Saturday, April 27, 2019

Gavin Newsom versus Donald Trump.

Gov. Newsom's Ultra Liberal agenda
is set to Clash with
Donald Trump's in 2020 -2025 AD.
I  have some issues with (1)>>California Gov. Gavin Newsom. While he a mixed bag of  good and bad , I just don't know what to make of him. During his first 100 days as California’s 40th governor, Gavin Newsom has grabbed a lot of headlines.   .Newsom's administration released this Friday its  aims to address a host of problems related to wildfires, including how to maintain a safe, affordable electricity supply for California in the wake of Pacific Gas & Electric Corp.'s bankruptcy and the growing cost of wildfires. His press conference , he stresses that everyone has to pay its fair share .  That is vary much passing the buck on the tax payer .  (1.2)>>Mr. Trump singled California on Friday, when he declared he is seriously considering releasing undocumented immigrants into  (1.3)>>sanctuary jurisdictions. The president claimed he could release an "unlimited supply" of undocumented immigrants into Newsom's state. California law offers safe harbor for undocumented immigrants who might otherwise be deported by federal immigration authorities. In an interview with CBS News Friday, Newsom blasted Mr. Trump's proposal as unserious and illegal.  ALL this sets the stage for what is to come .  While I write this a few things came to me , much like a psychic . For the next few years we are going hear a lot of Newsom . Newsom, a Democrat who took office in January, chose El Salvador as his first international trip because California is home to both the United States' largest Salvadoran population and its busiest border crossing.   So far California Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) said  this Sunday he's in El Salvador to let people know President Trump's views don't reflect the U.S., "that’s an individual in our country, who happens at this moment to be president." I personally think going to Central America on this tour paints Newsom as aome sort of rebel who is against Trump's policies . While Newsom and Trump have clashed on several issues ahead of 2020 elections, as California spearheads liberal states' fight against the president. Trump has cut off federal aid to Guatemala, El Salvador and Honduras.  Newsom said  this about Trump: "You have a president that talks down to people in this country ... demoralizing folks living here and their relatives in the United States,” Newsom told reporters  this Sunday. (2)>>Right now Newsom is setting himself out to clash with Trump .  So in this writing I am going to make some "predictions" of a possible future outcome.  Trump had just visited California’s southern border to announce “Our country is full…. we can’t take you anymore, I’m sorry, can’t happen. So turn around, that’s the way it is.” His State Department has moved to cut off all foreign aid, more than $450 million, to El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras as punishment for what he described as their failure to halt the exodus. And then today he announced the resignation of his Homeland Security secretary, which was widely interpreted as a sign of a further immigration crackdown.  Newsom has fought the Trump administration on perhaps no issue as much as immigration, suing over the president's emergency declaration to build a southern border wall and pledging $25 million in state money to help asylum seekers. Newsom’s allies are waiting to see whether his sweeping vows to build more houses, protect the environment and expand social services for the state’s youngest and oldest will result in actual investment — in state dollars and political capital. Still, Newsom will be tested on how he would fund programs he campaigned on, such as early childhood development and affordable housing, should revenue continue to fall short of his projections. The state collected 9 percent less in revenue in January than he expected in his budget for the next fiscal year.  Newsom proposed a blizzard of new spending in his first budget, (2.1)>>calling for increased expenditures on education, (2.2)>>homelessness and poverty, as well as programs to bolster California’s long-term fiscal health.His $209 billion proposal, which now goes to the Legislature, left little doubt that California, already one of the more liberal states in the nation, was taking a turn to the left, and moving beyond the fiscal restraint of his predecessor, Jerry Brown. Mr. Newsom’s new spending plans take advantage of a growing surplus he projects for the state.  Gov. Newsom will be the King of Taxes . Big question is will there be a Boston Tea Party to dump the taxes he is going to raise ?


Newsom's 2020 Agenda.

Newsom is going to be a complete rebel , here is why  . The idea of California being it's own nation state is brewing in Newsom's mind .  (3)>>Newsom can create a country-within-a-country with a ultra liberal agenda the state is going to explode.  I suspect if I am correct in saying that Donald Trump won a second term , which is disastrous for the nation , what I am seeing now with the possibility of Joe Biden [ whom should have
Gov. Newsom's chart shows
obvious with all the
tax revenue , the State of
California faces
huge shortfalls.
