Friday, July 3, 2020

Can we Survive a Joe Biden Presidency?

Get ready for Joe Biden in 2021 .
Let put in something  hy·po·thet·i·cal in the picture . Let's assume that Trump loses to Joe Biden this November . President Donald Trump's falling approval ratings, an economy in free fall, a public in panic due to the (1)>>coronavirus pandemic - for these very real reasons, it would appear that any Democratic Party nominee should have a clear path to the White House in November. Dozens of Republican former U.S. national security officials are forming a group that will back Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden, people familiar with the effort said, in a further sign that President Donald Trump has alienated some members of his own party.The group will publicly endorse Biden in the coming weeks and its members plan to campaign for the former vice president who is challenging Trump in the Nov. 3 election, the sources said. It includes at least two dozen officials who served under Republican Presidents Ronald Reagan, George H.W. Bush and George W. Bush, with dozens more in talks to join, the sources added.   (2)>>And Joe Biden after 40 years becomes President of the United States in 2021 AD ?. First Trump losing to Biden could bring out another kind of riots in the streets. Yes,  I can see Trump's followers buring down , like the BLM rioters. The country in chaos again.   Today, as the country (and the world) enters what is likely to be a prolonged period of darkness, left to the mercy of a deadly virus, Biden is grappling with the reality of what he can—and must—do in this hour of crisis, as the man who would like to take over leadership of the United States. Already, this week, there are news reports that his campaign is “in a state of suspended political animation”.  Sleepy Joe makes it . LEST ASSUME ! Biden would be  just fine and I think he would have made a great President.  (3)>>If He ran 2016 instead of Hillary? .If Biden wins the presidency, I predict the Democrats will utilize him like a puppet on short strings, or they will question his mental stability and the vice president will become president. Among the wild cards of a Biden administration will be the issue of whether he has the actual mental stamina to govern, or if he is going to be frequently disoriented and infrequently seen or heard. Setting aside the protestations of people who pretend they don’t see exactly what everyone else does when Biden speaks in public, we are not actually being asked to vote for Biden as the candidate, because the Biden we see is a shell of his former self.  But it didn't happen, and now he's 75. I'm done with geriatric candidates.  (4)>>Biden has had oppertunities , he should thank Obama for giving him that "break". Regardless of what Democrats and the media would have us believe, there is not yet a nominee for the Democratic ticket. The nomination is in August at the Democratic National Convention.Half of voters were unable to cast a ballot for the nomination before the party shut down the race. The party and the media strong-armed the candidates voters were enthusiastic about to force them out of the race on behalf of their candidate, Joe Biden.This manipulation is compounded with the fact that many Americans are losing faith in our election system. Our ballots are largely counted electronically with 0 accountability. Considering that in the past two elections, the least popular candidates were crowned the winners of the Democrat primary, many wonder what reason we have to believe that our elections, especially their primary elections, are being presented accurately. If the Democrat party has the power to manipulate the narrative to make Joe Biden "the best candidate," their power over their elections seems obvious. Biden has an abominable public policy record on a wide range of issues. He has a penchant for lying — about his role in the civil rights movement and about being arrested in apartheid South Africa. He continues to lie and mislead about his support for the war in Iraq, the most consequential foreign policy decision of the post-Vietnam era. He has been accused by eight women of misconduct, including one allegation of very serious sexual assault by his former Senate staffer Tara Reade. Biden’s cognitive health and mental acuity is, to say the least, questionable, particularly when you compare his current performance with videos from just a few years ago.  
Biden a One Term President ?
