Saturday, February 24, 2018

The Syrian Apocalypse.

8And the king of Sodom and the king of Gomorrah and the king of Admah and the king of Zeboiim and the king of Bela (that is, Zoar) came out; and they arrayed for battle against them in the valley of Siddim, 9against Chedorlaomer king of Elam and Tidal king of Goiim and Amraphel king of Shinar and Arioch king of Ellasar - four kings against five. 10Now the valley of Siddim was full of tar pits; and the kings of Sodom and Gomorrah fled, and they fell into them. But those who survived fled to the hill country.…
New American Standard Bible  Genesis 14:8-10.
The Genesis quotation above is not about what is going on in Syria right now in the literal sense . 

(1.1)>>To illustrate how the nation of Syria has been invaded , Occupied between four nations , powers of the world. After years of civil war, Syria is now a country that lies in ruins. Thousands of people have died, millions have fled.With no end of the war in sight, groups continue to battle for control over large parts of the country. The Syrian government, the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL, known as ISIL), Kurdish factions, and several other rebel groups are still fighting for some of the most important parts of the country. Government troops, supported by Russian war planes, have gained some ground over the past few months, expelling ISIL from Palmyra, Raqqa and other important places. At the end of 2016, the Syrian government managed to capture Aleppo, one of the main battlegrounds in the conflict.  Meanwhile Kurdish fighters have made gains in the northern part of Syria, reducing the territory under control by ISIL.Turkish troops also joined the fight against ISIL, expelling the group from the city of Jarablus. ISIL has not only been losing territory in Syria, but also in Iraq, where the Kurds and the Iraqi Security Forces recently recaptured ISIL's last stronghold, Mosul.  The Islamic State no longer holds any significant ground in Syria and Iraq. What is left of it in a few towns of the Euphrates valley will soon be gone. Its remnants will be some of several terror gangs in the region. Local forces can and will hold those under adequate control. (1.2)>>The Islamic State is finished. This is why the Lebanese Hizbullah announced to pull back all its advisors and units from Iraq. It is the reason why Russia began to repatriated some of its units from Syria. Foreign forces are no longer needed to eliminate the remains of ISIL.  IN 2015 Joel Rosenberg is a Christian author, an expert on Christian “end times” discussions. He told MotherJones unidentified members of the U.S. Congress called him to Washington to consult on the biblical end of days. (2)>>Yes. Congress is concerned about the End of Days, as if they could just pass the “No to End of Days” Act and go on with life.  Syria has been one of the main testing grounds for Obama’s doctrine of relying on local proxy fighters instead of large-scale U.S. military deployments, reflecting his reluctance to be drawn back into unpopular ground conflicts like the Iraq war. Syria has reached an inflection point, and Trump  will have to shape a new response. The status quo hasn’t worked; quite to the contrary, it has destroyed an entire country, killing hundreds of thousands of people in the process while producing a raft of problems — including worsened relationships with allies like Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Israel and the threat of state meltdown and regional collapse — that will bedevil the United States and its allies in the Middle East for decades to come.

President Obama's thin red line .
(3)>>During the Arab Spring , Syria became a target of American aggression not seen since the Vietnam war . While invading and occupying Iraq and Afghanistan during the last decade,the war on terror helped the  heaped up dead bodies and cost the United States trillions of dollars . Some of that money is not even accounted . Basic American tax payer money blown up . Creating a huge humanitarian crisis of escaping refugees .   The fall of the last rebel-held areas in the Syrian city of Aleppo could seal the fate of the “Obama Doctrine,” deepening (4)>>the world’s worst humanitarian crisis in decades and staining U.S. President Barack Obama’s legacy.  Former President Obama can thank his lucky stars for the inability of the US news media to focus on more than one story at a time. Their choice, reasonably enough, has been the fascinating and vastly colorful so called Russian meddling farce in  2016 presidential race. Otherwise it might have been the debacle that Washington’s Congress would be boiling it's policy over Syria. The Pro- American  al Qaeda's Syria branches which have been identified by the American government as "democratic freedom fighters " , have been since  armed in a conflict supporting the overthrow of Assad . Creating a four way conflict of armies fighting each other and ...{ Russia, Iran , Turkish , Kurds , Israelis and Americans }  the Islamic State , while at the same time fighting Syrian Assad backed American Rebels . Russians intervention in this conflict has generated a lot of controversy  of the western governments . (5)>>The Russians in my opinion have done a better job at stabilizing Syria , freeing Islamic State territories , liberating Christians , Muslims alike . While the American policy has been a debacle leaving corpses of Christians , Muslims . While I hope that my American leadership under Donald Trump will focus more on sitting down with more diplomatic  talks with all parties { Russia , Turkey and Iran} soon enough , let Syria , the Assad regime stay.   Decrying Aleppo's fall is a freebie. We don't have to consider who would have inherited a Western victory over Assad. As of two weeks ago, perhaps 8,000 to 10,000 rebel fighters were holed up under the constant weeks-long shelling of Aleppo. The majority of them were affiliated with al Qaeda's Syria branches. Aleppo has its share of civilians who are sympathetic to the rebels and mortally terrified and imperiled by Assad's regime. But those who escaped Aleppo earlier this year say that many other civilians are kept there as human shields and propaganda for the al Qaeda fighters who held the city. The fighting over the last five days has exposed as a dangerous fantasy the US hopes that its new interventionist policy would stabilise northern Syria. Instead of weakening President Bashar al-Assad and Iran, it will benefit them, showing the Kurds that they badly need a protector other than the US. The Kurds are now demanding that the Syrian Army go to Afrin to defend it against the Turks because it is an integral part of Syria. A military confrontation between Turkey and the US would be much in the interests of Tehran and Damascus. The Iranians, denounced by the US as the source of all evil, will be glad to see America in lots of trouble in Syria without them having to stir a finger.
Getting out of Syria , ending the Humanitarian crisis in a REASONABLE MANNER !
At the United Nations, a vote on a Security Council resolution demanding a 30-day humanitarian cease-fire across Syria was delayed until Saturday to try to close a gap over the timing of a halt to fighting.  A major first step would be to get the US out of the ME in any shape of form.  (6)>>The US and Russian approaches to dealing with the Syrian conflict are a study in contrasts. The United States failed "train and equip" program has become the butt of jokes in the Middle East. The White House's reluctance to act decisively in Syria is motivated by a number of factors: Its abhorrence of military interventionism, its misguided assumption that military action in Syria would have jeopardised nuclear negotiations with Iran, and its further misguided assumption that Assad's downfall will inevitably lead to ISIL taking Damascus.Putin's approach is to do all he can to protect the Assad regime. Russia has vetoed United Nations Security Council resolutions targeting the Syrian government. In the meantime, we are left with stories and images of devastation, as the bodies of children are pulled from under rubble, and schools, homes, hospitals and UN aid convoys are bombed. Six years of grinding war has left Syria a deeply fractured country. Yet this very fragmentation provides an opportunity for the Trump administration to work with Russia and key regional states to de-escalate the conflict and reach an enduring political settlement. Prior to 2011, Syria was a very advanced and almost westernized country. The women did not wear the Burqa. The men drank. Life was all right. It was in 2011 that the rebels attacked and they were supported by Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Israel and NATO. Now, the result is that Syria has been reduced to almost rubble with over 7 million refugees leaving the country for Europe. It is time that Europe and the West should leave Assad to sort out his own issues or they will have the ignominy of facing the massive inflow of refugees.NATO is also to take the blame for this as they too supported the rebels. They asked not to send weapons to Syria and Trump was forced to bomb Syria as he was pushed into it by the Jewish Lobby and the Neo- Conservatives. Over a million refugees from Syria have fled to neighbouring Lebanon to escape the conflict. So, it is high time that the West should leave Syrian President Bashar al-Assad alone. What is required to properly resolve the Syrian conflict is for the major powers backing both regime and opposition camps to fundamentally change their long-held, self-interested policies and engage in meaningful talks that will see real concessions and compromises made. The outcome would ideally be some form of transitional power-sharing between those elements of the regime and opposition acceptable to the majority of Syrians and capable of effectively addressing their grievances. This transitional authority would then be in a unique position to take on and eventually defeat extremism in Syria, with the help and support of the wider international community. Perhaps stabilize and keep Syria unified .


NOTES AND COMMENTS: 
(1.1)>>To illustrate how the nation of Syria has been invaded . The Syrian civil war contained multiple conflicts — Assad versus American-backed rebels, Assad versus jihadists (with the line between American-backed rebels and jihadists blurry indeed), rebels versus rebels, IS versus virtually everybody, and the American-led coalition versus IS.Stage two began with Vladimir Putin’s decisive entry into the conflict. Only the gullible believed he had arrived to fight IS. Whereas America’s goals were nebulous and idealistic (beat IS and somehow make peace), his goals were brutal and simple (crush Assad’s enemies and win the war), and he set about accomplishing his goals with ruthless efficiency. He largely left IS alone and instead bombed American-backed rebels and other anti-Assad militias into the dust. Gradually, the front stabilized. Gradually, Assad won key battles and recaptured key cities. Let’s put this in plain English. American forces and American allies are not only taking territory from IS, they’re holding that territory against regime forces. There’s a word for what happens when a foreign power takes and holds territory without the consent of the sovereign state — that word is “invasion.” In many ways, current American policy is a lighter-footprint, less ambitious version of the American invasion of Iraq in 2003. We’re using local allies, but our own boots are on the ground, and we’re directly defending our forces and our allies from threats from Syria’s own government. (1.2)>>The Islamic State is finished.  I don't believe  US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson unexpectedly announced that American military forces would remain in Syria after the defeat of Isis. Their agenda was nothing if not ambitious: it included the stabilisation of the country, getting rid of Bashar al-Assad, rolling back Iranian influence, preventing the resurgence of Is and bringing an end to the seven-year Syrian war. Tillerson did not seem to care that this new departure was sure to offend a lot of powerful players in and around Syria and was quite contrary to past US pledges that it was only fighting in Syria to defeat Isis and had no other aims. (2)>>Yes. Congress is concerned about the End of Days.  The United States of America during the last two decades has brought the world closer to Armageddon by invading Iraq , Afghanistan and now Syria . The whole middle -east during the Arab Spring was set ablaze by American interference . Its UNCANNY , the One Nation Under God has been a  catalyst and antagonist in Middle East conflicts   It's quite likely that the Middle East has been spared from becoming the utter humanitarian disaster that most of postcolonial Africa has been only because of the presence of oil. While in the last half-century American oil interests have become dominant and have no doubt directly influenced political coups and wars in the region. The "nightmare" is boiling at the surface since the involvement of  Israel in the Syrian conflict . For years Israel has been striking at weapons stores and other facilities in Syria with a single goal - to disrupt and, as far as possible, to prevent advanced Iranian missiles being delivered to Hezbollah in Lebanon. Syria has often been the conduit for these shipments, but the changing balance of power there, with the survival of the regime of President Bashar al-Assad bolstered by Iranian help, has introduced a powerful new element - a direct Iranian role in the crisis. Its beginning to sound vary biblical with all the world powers converging in one spot. (3)>>During the Arab Spring. Obama and his team misread and mishandled the Arab Spring. As Joshua Landis explains in a remarkable, must-read interview, the U.S. response to these events — and especially Syria — was ill-conceived from the very start. In particular, Obama and his team mistakenly viewed the Arab Spring as a large-scale, grass-roots uprising clamoring for liberal democracy and embraced it too quickly. They also underestimated the ability of violent extremists to exploit power vacuums in failed states and the resilience of authoritarian regimes in places like Syria or Egypt. These misunderstandings led to Obama’s disastrous intervention in Libya, his inept diplomatic interference in Yemen, and the premature demand that “Assad must go” in Syria. President Barack Obama and other U.S. officials repeatedly insisted that this was “not about America.” In reality, it was partly about America, not just because of the past U.S. role in backing Arab dictatorships, but because of the critical role it would continue to play in the region. (4)>>the world’s worst humanitarian crisis in decades.   Syria’s civil war has created a humanitarian crisis of horrendous proportions. With most media comment focused on the struggle against Islamic State and the consequent gains and losses on the battlefield, far too little attention has been paid to the immeasurable suffering the conflict has inflicted on huge numbers of the Syrian people.  Civilian deaths as a result of the fighting and from poison gas attacks in the course of combat have been estimated at some 300,000. That, indeed, is a massive toll of innocent life. But the truly staggering statistics relate to the living.The country’s pre-war population was some 21 million. UN figures show that at the last count, on 28 September 2017, well over half the population – something approaching 12 million Syrians – had been displaced from their homes. Some 6.3 million are homeless within Syria, but no less than 5.2 million have fled the country and are now refugees – over half of them, it has been estimated, under the age of 18. This figure includes 2 million Syrians registered by UNHCR in Egypt, Iraq, Jordan and Lebanon, over 3 million registered by Turkey, and more than 30,000 Syrian refugees registered in North Africa. (5)>>The Russians in my opinion have done a better job at stabilizing Syria.One thing , the Russians want to keep the Syrian nation united , by respecting its territories  . While the US coalition has aided "terrorists" in the guise of " democratic  freedom fighters". Secondly , the United States is planning to divide Syria into various "states" than includes a homeland for the Kurds . While advocating the overthrow of  Assad , its so sneaky , I don't think many Americans know the covert actions of its government .  What's appalling to me as a American is that the nations media circus  spun a tale that "Russia is de -stabilizing Syria"  . It must be the worst crock of Sh**T I have ever heard . American intervention in Syria created a quagmire that forced Russia to enter and support Syrian leader Assad . The Truth is that By the end of the summer of 2015, various terrorist groups controlled about 70% of the territory of Syria, the IG's militants captured Rakku, Palmira, Manbij, a number of other strategically important settlements, transport communications, oil and gas fields.Government forces could not independently cope with the attack of militants, air strikes by the US-led international coalition against the IG also did not have the proper effect on terrorist groups. In this situation, the Syrian authorities appealed to Russia for help. August 26, 2015 was signed an interstate agreement on the deployment of Russian aviation in Syria. So far the Russians have provided humanitarian aide to the Syrians , Syrian Christians . Something completely lacking in my American counterpart .  (6)>>The US and Russian approaches.   I  always suspected that maybe some sinister organization is behind that propaganda that Russia hacked our election , the media going crazy over it with out a single evidence . At the same time who ever is responsible for that is creating a battle ground so Russia and America would go to war .  What's at stake for the U.S. being involved in a conflict that grows more complicated by the day? Everything, said former U.S. State Department official Matthew Hoh and former CIA counterterrorism analyst John Kiriakou Hoh and Kiriakou were accompanied by legal analyst Christie Edwards, and author and activist David Swanson. "We are on the brink with a war with Russia," Hoh told an audience at a National Press Club event .

Wednesday, February 14, 2018

Did the Russians get a "raw" Deal with Trump?


An Old Political cartoon reflects the Alaska  Purchase of 1867.
Historically it was not a popular move by the American 
government . Relations with Russia have always 
gone up and down over 200 years.

The biggest theoretical question I have had all along . If the Russian Collusion is true , yes they meddled and Mr. Trump is a bye product of a conspiracy . I had to giggle a bit , I remember a interview that Donald Trump gave to the 700 Club  . In 2017  Trump told CBN founder Pat Robertson in this  interview  that (1)>>Russian President Vladimir Putin “would like Hillary” because she would lead a weak military and energy prices would increase under her administration. Trump praised America as the most powerful country in the world and argued that it’s only getting stronger “because I’m a big military person.” Had Clinton won, he said, “our military would be decimated” and “our energy would be much more expensive.” “That’s what Putin doesn’t like about me,” Trump said. It is so Ironic right now that the Russians don't Like Trump at all . The Russians made a pretty bad mistake with Donald Trump . I see that what President Vladimir (2)>>Putin wanted was the easing away of the Obama sanctions \, a return to normal relations . What is at stake since this is  (3)>>the "new cold war". With bad relations with Russia , and a return to the aggressive militarization of both nations aiming nukes at each other . Most of this is Ironic. Russia was hoping for normalizing relations with America . With the election of Trump.What happened is even baffling the Russian government . Their scratching their heads. They "realized" they made a big mistake with man they helped elect . What really really turned out was that Donald Trump ended up kissing butt to the old hardcore 1950s Republican war hawks that live in a different world . The world of the Pre- Reagan - Gorbachev , Pre- SALT treaties .  I often been questioning a lot that has been going on with the last election . I saw a lot of "peculiar" things during the (4)>>GOP  debates / nomination of Trump that do rule out a Russian interference . That's what the collusion theorists missed , that Donald J Trump won the nomination of the Republican party . So this begs the question of Republican Collusion. How much did they know ? .    A lot of things are puzzling. What I  believe  , want to really  believe is that the Russian meddling if "true" was  nothing but a big political mistake on Putin . Donald Trump is irrational , he is no way a Ronald Reagan. Who would say " Tare down this Wall "... Donald Trump can be down right dangerous. Unpredictable . Contrary to the immense propaganda on the internet , that we would be worse off with Hillary is not even founded on fact . MAY BE HILLARY would have brought an olive branch to Putin .  Just Maybe she would have done away with the Sanctions that President Obama unleashed on Russia . Russia may have placed too many hopes of Trump .  My big question is how to end this new cold war , return normalization , dialog with Russia  even under a Trump regime . There is so much at stake.

Mueller ridiculous indictment (additional Material).
How Gullible are we Americans ? Why has a new wave of McCarthyism has swept through our nations media ,  with specialty Congress ?  Special counsel Robert Mueller has indicted 13 Russian nationals and three Russian entities for allegedly meddling in the 2016 presidential election, charging them with conspiracy to defraud the United States, the Department of Justice announced  (why is it always on a Friday afternoon?)  Friday.  Yes, I still don't see the evidence on how our election was influenced . The so called Russian Trolls {bloggers-} spread false information on the social media during the election  . It hard to believe that some how my own government is trying to convince me that Donald Trump is a puppet of Putin . Even if Mueller's own investigation indict of the 13 Russians , the ridiculous attempt to extradition of the so called criminals  still can't explain how Trump won the nomination of his party in 2016 . A White House spokesperson went even further Saturday, suggesting that Democrats and  (5)>>the mainstream media deserve more blame than Russia for political division in the U.S “There are two groups that have created chaos more than the Russians,” White House deputy press secretary Hogan Gidley said on Fox News. “And that’s the Democrats and the mainstream media who continued to push this lie on the American people for more than a year, and quite frankly Americans should be outraged by that.”But even as Trump and Gidley claimed vindication in Friday’s indictments and downplayed the impact of the Russian effort, other top administration officials are acknowledging the attack and calling for consequences. Mueller will have  the final say. I think the witch hunt will go around in circles for a long time .

NOTES AND COMMENTS:
(1)>>Russian President Vladimir Putin “would like Hillary” .  Hillary knew about political diplomacy . I assume that she would have in time removed the sanctions against Russia . Putin would have used his "charms" to bring America back to reason . Yes , reason. Its hard to guess what our relations would have been if Hillary did win . I don't think that we would be running a "investigation " on  "meddling" in our political system . That is why I think that Russia was so misguided { deceived } on Trump.  After all the witch hunt , anti- Russian propaganda in America . I can see that Putin would have like Hillary instead .  (2)>>Putin wanted was the easing away of the Obama sanctions . The Russians went after our election system — what did they expect would we do? Do they know us so little they thought they could go after our elections  in theory ? They had to know us better. I think some in the Russian business class are coming to realize that Putin made a serious mistake. U.S.-Russia ties have fluctuated greatly over the years. Russia was initially an ally of the U.S. throughout the tumultuous political years that followed the collapse of the Soviet Union in the early 1990s and was an early ally of the U.S.'s war on terror after the 9/11 attacks in 2001. However, Putin, who has led the country as president or prime minister since 2000, has long been a critic of U.S. attempts to expand its influence around the world and now faces what his U.S. counterpart and former political ally, Donald Trump, described in August as "an all-time and very dangerous low" for relations between the two powers."We have to turn this page and move forward and our relations should be based on mutual respect and we should treat each other as equal partners," Putin said, according to the state-run Tass Russian News Agency(3)>>the "new cold war"Lingering grievances that surfaced under the administration of President Barack Obama have left the two nations deeply suspicious of another's intentions. Persistent U.S. accusations that the Kremlin interfered in the 2016 U.S. presidential race has led to multiple sanctions and tit-for-tat diplomatic attacks between the countries, while dueling military buildups between Western military alliance NATO and Russia have played out across Europe.(4)>>GOP  debates / nomination of Trump that do rule out a Russian interference .  No one is seriously thinking that the "Russia interference  accusations " are really a cover up to a political coup in the United States . Donald Trump won the nomination of the Republican party . Was this the part of the Russian interference ? For a candidate like Trump to win the nomination, it means that several things have gone wrong — both for the Republican Party and in the assumptions we made about how party nominations work. Yes, I thought that Gov. Rick Perry , or Sen Cruz was going to win the nomination . Curiously the Atlantic magazine clues us in , here its says.   " The indictment is also conspicuous for failing to allege any act of collusion between the Russian actors and any Americans at all. There are no identified American co-conspirators and there certainly is no allegation that the Russians acted with the knowledge of (much less the approval of) any individuals in the Trump campaign. As far as the indictment is concerned, the Russian activity was initiated by the Russians for their own strategic benefit, and candidate Trump may only have been an incidental beneficiary of their activity". (5)>>the mainstream media deserve more blame than Russia.  To take the last one first, it’s irresponsible to reflect on Trump’s candidacy without considering the unprecedented way in which he dominated media coverage from the beginning of his campaign, which was worth the equivalent of $2 billion in paid advertising. Any time a demagogic candidate wins a nomination, it suggests a potential failure of political institutions, including (but not limited to) the media.  Republican tactics payed off with Trump because the fringe American saw him as a "outsider" , but one must consider Trump's celebrity ability to reach the gullible voters who saw Hillary Clinton as nothing more than a "continuation " of the legacy of Bill Clinton . Hillary was damaged goods , her lack of explaining the Benghazi failure , the wasted e-mail investigation was one of the American media's best propaganda against her  . BUT NO WAY IS Donald Trump in the clear ! It can't exonerate him . Trump's has had numerous business associations with Russia , some are down right embarrassing , Trump is also so self incriminating its unreal . 

Friday, February 9, 2018

The "DEEP-ER STATE" of the UNION .

Notes to President Trumps State of the Union Speech.
The stock market is going
Up and Down for
the next few months .
OK , I caved in and watched  President Trump's first  State of the Union address . With people some "boycotting" it . I had to tune in and give me own opinions . About  (**)>>The "good" & "bad" Trumpism. While a few people  I know , I asked them what they thought of it , YES, asked me What I THOUGHT . As far as a great speech , it was not so great . (1)>>I sensed looking at Trump that he was not exactly a happy man , his facial expressions gave way to an irate man , who addressed a divided Congress. Trump overstuffed his speech with stories of people in the audience, and some of those stories were indeed emotional. But they were overshadowed by the rhetoric and divisive language. Trump also had a habit of clapping for himself, which was a constant loud distraction in the microphone. This was a speech mostly for the base. The speech kicked off as a lackluster affair, as Trump rattled off a trumped up list of “victories,” taking credit for a booming economy that he inherited from President Barack Obama. If you saw that none of the Democrats were applauding or standing , the whole Senate House looked gloomy . (2)>>Mr. Trump while swimming in scandal regarding the Russia probe did deliver  on some of his "promises". I have to give him a good notation on his Tax plan . The Democrats here are entirely wrong in regards to taxes . I know , have studied economics that there are two things that do stimulate a economy , but neither party in our political system likes the other . First , you have to reduce Taxes {Republican} . Second , you have to raise the wages across the nation {Democrat}. The more money a person , or  business corporations  have  , this exactly creates a stimulus that puts a certain amount of wealth , buying power to the population . While this seems perfect , its not entirely , this nation has far too long never kept up with the cost of living expenses . In certain states in the union no can afford to buy a home either . We have issues with wage inequality , the lowest earners on the tax scale will not see much of an increase . While the top 1 % , business corporations took a boost from the plan . You can pick so many wrongs with it , but it has some positives . Another note is that the so called (3)>>Trump tax plan was drafted by Sen. Paul Ryan himself.    The government has to give back something to the people . reducing taxes is the first step . Many more things have to be done .  My opinion also , while the DOW & Stock market looked rosy at it's biggest numbers above 23,000 . Bragging about the rise of the stock market could backfire on the president if there is a sudden downturn. Stocks fell more than 1 percent Tuesday, as rising bond yields are becoming competitive with stocks that pay big dividends and traders are looking for less risky places to put their money. (4)>>The warning is that the stock-market is a bomb , if Mr. Trump ever gets impeached , as I have said before the market will dive so fast that its going to look like the what the Market looked after the 9-11 World Trade Center Attacks . SERIOUSLY! have to watch this , I really see why the Republicans are all standing behind Mr. Trump , out of fear of a domino effect .  According to Trump’s metric, almost $360 billion worth of wealth in the stock market disappeared Tuesday. In his speech,
Trump tied strong economic indicators to his policies. He took credit for 2.4 million jobs created since the election, although the 2.1 million added during his first year in office represented the slowest pace in six years, Economists say the White House can take some credit for consumer confidence, but in reality, the consumer was already spending before Trump and the GOP took control a year ago, and the labor market was already strong. However, the improvement in business attitudes and spending is a direct result of the changing of the guard in Washington and may be contributing to a more consistent growth pattern. Trump immediately angered those who supported him based on his pledge to crack down on illegal immigration by trying to sell lawmakers on what they ruefully insist is amnesty.His contentious immigration plan ends the Obama-era program (5)>>Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals granting temporary, renewable work permits to young immigrants brought into the country illegally by their parentsbut only after offering 1.8 million of them legal status and a chance at citizenship.   The most disturbing part of Mr. Trump's speech , which I don't agree with , (6)>>is that his administration wants to build more Nuclear weapons . Over the past decade, while the United States has led the world in these reductions, Now Trump plans the exact opposite strategy. The Pentagon confirmed its commitment to the modernization of the U.S. nuclear force that Obama approved in 2010 in exchange for Senate ratification of the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty, or New START. The military will introduce new bombers, submarines and intercontinental ballistic missiles, as well as a new cruise missile for the bomber. The Congressional Budget Office estimates the plan will cost about $1.2 trillion over 30 years.  After the speech, Democrats struck a different tone, arguing that Trump inherited a strong economy and has not done enough to help American workers. The responses from Democratic lawmakers signal how they could counter Trump should he and the GOP use the economy as their main pitch to voters in the 2018 midterms and beyond. Republicans will partly count on a healthy economy to help them overcome Trump's dismal approval ratings during the elections this year. The GOP is trying to hold on to majorities in both the House and Senate as Democrats see an opportunity to gain ground amid anti-Trump sentiment. (7)>>The United States government has a serious deficit problem nearing 20 trillion . Deficit upon deficit. The last administration added a trillion to a already existing trillions from the Bush era . That still has to be addressed . With signs of economic growth under the Trump administration . There lurks a dark cloud .

The "deeper" state of the Union .
(8)>>The deep state entered America’s national discourse in 2017 with the feeling of an already familiar character, ready to assume a starring role as hero or villain—depending on how you feel about Trump. It’s easy to dismiss the idea as the breathless complaint of a frustrated president who hasn’t learned to work the system. But it’s not that simple: There really is a kind of cabal that operates independently of elected officials in Washington—even if it’s not quite what Trump or his conservative allies think it is. In the daily circus of the Trump presidency — the tweets, the porn star, the racist trolling, the Russia investigation and the bizarro conspiracy theories about the Russia investigation — it’s easy to lose sight of normal political stories like Carrier. But normal stories are Trump’s biggest vulnerability, and the circus is actually his friend. Democrats would be wise to remind themselves of this fact every single day. On Friday, the US president approved the release of a classified memo commissioned by the (9)>>Republican chairman of the House intelligence panel, Devin Nunes, that alleges bias against Trump within the FBI and justice department. It is surely no coincidence that the extraordinary move – denounced as reckless by the justice department – coincides with the special counsel Robert Mueller reaching at least the end of the beginning of his investigation into alleged collusion between (10)>>Trump and Russia during the 2016 election. Curiously enough , the memo makes no sense that the FBI would be working to undermine Trump , since it was the FBI that foiled Hillary's chances at wining the Presidency by investigating her e-mails . In 2018, it seems, history rhymes: Trump fired the FBI director, James Comey, last year, who in every sense helped  then, according to media reports, ordered the firing of Mueller.  Trump has been telling confidants that he believed the document would validate his concerns that the FBI and Justice Department conspired against him. But the FBI says the four-page document is inaccurate and stripped of critical context. And Democrats say the memo, which makes public material that is ordinarily considered among the most tightly held national security information, cherry-picks Republican talking points in an effort to smear law enforcement. According to the Daily Beast, the president’s decision to declassify the memo came about after he consulted the Fox News host Sean Hannity. In recent days, Hannity’s colleague Tucker Carlson called the allegations contained in the memo (11)>>“more troubling than the underlying crime in Watergate”. Another presenter, