Sunday, July 31, 2022

PELOSI'S DANGEROUS TAIWAN VISIT .


(1)>>I thought I would not write for a few days . BUT IT IS AN EMERGENCY right now . The Democrat Party never ceases to amaze me what a catastrophe it really is . A huge blunder of Biden's foreign policy of making enemies like with Russia . NOW China looms . I'd imagine shooting down a plane with high ranking government officials of another country is considered an act of war? Pelosi refused to confirm the trip during a weekly press conference Thursday, saying "I don't ever discuss my travel plans." "You never even hear me say if I'm going to London, because it is a security issue," she said.  (2)>>If the Pentagon had real info the Chinese would shoot down the plane. We wouldn't hear that from some gossip news website. Pelosi departed on Friday for a tour that could include a controversial stop in Taiwan, the self-governed island democracy at the heart of rising tensions between Beijing and Washington. 

Nancy Pelosi , why don't 
you just stay home 
eh ?

(3)>>Diplomatic messages between nations are always like this. They have to sound strong, but cannot commit to anything definitive. The actual language the US has around Taiwan is that it has a "robust unofficial" connection, for example.Though the United States does not have diplomatic relations with Taiwan, we have a robust unofficial relationship.The United States has a longstanding one China policy, which is guided by the  (4)>>Taiwan Relations Act, the three U.S.-China Joint Communiques, and the Six Assurances. We oppose any unilateral changes to the status quo from either side; we do not support Taiwan independence; and we expect cross-Strait differences to be resolved by peaceful means. We continue to have an abiding interest in peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait. Consistent with the Taiwan Relations Act, the United States makes available defense articles and services as necessary to enable Taiwan to maintain a sufficient self-defense capability -– and maintains our capacity to resist any resort to force or other forms of coercion that would jeopardize the security, or the social or economic system, of Taiwan. (5)>>It's also worth noting that this type of "warning" from China is very very very common because diplomatically, saying nothing is implied consent. They usually will then do some symbolic gesture like move around some missiles, do a test flight, or schedule a practiced military exercise.Yep; basically the US has a vested interest in keeping the status quo like it's always been: China able to 'claim' Taiwan as its own without really owning it in any real way, and Taiwan doing its own thing as a 'Democracy of China' for the US to happily protect under its umbrella of influence without really saying so openly.It's all about the 'unspoken' status quo that both sides (the US and China) are cool with. Taiwan was mostly cool with it in the early years to keep China off their asses, but now that they have tech dominance and the perfect strategic military defense via their landmass, they want to finally break free from the 'chains' of China (especially after what happened to Hong Kong and China's promise about that). There's probably no better time than now, to be honest, for Taiwan. China sent a strong message to Biden  “We are seriously prepared,"  Chinese spokesman Zhao Lijian told reporters at a regular briefing on Monday, when asked for comment about the contents of the report.When asked what kind of response China was "seriously prepared for" and if it would be a military or a diplomatic response Zhao said: "If the U.S. side is bent on going its own way, China will take strong measures to resolutely respond and counteract." I fail to understand the purpose of Pelosi's trip to Taiwan. (6)>>It is a waste of taxpayer's money and serves as a provocation to China.  ' The United States should be held responsible for any serious consequences," he added.In this case it sounds like Pelosi is a terminator-class threat and if we send her over there they'll have to nuke themselves and it will be the USA's fault since they've now warned us.China is the last nation that would be dumb enough to start a war over anything outside its territory.If a war starts, it’s not going to be China who starts it.