Why?
won ] dropping out of the race  because of a smear tactic , leaving a complete vacuum inside of the Democratic Party for Trump to size a second term can't be avoidable . WE have to PREPARE for the WORST.  But despite that head start, Newsom will face many challenges after he is sworn in as California’s 40th governor at 12:02 p.m. Monday. One of every 5 Californians lives in poverty, and 3 million don’t have health insurance. Skyrocketing prices are putting homeownership out of reach for many, and the homeless population is spreading from cities to small towns. The public school system is among the most poorly funded in the country. Increasingly lethal wildfires threaten broad swaths of the state.Given what Newsom has been endowed with, and the entrenched quality of many of those problems, his biggest challenge could be focusing his energy and political capital.  
Considering that  slightly more liberal Newsom will succeed the very liberal Jerry Brown, it is hard to imagine just how much further left Newsom will be able to steer the state before California becomes bankrupt. The state already has a debt of $461 billion, which amounts to $11,583 per citizen.Upon being sworn in, Newsom promised to create a “progressive, principled” administration that will counter “corruption and incompetence” in the White House. To its end , next year Newsom  (3.2)>>will try to raise taxes . (4)>>He is going to try to hike gas prices by another dollar and "reform" prop 13 , which has nothing to do with Education . But fleecing Californians could be Newsom's answer to help pay for the increase of large caravans of un -documented which entered the state between 2020 and 2023 AD . According to the Census of 2030 ,  if I am  correct in reading historical records  of that year census that  undocumented immigrants  who reside in California, where they constituted more than 6% of the state’s population back in 2007 . IN 2020s that population during the Newsom years soared from 2 million to 20 million ! within a decade . Newsom adopted an open border policy in defiance to a newly elected second term Donald Trump calling California a " Sanctuary State"California likes to tax the rich. A lot. Bracing for a possible war over property tax limits on the 2020 ballot and a growing number of sales tax hikes in cash-strapped cities and counties, they argue that California’s impulse to raise taxes on corporations to balance the budget is another factor that makes it difficult to operate in the state. However, it must contend with the simple fact that we Californians are, in the aggregate, already carrying one of the nation’s highest tax burdens and quite possibly the highest.The Tax Foundation, a Washington-based organization that charts taxation trends, has California at No. 6 in state and local tax burden as a percentage of personal income, the most accepted method of comparison. It pegs Californians’ burden at 11 percent of personal income. For that we can see State payroll taxes going up almost 20 % on every Californian by 2020 or 2021. Here is why ...
California Sanctuary State !
Headlines read like this :" California’s new governor is promising the most populous state will be a “sanctuary to all who seek it” in a direct affront to President Donald Trump’s immigration policies."  While I sympathize with the plight of the caravans of people trying to enter the U.S. for a better life. Coming to a state with the highest tax burden , welfare may not improve their quality of life.  We have enough poor California citizens that can not even pay the rent .  Also, (5)>>the billions for illegal immigrants is often at the expense of American poor and the needs of our country. Gov. Newsom opened the floodgates on immigration & Iillegal immigration costs taxpayers in all 50 states a total of $89 billion, and California pays the most at $23 billion The website HowMuch.net, working with figures from the Federation for American Immigration Reform, found that Californians pay more than twice as much for illegal immigrants than the next closest state, Texas, where the price tag is $11 billion. So what the future holds for California is an exploding deficit that will be linked with higher taxes , more spending to keep up with the surge of population which is unsustainable . Considering that California actually has the largest budget surplus it has seen in nearly 20 years.With the state collecting more in taxes than predicted, and slowed growth for Medi-Cal. Governor Newsom predicts a $21.4 billion budget surplus .The Governor projects expanding Medi-Cal coverage to undocumented immigrants up to the age of 26 would cost $260 million dollars. If the proposal is approved in Sacramento, it would go into effect this July. This