Joe Biden has longed to win the White House for more than three decades. (5)>>If he finally makes it there after November’s election, he’s already talking about leaving. Biden is rarely known for sticking to a script, and the comments are evidence of his candid style. But they’re also contributing to intense speculation about who is best positioned to lead the party after him. Biden, 77, who has said he's "not sure" he'd even be running if Trump wasn't president, has reportedly signaled to campaign aides he would only serve one term, according to a recent Politico report.  Biden would seemingly risk losing much more than he'd gain from announcing his intention to serve one term, regardless of the fact Trump has a low approval rating. But Biden has an easy way to not only minimize this criticism but also to win additional support from so many who are frustrated with the corruption of our political system: Publicly pledge that if elected, he would serve only one term. This would permit him not only to neutralize those who worry that he’d be running for a second term at age 81 (!), but also to signal something even more important: that he can be a politician who actually governs and is not always raising money from large donors.  IF The country will (6)>>probably be in the end stages of a brutal pandemic and faced with the worst economy since the Great Depression. The Treasury will be significantly depleted. Millions of people will have lost loved ones, their jobs, much of their net worth. Hopefully a vaccine or an effective treatment will be closer to reality, and our national attention can shift to what comes next.  It's  unclear whether Biden is really the “safe” choice — other Democrats have beaten Trump handily in recent polls as well (QuinnipiacFox), while seeming more sure-footed — it’s unclear how safe being “safe” really is. A "return to normalcy" will do nothing to address the underlying problems that led to Trump's election in the first place — neither the deep systemic problems of democratic decline around the world nor the specific problems of the American political system. Also a would-be President Biden will not get much more cooperation from the GOP than Obama did, but he will continue to play nice, babbling on about his “good Republican friends” only to have them tar him with everything that goes wrong as a result. All this will make massive midterm losses in 2022 even more likely and will position the GOP to run a more professional and disciplined Trumpist to defeat him in 2024.
Russia , China and the World.
You all to know already that  (7)>>Biden is a "deep state" shill, for 40  years he a long supporter of the war in Iraq , many numerous foreign policy blunders . If he get's elected he is going read from the same cold war playbook , the same "endless wars" that plauged  the nation  for decades.  As on foreign policy, the Joe Biden campaign will assert that its defense plan is superior to that of President Trump. But I'm not convinced Biden's plan will support America's most exigent need: the ability to deter and defeat adversaries.  When it comes to the two top U.S. adversaries, China and Russia, the evidence suggests Biden's platform isn't on the mark. A key problem: Biden offers platitudes rather than strategy. November 2019 Military Times interview, Biden seemed to accept the idea that the U.S. military needs significant continuing investment. As the former senator put it, "With the return to great power competition posed by the rise of China and a revanchism Russia, we need to maintain our superiority. But we must do so affordable and by preparing for the wars of tomorrow." Biden added, "We can maintain a strong defense and protect our safety and security for less. The real question is not how much we invest — it’s how we invest." This notion of doing more for less is Biden's defense policy headline. Most Democratic Party cognoscenti assert that candidate Biden will not (and should not) permit Trump to paint him as “soft on China” during the remainder of this campaign. Their advice likely will be taken, setting the stage for the post-election problem of squaring election rhetoric with post-election necessities and national interests. Biden should not engage in a rhetorical race to the bottom on China with Trump now, not only because he doesn’t need to, but more importantly because threads of his current campaign and his past personal experience provide a more intelligent alternative. In so doing, he avoids having to modify policy later at great potential cost to his credibility. Biden administration will have to deal with is the China issue, assuming that it will come to power in the White House in 2021. Do we contain China or engage it?  Containment in the old Cold War sense is not possible because the U. S. and China economies are too intertwined. Trade between the U.S. and China approaches 700 billion dollars and is our largest trading partner resulting in large deficits. China has also bought a large amount of our U.S. treasury bonds. The regional nations also would not support any aggressive containment.  

Biden and the Economy .
The 77-year-old's economic agenda is not as detailed as others and does not contain similar sweeping proposals, but his plan for the U.S. is still ambitious and represents more than a reassuring reset button for Americans rattled by Trump. But as with many other things in 2021, there is nothing normal or easy to predict about the US economy as the election unfolds.  He has also shown signs that he's willing to pivot to the left to win over Sanders supporters. He proposed two new policies to "ease the economic burden on working people" a day after the democratic socialist dropped out of the race. But as the pandemic gripped the country this spring, sickening or killing nearly two million Americans and putting tens of millions out of work,  (8)>>Biden began issuing a raft of new proposals that move his positions closer to the progressive wing of the Democratic Party, with a promise to unveil an even more trans formative economic plan this summer. Biden's economic plan just would not be workable , take in  the considerations of the COVID -19 problem , most of the "warnings" of a second wave . The New York Times wrote on June 11 that “few aspects of Joseph R. Biden’s  presidential campaign are shrouded in as much secrecy as the counsel he receives on the economy.” Biden has reportedly formed an advisory committee with more than 100 economists, who are sworn to silence regarding their participation.By the same token, coaxing the economy back into life is not just a matter of trying to stimulate demand or tinkering with interest rates. It is instead deeply entwined with public health policy, where reopening the artificially shut-down economy could cost tens of thousands of US lives.