NOTES AND COMMENTS : (1)>>I thought I would not write for a few days . BUT IT IS AN EMERGENCY right now .  If the WAR in Ukraine is not enough , the current American government can't seem to not escape a world conflict these days . It's too dammed much , worrisome. Pelosi last week referenced the possibility of her plane getting shot down, after President Joe Biden told reporters that the U.S. military believes her potential visit to the NOT SO  self-governing island is “not a good idea.” Indeed, the Biden administration has conveyed the risks to Pelosi in private in recent weeks, including a plea to postpone her trip to later this year.But some analysts consider the risk of an imminent attack, whether on Taiwan or Pelosi’s aircraft, overblown. (2)>>If the Pentagon had real info the Chinese would shoot down the plane.  "Hu is only a "propagandist" for China officially". What exactly does that mean, Hu is China's Official propagandist? Doesn't that seem to imply that Hu officially speaks on behalf of the Chinese Government, sort of like our presidents Press Secretary? If Hu said China could shoot down her plane, then Chinese officials said it and he is just passing it along, I don't see a situation where he just makes up stuff and says it, what if the communist party does not like what he is saying? Does he actually have enough freedom in China to say things about the leadership which are lies?  A headline published by the Daily Mail warned that "China says it WILL shoot Pelosi's plane down IF she travels to Taiwan under US fighter escort." A strongly worded Friday tweet from a Chinese Communist Party-linked tabloid newspaper columnist prompted some to say that China had directly threatened to shoot down Pelosi's plane if the visit does occur. However, no Chinese government official has directly threatened to shoot down Pelosi's plane if she does visit.  Its CRAZY ENOUGH . Personally I don't wan't any war , even with China .Shooting down a USAF plane with arguably the most powerful politician in America would be literally insane ! But in the face of an increasingly bellicose China, Taiwan and other U.S. allies have been calling for more clarity, which the Biden administration has failed to deliver.  (3)>>Diplomatic messages between nations. The Chinese Government does not object to the U.S. maintaining non-governmental economic and cultural relations with Taiwan. What we do oppose is U.S. conducting official exchanges with the Taiwan authorities. The dispatch of U.S. Energy Secretary to Taiwan and his meetings with Lee Teng-hui and other senior officials of Taiwan constitute a serious violation of the guiding principles enshrined in the three joint communiqu閟 between the two countries and the U.S. own pledge of not having any official contact with Taiwan. It is only reasonable and entirely justifiable for us to express concern and lodge protest with the U.S. Government over its erroneous actions.(4)>>Taiwan Relations Act, the three U.S.-China Joint Communiques, and the Six Assurances.The process of establishing diplomatic ties with the United States began in February of 1972 when President Nixon visited China. That visit produced "The Shanghai Communiqué," which was an acknowledgement by China and the United States that the two countries faced obstacles to establishing diplomatic relations, but also that they would work toward "normalizing" their relations . It was clear," writes one historian, "that the principal obstacle to regular diplomatic relations, to 'normalization' with China, was not the American role in Vietnam [1955-1975], but rather Taiwan."The problem centered on the fact that both China and Taiwan claimed that there is only one China, and that Taiwan is a part of China, but each side also claimed to be the legitimate government of China, with Taiwan using the formal name "Republic of China" (ROC) to express that claim, and China using the formal name "People's Republic of China" (PRC).The PRC objected to the United States having diplomatic relations with both the PRC and the "ROC," here after, "Taiwan,"—because it would mean that the United States believed there were "two Chinas," and not just one China.Further, China demanded that the United States withdraw its troops stationed in Taiwan, but refused to promise that the PRC would not use force to "reunite" the island of Taiwan with the mainland of China, which the United States asked the PRC to promise.(5)>>It's also worth noting that this type of "warning" from China is very very very common because diplomatically, saying nothing is implied consent.  Such drastic military action by China is not considered likely, but on Tuesday China’s defense ministry said it would “not sit idly by”. It threatened “strong measures” in order to “thwart any external interference and ‘Taiwan independence’ separatist attempts”,  China state media said. Analysts said the US administration’s response to the plans and China’s reaction meant it was difficult to de-escalate the situation without either China or the US appearing weak.(6)>>It is a waste of taxpayer's money and serves as a provocation to China. Nancy Pelosi should visit mainland China , rather than creating a conflict .The two countries’ supply-chain linkages are vast, and China holds more than US$1 trillion in US Treasuries, most of which it can’t easily unload, lest it reduce their value and incur massive losses. China and the US are deeply intertwined economically. Taiwan could easily become this century’s tripwire, just as the ‘Fulda Gap’ in Germany was during the Cold War. But the same dynamic of ‘mutually assured destruction’ that limited US–Soviet conflict applies to the US and China. And the international community would do everything in its power to ensure that a potential nuclear conflict did not materialise, given that the consequences would be fundamentally transnational and—unlike climate change—immediate.A ‘mistake’ on the part of either country is always possible. Over Taiwan . That is why diplomacy is essential. Each country needs to determine its vital national interests vis-à-vis the other, and both need to consider the same question from the other’s perspective.