again is at the expense of California citizens .Perhaps you could look into exactly why people are fleeing Honduras, Guatemala, and other Central American countries. Hint: the USA and its past "interventions" in these Central American countries plays a large role in the story. But that would require from you a curiosity about learning, it would require some reading, and it would require some critical thinking.Democratic legislative leaders praise the new governor for his willingness to learn first hand about the root causes of a migration crisis that has driven Central Americans to seek U.S. asylum. Salvadoran Californians and immigration rights organizations are applauding him for recognizing an underrepresented constituency in such a high profile way.But outside Newsom’s political tent, reaction has ranged from bemusement to outrage. Critics argue that international migration is the U.S. president’s responsibility, not the governor’s, and that Newsom, as an ambitious Democrat, is merely boosting his anti-Trump cred.Newsom said  (6)>>California will be spending  $75 million for legal services and other aid to undocumented residents, including mental health services for adolescent migrants; exploring whether the University of California system can build partnerships in El Salvador as it does in Mexico; and influencing tech, hospitality, industrial and yes, surf entrepreneurs to invest in the country.Nor was the coverage all positive. The state GOP stayed busy on social media calling out pressing state needs in Newsom’s absence. And Don Rosenberg—whose son was struck repeatedly and killed by an undocumented immigrant driver in San Francisco and who now heads the nonprofit Advocates for Victims of Illegal Alien Crime—made an appearance on “Fox & Friends” to accuse the governor of putting “illegal aliens ahead of American citizens.”

Newsom  against Trump , the future .
Newsom has figured out very quickly that being the anti-Trump gives him national visibility, statewide stature and street credibility with the base of his own party.  Becoming governor of the nation’s richest and most populous state elevates Newsom into the upper ranks of national politics. Could – and would – he run for president two years hence, given that two other Californians – Sen. Kamala Harris and Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti – are already putative candidates? If he opts out of 2020, and Trump wins a second term, the presidency would be open in 2024 – neatly coinciding with the mid-point of a Newsom second term as governor. But if Trump loses to a Democrat in 2020, it could thwart whatever presidential ambitions Newsom might harbor. SO let's say for the sake of rationality or ill , that Donald Trump win's a second term . Which could be likely .  The U.S. political system is institutionally rigged in favor of conservative white voters who drastically diverge from the political values of most Americans.and it’s the reason filmmaker Michael Moore, who predicted Trump’s victory in 2016, recently warned that Trump could very likely be a two-term president.Setting up sanctuary cities is one of the most high-profile acts of defiance to the Trump presidency, and California wants to become less cooperative with federal officials who need state and local law enforcement help to deport illegal immigrants.  Which there is an interesting analysis -- particularly when you consider that the Democratic field is likely to be the largest in modern American history, with two dozen (or more) candidates expected to run. One would think that, given the expected size of the field, there would be at least one candidate -- and maybe a few. With neither a recession nor a major war to run against, Democrats sought instead to cast the election in starkly moral terms. Yet by Election Day, the charge that Mr. Trump is morally or intellectually unfit for office had been made so often that it had lost most of its former edge among swing voters. Newsom bid for the Presidency might come into future focus , what I am seeing is that even though Joe Biden entered the race in 2020 , winning the nomination of the DNC , which barely bites at the Trump machine . (7)>>This also assumes Trump wins re-election in 2020. Newsom could produce the biggest opposition against Trump ,he continues to rise in the ranks and he also does a good job on behalf of his California constituents, then I don’t see why he wouldn’t - at the very least, throw his name out in the 2024 Democratic primaries. NEXT question is will the state of California survive beyound the years 2024 to 2060 as a single state , or be divided into or three . It must be said if the state of California is heading that way . We all must have to thank Gov. Gavin Newsom.