Biden Under the "influence" of Obama and Clinton.
In 2021 , "if" Biden wins , he going to come under the influence of Obama , Clinton . It is vary obvious that there is a agenda , if Biden plays by the Obama- Hillary book, the nation could go back to what it was back in 2009. It's a good time either with the economic outlook. President Barack Obama endorsed Joe Biden, giving the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee a boost from the party’s biggest fundraiser and one of its most popular figures.The endorsement marked Obama’s return to presidential politics more than three years after leaving the White House. He didn’t mention his successor, President Donald Trump, by name and instead sought to bridge the ideological divide among Democrats. Hillary Clinton-Joe Biden relationship lasted four years — as long as they had Barack Obama to gossip, kibbitz and complain about. There isn’t really a word in the political lexicon that captures the multilateral, 25-year relationship. Clinton and Biden aren’t enemies, but they’re not quite close friends. Obama wants to maintain his importance to the party and doesn't want to further unnecessary divisions among the Democrats . Joe Biden posted a Barack and Joe friendship bracelet on his 2020 campaign Twitter account, with the greeting: “Happy #BestFriendsDay to my friend, @BarackObama.” Biden is running for president, and his history with Obama is one of the main planks of his campaign — as central to his candidacy. On the trail, he touts the achievements of the Obama years, highlighting his own role and gluing himself to Obama by describing the presidency as “our administration.” And yet, as Biden relentlessly plays up the Obama- Hillary playbook.While Democrats are increasingly bullish about their odds of taking control of the Senate, there’s little chance that they would gain the filibuster-proof majorities they had at points during the Obama years, forcing a Biden administration to work with some Republicans during a national crisis.

NOTES AND COMMENTS: 
(1)>>coronavirus pandemic. Not that I think Trump handled it poorly. No matter what Trump did, people could blame him, and no matter what Trump did, there were going to be losses. So a disease like this is no good for the incumbent. He doesn't even really have a chance to make a comeback, so to speak. (2)>>And Joe Biden after 40 years becomes President of the United States in 2021 AD ?.  If Delaware's favorite son Joe Biden were to be elected president in 2020, he would be the oldest person to become president since Donald Trump took office in 2017. On inauguration day (Jan. 20, 2021), Biden would be 78 years, 61 days old.  The “too old” question in recent articles about Joe Biden, The New York Times, the Washington PostPoliticoCNN, the Atlantic, the Associated PressSlate   (3)>>If He ran 2016 instead of Hillary?  In 2008, when he was weighing whether to accept Barack Obama’s invitation to join the Presidential ticket, his only requirement was a guarantee that he would be “in the deal”—in every meeting that mattered, never unable to reach the President, worthy of inclusion. Once Hillary Clinton began to accumulate the air of a front-runner, logic dictated that the best way for Biden to stay in the deal was to keep alive the prospect of a candidacy, however quixotic it might appear. Since announcing his candidacy, Biden has proven himself exceptionally gaffe-prone, repeatedly referring to former British prime minister Theresa May as Margaret Thatcher, claiming he was vice president during the 2017 high school shooting in Parkland, Florida, and saying, "Poor kids are just as bright, just as talented, as white kids," at a speech in Iowa. Apart from making verbal stumbles, he's also defended his working relationship with segregationists in Congress. The most surprising part of the Times story though is how Obama has on multiple occasions tried to dissuade Biden from running for president. First, in 2016, Obama pressured Biden to sit out the race because he believed Hillary Clinton was the best shot at continuing his legacy. Even though that didn't pan out for Obama, he still tried to talk Biden out of running in 2020.  (4)>>Biden has had opportunities , he should thank Obama for giving him that "break".  In a column before the 2012 election, Bill Keller, the former executive editor of the Times, urged Obama to drop Biden as a running mate and replace him with the Secretary of State at the time, Hillary Clinton. There still seems to be an idea out there that somehow Vice President Joe Biden is going to leave the 2012 Democratic ticket — by his own choice or otherwise — and be replaced by Hillary Clinton, the secretary of state who has long said she will depart the Cabinet after President Obama's first term.   (5)>>If he finally makes it there after November’s election, he’s already talking about leaving.   On  Air Force Two for the trip home, Biden loosened his tie and asked for a cup of coffee. He said " I am tired , I can't keep going ...." . I honestly think that Biden dropping out could create a huge Constitutional crisis . If Biden bows out, under any scenario, Trump wins.  If that happens, what will happen to women in that case? A permanently right wing Supreme Court.   Roe v Wade?  Gone.  Planned Parenthood? Gone.  Equal pay for equal work? Will get a lot worse.  Domestic violence protections? Gone.  Voting for Joe Biden will require some nose holding in the voting booth.  But consider what happens if he loses, or a Bernie or a Mayor Pete is the nominee.  On the surface, who could believe such a thing? Not only does such a scenario seem logistically challenging, but Biden is such a good guy. Isn’t he? (6)>>probably be in the end stages of a brutal pandemic and faced with the worst economy since the Great Depression. The COVID-19 pandemic is inflicting high and rising human costs worldwide, and the necessary protection measures are severely impacting economic activity. As a result of the pandemic, the global economy is projected to contract sharply by –3 percent in 2020, much worse than during the 2008–09 financial crisis. In a baseline scenario--which assumes that the pandemic fades in the second half of 2020 and containment efforts can be gradually unwound—the global economy is projected to grow by 5.8 percent in 2021 as economic activity normalizes, helped by policy support. The risks for even more severe outcomes, however, are substantial. Effective policies are essential to forestall the possibility of worse outcomes, and the necessary measures to reduce contagion and protect lives are an important investment in long-term human and economic health. Because the economic fallout is acute in specific sectors, policymakers will need to implement substantial targeted fiscal, monetary, and financial market measures to support affected households and businesses domestically. And internationally, strong multilateral cooperation is essential to overcome the effects of the pandemic, including to help financially constrained countries facing twin health and funding shocks, and for channeling aid to countries with weak health care systems.(7)>>Biden is a "deep state" shill. It's VARY ODD Joe Biden is campaigning hard to win over Democratic presidential , when in fact he "somehow" made it through the hoops of every Democratic Debate on TV ONLY TO BE ENDORSED BY HIS OPPENENTS !!! Again the DNC had RIGGED the nomination , its amazing to see the repeat of 2016 before our eyes! But our 2020 election sure enough looks phoney.The least offensive candidate left standing was Biden. Many Democratic primary voters initially had written him off as an inept retread, a blowhard and an impediment to the leftward, identity-politics trajectory of the newly progressive Democratic Party. (8)>>Biden began issuing a raft of new proposals that move his positions closer to the progressive wing of the Democratic Party. The presumptive Democratic presidential nominee unveiled the proposal as he started a roundtable in Philadelphia about safely lifting public health lockdowns during the pandemic. While the coronavirus outbreak would likely look much different in January if Biden won the presidency and took office then, his campaign’s plan offers a contrast to President Donald Trump’s reopening policies, which it said fall “woefully short.” The former vice president says the plans to be unveiled this month will focus on housing, education and access to capital. In the meantime, he’s held daily economic briefings, including from chief economists from the Obama administration, Jared Bernstein and Ben Harris, and Heather Boushey, a progressive economist who advised Hillary Clinton’s 2016 campaign.Biden’s campaign has hinted it would like to pursue an even more expansive set of reforms than those proposed by Obama in the wake of the financial crisis. That includes aid to middle-class families rather than corporations, bolstering workers’ rights and removing some of the barriers to expansion in the labor force, like boosting access and government support for child and elder care. It has also discussed returning the supply chain to the U.S. and investments in green infrastructure to create jobs.