Friday, April 14, 2023

American FOREIGN POLICY FAILURES !

Uncle Sam is crying , American Foreign Policy 
is in dangerously in shambles.
Heading towards a bigger war .

EVER SINCE 2020 . China and Russia have asserted themselves as global powers , pretty much adversarial to the  (1)>>United States as a new "cold war " is bursting out of the bubble . HOW did we get this way in our relations with Russia and China to such  (1.2)>>a dangerous level right now ? Don't mistake a lack of political will with economic and political weakness. The American people are tired of war, but if the US needed to it could easily shift in to total war mode on the scale of WWII. Something no other country in the world would be capable of  NOT doing a full scale war without dire consequences . Secondly , our current foreign policy towards the world as a "leader in democracy " is a total failure .  (2)>>SO FAR U.S. diplomacy is out the window. I think this is one of the two biggest American mistakes of the post-Cold War era because it violates a basic principle of strategy, that of keeping your opponents separate. But the other mistake isn't any smaller, that of switching from an industrial and manufacturing economy to a "services" economy that only produces vaporware and makes us dependent on others for almost everything. 
China and Russia fiascos .
The whole ‘Balloon’ incident was baffling. What a missed opportunity to improve relations. ‘We’ll send you back your balloon’…’Gee, thanks’. ‘Let’s open up channels so we can deal with these incidents in future’. (3)>>Instead Biden insisted in turning a molehill into a mountain and pushing the Chinese even closer to the Russians. A half century of of diplomacy tossed away. Biden Administration has implemented perhaps the worst foreign policy since the close of the Second World War. Even worse than George W. Bush. (3.1)>>Essentially, the Biden Administration has abandoned over fifty years of foreign policy pertaining to Eastern Europe and the Western Pacific that was designed to maintain regional and global stability. The Biden Administration's foreign policy has essentially destabilized Eastern Europe and the Western Pacific. The withdrawal from Afghanistan has served to destabilize Southwest Asia. (4)>>The Biden Administration's disastrous foreign policy will result in more combat and may take decades to resolve and restore stability.A lot of career State and Defense Department employees never got over the Cold War and failed to adjust their thinking to a post-Cold War era. Russia is like the bully's (PRC) little pal and not near the threat that the Soviet Union was. We run the risk of sending Ukraine all this aid to the the point that we have little to respond with when and if China invades Taiwan. (4.1)>>That is a real threat since they have figured out that Biden is weak. To be fair, the failed U.S. diplomacy in this regard predates the Biden administration. It can be traced back at least to the Clinton presidency which in a fit of diplomatic hubris began  (4.2)>>the post-Cold War expansion of NATO--a process that continued and accelerated through each successive presidential administration until NATO’s reach approached most of Russia’s western border. NATO expansion revived Russia’s historical insecurities and its aggressive nationalism, just as George Kennan, among others, predicted. Russia signaled this in its diplomacy and its actions--especially Vladimir Putin’s aggressive moves in Georgia in 2008, and in Ukraine in 2014. Meanwhile, China was rising economically and militarily, and that rise was fueled in part by U.S. trade and investments.
Endless Wars that are probably going to be Armageddon for sure !
 AS THE SAYING GOES ........... (5)>>America can pay for endless war but not healthcare.Rethinking U.S. military primacy is a necessary corollary to ending state-sanctioned violence at home because America’s wars abroad sustain and feed into militarized and racialized domestic policing. Beyond the conveyor belt of equipment, training, and manpower that circulates between America’s wars – within our borders and overseas – lie massive vested interests in what today is best understood as the military-industrial-policing complex. (6)>>IF IT'S NOT STOPPED ist POSSIBLE it will Armageddon for the United States.These wars are basically Killing the American Economy .We are seeing it again in the current war between the United States/NATO and Russia, being fought out mainly in Ukraine. It is becoming “the Mother of All Energy Wars,” according to Charlotte Dennett, who highlights U.S. determination to cut Western Europe off from Russian gas and oil. She also links it to the recent endless wars to control the world’s energy supply in Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria, Libya and Iran, and to dominate the Eurasian landmass with its enormous deposits of fossil fuels and other rich resources.So when Joe Biden says he is doing “everything within my power” to address “Putin price hikes,” he is stretching truth to the breaking point. He is really saying we need to endure higher prices for gas—and food, rent, clothes, and everything else—because of the reckless draconian sanction war on Russia. It is an economic war of attrition against Russia, but it is hitting the whole world. So far Western Europe is suffering more than Russia, and the poorest people in the world, especially in Africa and the Middle East, are likely to be hurt the most. This hurt will turn into a massive showdown with reality. (7)>>The US "imperial system" is weakening in much of the world, he observed, but this is leading Washington to "strengthen its hold on its initial protectorates": Europe and Japan.With growing tensions between the West and Russia + China, is a full on confrontation with one or both inevitable or do you anticipate something akin to the Cold War? Does China rely too much on the United States for their own economy to ever get into a direct conflict? What if they actually attack Taiwan? Or is that just all talk?Only if China or Russia start the thing: the foreign policy of the United States can be summed up pretty easily: Keep Buying Our Stuff and Keep Selling US Stuff. Biden's foreign policy failures keep piling up.  The U.S. is less and less connected to both our enemies and allies. Thus .... Uncle SAM WEEPS .