NOTES AND COMMENTS:
(1)>>California Gov. Gavin Newsom. While he a mixed bag of  good and bad Newsom secured nearly 62% of the vote in his race against Republican John Cox, the largest electoral win for a California governor since Earl Warren in 1950. He racked up commanding margins in urban hubs such as Los Angeles and San Francisco, narrowly led in the former GOP stronghold of Orange County and had respectable — if not outright majority — showings in the conservative-leaning Central Valley. His win overlapped with victories for liberals up and down the ballot, resulting in Democrats building a supermajority — and then some — in both houses of the state Legislature.   (1.2)>>Mr. Trump singled California on Friday. Mr. Trump then contradicted that official, tweeting that his administration would be giving "strong considerations to placing Illegal Immigrants in Sanctuary Cities," and blaming congressional Democrats for not tightening immigration laws. Asked about the idea during a Friday event at the White House, the president reiterated he's looking into it. "We are looking at the possibility, strongly looking at it to be honest with you," Mr. Trump said, adding later the federal government could give California an "unlimited supply" of immigrants in the country illegally. "If they don't agree we might as well do what they say they want...we'll bring them to sanctuary city areas and let that particular area take care of it," the president also said Friday. (1.3)>>sanctuary jurisdictions.   California Gov. Gavin Newsom’s response to President Trump’s recent and repeated claims that the federal government should place Central American migrants seeking asylum in “sanctuary cities”?It’s already happening.“That’s what they’re doing,” Newsom told CapRadio during an interview in his office at the state Capitol on Monday. “They’re sending folks to street corners and Greyhound bus stations in a sanctuary state, disproportionately in our state. Legal asylum seekers.”The governor also says Trump is “intentionally making things worse” by pulling federal funding from the Central American countries where the migrants are leaving.“That’s gonna increase the migrant crisis — his unwillingness to address the issue of due process and support the adjudication of claims at the border. His unwillingness to staff and fund those efforts exacerbates the issue,” Newsom said. “And in many ways, he’s inviting a crisis of his own making.”Newsom says California will take in its “fair share,” and “continue to defend and embrace sanctuary policies.”     (2)>>Right now Newsom is setting himself out to clash with Trump .  This is no accident. For better or for worse, Newsom has already done a lot to shape modern California. As San Francisco’s mayor from 2004 to 2011, he pushed the outer boundary of Democratic party politics leftward. His first gubernatorial-campaign ad reminded viewers that he issued same-sex marriage licenses way back in 2004, in calculated defiance of state law. As mayor, he banned plastic bags, the use of Styrofoam in restaurants’ takeout containers, and sales of cigarettes in convenience stores, pharmacies, grocery stories, and big-box stores. He signed laws mandating composting and requiring retailers to display the radiation levels of the cellphones they sold. He gave 400 city employees the authority to write citations for littering. He proposed, but never succeeded in passing, a surcharge on all drinks with high-fructose corn syrup.  (2.2)>>  homelessness.In 2004, Newsom audaciously pledged to end chronic homelessness in his city within ten years. A decade later, the San Francisco Chronicle completed a thorough analysis and concluded that despite $1.5 billion spent on moving 19,500 homeless people off city streets, “the homeless population hasn’t budged.” New homeless appeared as fast as the city could remove the previous ones. Efforts to help ease California’s housing and homelessness crises would be bolstered under the spending plan too, with $500 million to be set aside to help local governments build shelters and add services to help the homeless. Some of the money would be earmarked for the state’s 11 largest cities, while other funds would be used to reward communities that are the most successful at creating housing options. Newsom also called for an expedited environmental review of construction projects to alleviate homelessness. (2.1)>>calling for increased expenditures on education. To the applause of education advocates around the state, Gov. Gavin Newsom acknowledged during his State of the State address that California’s spending on primary and secondary education is among the lowest in the nation.“Seven years ago, we invested $47.3 billion in our schools. Next year, with your support, we’ll invest more than $80 billion — that includes $576 million for special education,” Newsom said.“But it’s not enough. We’re still 41st in the nation in per pupil funding. Something needs to change. We need to have an honest conversation about how we fund our schools at a state and local level,” he said.