywhere in Latin America.Basically, if you can put a political system in place that guarantees all the above crap, you’ll get economic and concomitant social development.