NOTES AND COMMENTS: (1)>>United States as a new "cold war " is bursting out of the bubble . Is this period of extreme tensions with Russia and China basically what it was like then? Or has it not reached that point (yet)? Thank you.The Cold War involved our direct and large-scale involvement in multiple hot wars around the world, which isn't happening, and a very real possibility of global nuclear catastrophe, which also isn't remotely as significant of a threat right now.The latter half of the 20th century was, for the most part, geopolitically bipolar; the US/NATO and USSR/Warsaw Pact were rival superpower-led blocs with massive nuclear stockpiles and which were engaged in non-stop mutual aggression in every continent. The Russian Federation is not a superpower, and after its performance in the recent war it's hard to even look at it as a regional one. National nuclear arsenals have also all been substantially decreased from their Cold War-era peaks.It's also worth noting that Sino-Russian cooperation is, and always has been, a matter of convenience. Russia right now is capital-poor and fossil fuel-rich but cut itself off from its European markets for those fossil fuels, whereas China is capital-rich but energy-poor and so is an ideal substitute export market for Russian oil and gas, as well as a potential source of finance capital for otherwise infeasible extraction operations in Siberia and the Russian Far East. But, despite that and their shared antipathy toward NATO, there's no love there. Their political-economic systems, both philosophically and in practice, are wildly different, and there's a long history of bad blood stretching back to the early 1800s and which continued even after the (effective) end of their civil war made China the world's second major socialist state alongside the USSR.(1.2)>>a dangerous level right now ? I think we SO CLOSE TO A HOT CONFLICT .  The Cold War never really ended, it just went on pause for about a decade and evolved. But when the Cold War was in full swing, tensions were exponentially higher. Nuclear war stood a real possibility of popping off at any moment at times and then there were incidents like the Checkpoint Charlie Standoff where there was a real chance of NATO and Soviet troops opening up on each other. There’s a lotthat can happen between now and full-scale nuclear war that you’ll want to prepare for.War could cause public utility and internet outages, disruption of petroleum supply, supply chain collapse, partial or total shutdown of global travel, drafting of fighters, manufacturing facilities tasked to make weaponry/ammunition instead of normal production, acts of sabotage (e.g., train derailments, attacks on power substations, etc.)…. The list goes on and on. These things could be temporary or have a very long lasting effect.The American public isn't paying attention to covid or Ukraine anymore and is starting to pay attention to the bureaucratic incompetence in Washington again so they need another distraction before the mid-terms. What better distraction than a provoked invasion of Taiwan. Bonus points for being able to sell weapons and launder money through taxpayer aid.(2)>>SO FAR U.S. diplomacy is out the window. U.S. foreign policy suffers from systematic flaws in the thinking of the informal policy collective. War is never a option .America blundered into the Korean War and barely achieved a passable outcome. The Johnson administration infused Vietnam with dramatically outsize importance. For decades, Washington foolishly refused to engage the People’s Republic of China. Washington‐​backed dictators in Cuba, Nicaragua, Iran, and elsewhere fell ingloriously. An economic embargo against Cuba that continues today helped turn Fidel Castro into a global folk hero. Washington veered dangerously close to nuclear war with Moscow during the Cuban Missile Crisis in 1962 and again two decades later during military exercises in Europe. China and Russia are NOW STEPPING UP DIPLOMACY with other nations , while the America has sunk into blundering policy decisions .Perhaps the worst failing of U.S. foreign policy was ignoring the inevitable impact of foreign intervention. Americans would never passively accept another nation bombing, invading, and occupying their nation, or interfering in their political system. The U.S. record since September 11 has been uniquely counterproductive. Rather than minimize hostility toward America, Washington adopted a policy—highlighted by launching new wars, killing more civilians, and ravaging additional societies—guaranteed to create enemies, exacerbate radicalism, and spread terrorism. (3)>>Instead Biden insisted in turning a molehill into a mountain and pushing the Chinese even closer to the Russians. So... Here's what's happening:WEF: America’s dominance is over. By 2030, we'll have a handful of global powers. In all likelihood, Russia will emerge victorious with regard to its actions in Ukraine (but will do so in a way that somehow maintains world respect for Ukraine as well.)And... In all likelihood, China will take Taiwan (but when it happens, it will eventually be painted as a good thing after the initial fear and chaos passes.)Combine this with that spectacle of incompetence in Afghanistan and what you see is the United States being redefined as no longer the singular world superpower.Remember that governments all over the world --- including US, China & Russia --- are infiltrated by the WEF.Truth is, America was never as sovereign as we thought. This was outlined clearly in the history lesson in the opening couple of days of the Covid-19 international Grand Jury trial...But now they are making sure WE know that our nation is being humbled. We are being made to lose faith in our existing institutions so that we'll accept change. These people are directing that change, of course... As they are in China, Ukraine, and Russia, too.It's important for them to break Americans because we still have that middle-class sense of entitlement. By the end of this, they hope to reduce us to fear and resigned complacency so we are grateful for what little they offer us in The New Normal.