(3)>>Newsom can create a country-within-a-country with a ultra liberal agenda the state is going to explode California is extremely wealthy—if it were its own country, it’d have the fifth-largest economy in the world—and the center of some of the world’s most important technology, financial, and entertainment industries. But the wealth is concentrated at the top, and the squeezing of the middle class out to Nevada and Utah and Arizona and Texas has left a bifurcated state of the very rich and the relatively poor. Taking over the country’s biggest state — the massive home not only to the Donald Trump resistance, but to a liberal, diverse populace that many Democrats believe represents the country’s future — Newsom is extremely likely to suddenly become one of the most prominent Trump antagonists on Earth. He will govern a territory that’s been locked in a legal and political war with the president for two years now, a state that sometimes acts like it’s own parallel nation. (3.2)>>will try to raise taxes .  Here are the new tax bills introduced this year. Tax on services SB522 Tax on soda AB 138 Tax on firearms AB 18 Tax on tires AB 755 Tax on drinking water SB 200  Tax on gasoline SB 246      (4)>>He is going to try to hike gas prices by another dollar and "reform" prop 13 .  Though it costs the average family $800 per year. California's high gas prices are "over kill" . Not only for that a special formula has to made for its gas . BUT the Gas tax is so expensive , that Newsom could use it as a leverage for more revenue to sustain the state debt . As Early as 2020 , Newsom attempted to raise the gas tax to another 1 Dollar . IN 2019 gas prices soared to 4.50 $ while the rest of the nation was below 3 dollars . California will reach the 5 dollar mark at the pump and stay there till 2023 .   California's gas price hikes will be addressed in another blog post I am working on. But since voters approved Proposition 13 in 1978, radically limiting property taxes, lawmakers have constantly fiddled with the tax code, looking for ways to make up for the major drop in what was once California’s primary source of funding.Over the past two decades, the state has increasingly come to rely on personal income taxes, which now comprise more than two-thirds of the general fund, according to the Legislative Analyst’s Office. And because of the progressive tax structure, wealthier Californians pay a larger share of their income than poorer Californians in taxes.Newsom’s budget doesn’t touch personal income taxes as a funding source for tax credit expansion, but it certainly could in the future. In a report released in December 2018 calling for an expansion of the CalEITC, the ESP says the income threshold for the credit should be raised to $75,000 to truly acknowledge income disparity and unaffordable in the state. California would need to raise significantly more funding for the program to reach that goal, and it’s not inconceivable the state could turn to personal incomes of the everyone to make it happen , to keep the states over inflated budget . Sacramento politicians can’t help themselves when it comes to spending other people’s money. Gavin’s CA will be like his SF - outrageous taxes with none of the benefits. (5)>>the billions for illegal immigrants is often at the expense of American poor.  A continually growing population of illegal aliens, along with the federal government’s ineffective efforts to secure our borders, present significant national security and public safety threats to the United States. They also have a severely negative impact on the nation’s taxpayers at the local, state, and national levels. Illegal immigration costs Americans billions of dollars each year. Illegal aliens are net consumers of taxpayer-funded services and the limited taxes paid by some segments of the illegal alien population are, in no way, significant enough to offset the growing financial burdens imposed on U.S. taxpayers by massive numbers of uninvited guests. This study examines the fiscal impact of illegal aliens as reflected in both federal and state budgets. [see https://fairus.org/issue/pu... ]  (6)>>California will be spending  $75 million for legal services and other aid to undocumented.  California has the worst poverty percentage in the country when taking into account the very high cost of living. African-Americans have been fleeing San Francisco and Los Angeles.But it's a great place to be rich. Funny how that works ...(7)>>This also assumes Trump wins re-election in 2020. Newsom could produce the biggest opposition against Trump.  As the country's demography changes, becoming ever more Asian, Hispanic, Black and mixed race, so the politics of the country will have to change. This is what Trump's political coalition is all about. They are fighting that demographic shift along with the cultural liberalism of the major urban metro areas populated by highly educated and affluent whites and non-whites alike. That left coalition has California, the rest of the West Coast, the Northeast and major metropolitan areas elsewhere. Hollywood, Silicon Valley, the academy and a solid majority of the young both entrepreneurial and artistic are all part of that anti-Trump coalition that California is the exemplar of. 2018 and 2020 should demonstrate that demographic shift now accelerated by the right wing populism of the Trump administration and of course the polarizing figure of Donald Trump. If California is the anti-Trump, Trump is the anti-California and Trump, as far as I can see, his shadow is till in the future.

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