Saturday, November 24, 2018

Climate report OVERVIEW.

Well here it is . The long awaited (1)>>US  CLIMATE REPORT . It was released . The interesting thing I can only point out [ as serious as presumptuous warning] & this report says that  "would be highly crippling to U.S. economic growth," . I wrote about this in 2017 regarding the fuss , Trump denials . BUT hay its 2018 nothing has changed . For the most part of it we have vary warm summers , what they call Indian summers were last year it reached 108F where I lived , (1.2)>>it was brutal , but it not exactly abnormal. The Problem with global warming  is that while temps have been going up in theory , during the winters the eastern parts of the United States was being hit with with an extreme sub Arctic polar vortex that send blizzard freezing temperatures that contradicts the predicted models of global warming .  While the extreme weather we been having is not a new phenomenon.   The world’s leading climate scientists have warned there is only a dozen years for global warming to be kept to a maximum of 1.5C, beyond which even half a degree will significantly worsen the risks of drought, floods, extreme heat and poverty for hundreds of millions of people. For America the new [0ld] warning is obvious . Written long before the deadly fires in California this month and Hurricanes Florence and Michael raked the East Coast and Florida, the National
Climate Assessment says warming-charged extremes "have already become more frequent, intense, widespread or of long duration."The federal report says the last few years have smashed records for damaging weather in the U.S., costing nearly $400 billion since 2015. "Warmer and drier conditions have contributed to an increase in large forest fires in the western United States and interior Alaska," according to the report.Coming from the US Global Change Research Program, a team of 13 federal agencies, theFourth National Climate Assessment was put together with the help of 1,000 people, including 300 leading scientists, roughly half from outside the government. The report frequently contradicts President Donald Trump, who took to Twitter on Wednesday night to again express his doubts about climate change, using the especially cold Thanksgiving forecast as an example."Brutal and Extended Cold Blast could shatter (2)>>ALL RECORDS - Whatever happened to Global Warming?" the president tweeted. A White House spokeswoman, however, said the assessment was “largely based on the most extreme scenario, which contradicts long-established trends by assuming that, despite strong economic growth that would increase greenhouse gas emissions, there would be limited technology and innovation, and a rapidly expanding population.” Republican Party have become aware that denying the existence of global warming makes them look like idiots. Changes in climate have become obvious, not just to
scientists, but to ordinary people — they can be directly measured, with such exotic instruments as a “thermometer.” Majorities of every group except the most conservative Republicans (who will trust their media over their lying eyes) believe it is happening. Denying visible, tangible reality is a dicey business, even for the modern US right. It makes the party look like a death cult. So Republican climate-communication strategy has undergone something of an adjustment recently to accept some of the views [ see this survey https://bit.ly/2K4uGvs ] Yet there’s scant reason to hope major change will come any time soon to a hopelessly polarized Congress. America should be leading the way taking a balance to  find a global solution to climate  [ for example air pollution , water contamination ] for our fragile planet .


NOTES AND COMMENTS :
 You might Like to RE - READ what I wrote about "Climate Change"before . See the following Link , best archived  [ https://bit.ly/2S8bAbV ] 

(1)>>US  CLIMATE REPORT The US National Climate change assessment,  This 1,600-page report details the climate and economic impacts U.S. residents will see if drastic action is not taken to address climate change."The impacts of global climate change are already being felt in the United States and are projected to intensify in the future," the researchers say.The last few years have smashed records for damaging weather in the United States, costing nearly $400 billion since 2015. In a worst-case scenario, the researchers say, climate change could deliver a 10 percent hit to the nation's GDP by the end of the century. (1.2)>>it was brutal , but it not exactly abnormal. There’s a school of thought that says the slightest deviation from the most vehement, table-banging language in support of the climate cause is tantamount to betrayal. The new normal is a catchy phrase, and one you’ve probably heard before . the cliche has shown up after disastrous wildfires, hurricanes, heatwaves, and drought. The prognosticators use averages over a period of time, usually 30 years, to describe “normal”. Misuse of the term normal. The last 1 million years the Earth has been in a grips of an Ice Age at intervals of time My comparison using November and late frost was meant to imply that this interglacial has gone on several thousand years too long, with respect to previous interglacials. Yes we had "warming " periods about 5000 years ago . I think the Earth and its climate has been changing , yes its NORMAL . The ONLY fact we should fight pollution and "ruining the Earth" that is more challenging than the climate . (2)>>ALL RECORDS - Whatever happened to Global Warming?. Science achieves a consensus when scientists stop arguing.  When a question is first asked – like ‘what would happen if we put a load more CO2 in the atmosphere?’ – there may be many hypotheses about cause and effect. Over a period of time, each idea is tested and retested – the processes of the scientific method – because all scientists know that reputation and kudos go to those who find the right answer (and everyone else becomes an irrelevant footnote in the history of science).  Nearly all hypotheses will fall by the wayside during this testing period, because only one is going to answer the question properly, without leaving all kinds of odd dangling bits that don’t quite add up. Bad theories are usually rather untidy. The fact that there are so many Academies of Science endorsing the global warming position is probably the strongest argument for supporting it. The question to ask is how mature is this field? If the answer is 'very mature' then this type of support has high credibility. If the answer is 'immature' then it's significance is considerably less. Here is a link to US Senate Committee on the Environment that lists in detail 400 scientists who disagree with the anthropomorphic global warming hypothesis: http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.SenateReport That there are so many when we repeatedly hear on the news and radio that the actual number of dissenters is 'miniscule' will have the tendency to turn believers into sceptics. I would also feel more confident if the 'hockey stick' graphics that predict rapid change and global catastrophe would not all be linked back to a small handful of researchers and students who work together and presumably have the same preconceptions and modus operandi. If there are no 'hockey sticks' then the small increase in global temperature over the last century does not statistically look different from what one would expect from natural variation.

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