(3.1)>>Essentially, the Biden Administration has abandoned over fifty years of foreign policy . ALTHOUGH , technically the U.S. obsession with election meddling to get rid of Donald J Trump has contributed to the acceleration of the demise of nuclear treaties that were enacted under Ronald Reagan and Gorbachev .The demise of the INF treaty - the only disarmament agreement ever to eliminate a whole category of nuclear weapons - represents a significant setback for advocates of arms control.That it comes at a time when the US is increasingly concerned by the threat from what it sees as a resurgent Russia is doubly unsettling.Neither Moscow nor Washington appears to value such treaties.The most important agreement of the old Cold War years - the New Start treaty - that limits long-range nuclear weapons is set to expire in February 2021. Its survival is far from certain.The paradox is that arms control appeared unimportant after the collapse of the Soviet Union when tensions were low.Now that they are mounting again, disarmament agreements could have an important part to play in maintaining stability. The Biden administration is currently weak to reset any treaties with Russia , it will take a new American Leader to RESTORE DIPLOMATIC RELATIONS WITH RUSSIA ! (4)>>The Biden Administration's disastrous foreign policy will result in more combat and may take decades to resolve and restore stability. The AFGHANISTAN pull out set the stage of American decline , pretty much it was a horrendous mistake on the Biden policy & the Chaos that followed . Whereas Biden's domestic policy malapropisms are generally subjects of amusement (or derision) with few consequences, the same cannot be said of his parallel misstatements when it comes to foreign policy. Consider the war in Ukraine. A war that NEVER SHOULD HAVE STARTED . Pretty Much Biden , NATO are to blame for pushing a anti -Russian agenda on the borders of Russian territory by using Ukraine as fodder create a proxy war to fight Russia . BY far a huge mistake . Confusion, and worse, impulsiveness, have been the hallmarks of Biden's decisions no less than his pronouncements. Biden's actions against Russia since it invaded Ukraine are similarly seen by allies and enemies alike as the product of impulsive decisions, made without sufficient consideration of easily foreseeable consequences. In Ukraine, as each week passes, the United States only seems to ramp up its commitment to war with Russia, moving the slim line of proxy warfare ever closer to a head-to-head confrontation between the planet’s two great military powers. (4.1)>>That is a real threat since they have figured out that Biden is weak. He's the oldest President ever, he's so old that he literally has difficulty speaking. I've seen videos of him 20 years ago and the difference in how he talks is outstanding, we cannot trust 70+ year olds to run this country when they're so out of touch with the modern world and the younger generations. Plus, right now, the US seems to be - politically speaking - as divided as it's ever been. In particular there's a subset of the Republican party who seem to only have one policy: to be against anything that Biden proposes (unless it will let them claim credit for any positive effects it has), and this is going to create a very simplistic us-vs-them mindset. Similarly, when Biden himself, or the White House, announce the positive results from his policies, there are people who just have to find fault with it, even if it's objectively true.From what I've read, people who are able to see things more objectively consider that Biden has done an excellent job in galvanising Europe and others against Russia, and he's also not TFG, so he's not going to make inflammatory and dangerous statements which could unnecessarily escalate the situation. Presumably fans of TFG consider this a sign of weakness.  (4.2)>>the post-Cold War expansion of NATO.Biden, fancying himself as some New Age Holy Roman Emperor, cannot dare countenance how or why anyone would question the logic of endless NATO expansion any more than one would question the laws of gravity or the sky being blue. To be fair, NATO has proved to be one of the most enduring multilateral military alliances in history. Yet the mission it was designed for, to defend Western Europe from a Soviet invasion during the Cold War, has been over for decades.Like most bureaucracies, however, NATO did not go away when it had helped to achieve an astonishingly bloodless victory in the Cold War. Instead, like most bureaucracies, it mutated and expanded. Now, America’s foreign policy establishment is dominated by people who are even more committed to the alliance’s power than those who saved it in the 1990s. NATO’s existence and enlargement is a baseline assumption. (5)>>America can pay for endless war but not healthcare. Oh, we can afford it. Does that mean we lack the money for these important pandemic measures? Exactly the opposite: Democrats chose to spend it somewhere else. As the New York Times reports, “Republicans claimed credit for prodding Democrats to accept a $42 billion increase in military spending, bringing the total this year to $782 billion.” And: “Lawmakers more than doubled what the Biden administration requested in emergency aid for Ukraine.” The idiots at the top, the big pharmaceutical companies, the big clinics, their associations, and hospital associations lobby to keep the status quo, because they make so much money at it. It remains the case that the richest country on earth—which spends billions on war—acts like it can’t afford to take care of its own.  This is why we need to have a concerted effort to disrupt their efforts at lobbying congress and the administration. Healthcare is not a question of expenditure. The healthcare systems of all developed nations is less far expensive than that of the US.This absurd funding fight wouldn’t be happening if the U.S. finally joined the rest of the developed world in providing healthcare to all its residents. The primary opposition to endless wars is procedural, stemming from Congress’ lack of approvalAs Pete Buttigieg argued, “Fundamental truth is, if our troops can summon the courage to go overseas into harm’s way, often on deployment after deployment, then we’ve got to make sure that Congress has the courage to take tough up-or-down votes on whether they ought to be there.”  Right now, only about one quarter of the $738 billion Pentagon budget goes to our troops. The rest is mainly three things: the cost of maintaining 800 military installations all over the world; lucrative Pentagon contracts, which account for nearly half of the entire Pentagon budget; and, of course, our never-ending wars in the Middle East. Notable war hawk, Joe Biden, has voted for and supported military budget after military budget, along with countless US interventions. He was also a proponent and executor of the drone strike approach to foreign policy executed by President Obama. While Biden received the most attention for supporting the war in Iraq, now Ukraine . The imperialist tendencies among the Democrats & Republicans  don’t end with him.(6)>>IF IT'S NOT STOPPED ist POSSIBLE it will Armageddon for the United States. Last YEAR SLEEP JOE BIDEN made a alarming statement , either a gaff , WE CAN'T TRUST OUR GOVERNMENT , REPEAT ! SO >>>President Joe Biden issued a dire warning about the escalating nuclear dilemma in Russia , saying the country's president, Vladimir Putin, is "not joking" when he talks about potentially using the weapons.At a fundraiser in New York City, Biden said for the “first time since the Cuban missile crisis, we have the direct threat of the use of a nuclear weapon if in fact things continue down the path that they are going. That’s a different deal.”“We have not faced the prospect of Armageddon since Kennedy and the Cuban missile crisis,” he said. “I don't think there's any such thing as the ability to easily (use) a tactical nuclear weapon and not end up with Armageddon.”More than any other presidential statement since Sept. 11, 2001, Mr. Biden’s warning signaled the start of a new era in American foreign policy. CALLED CATASTROPHIC .How quaint. The United States now faces the real and regular prospect of fighting adversaries strong enough to do Americans immense harm. The post-Sept. 11 forever wars have been costly, but a true great power war — the kind that used to afflict Europe — would be something else, pitting the United States against Russia or even China, whose economic strength rivals America’s and whose military could soon as well.(7)>>The US "imperial system" is weakening in much of the world. We are now living in the weakened America that has been intentionally engineered over the past four decades by American corporations and super-rich individuals. In this America, government at all levels has become structured to serve those interests.  The Nation has lost the political, legal and institutional structures necessary for government to act in the broader public interest. What is left is the ineffectual, incompetent, resource-poor, distrusted, and confused government now struggling before our eyes.The first thing to say is how much utter contempt and disparagement of Joe Biden there is out there on the right. Since becoming the world's most powerful country after the two world wars and the Cold War, the United States has acted more boldly to interfere in the internal affairs of other countries, pursue, maintain and abuse hegemony, advance subversion and infiltration, and willfully wage wars, bringing harm to the international community.The United States has developed a hegemonic playbook to stage "color revolutions," instigate regional disputes, and even directly launch wars under the guise of promoting democracy, freedom and human rights. Clinging to the Cold War mentality, the United States has ramped up bloc politics and stoked conflict and confrontation. It has overstretched the concept of national security, abused export controls and forced unilateral sanctions upon others. It has taken a selective approach to international law and rules, utilizing or discarding them as it sees fit, and has sought to impose rules that serve its own interests in the name of upholding a "rules-based international order." While creating CHAOS all OVER the WORLD .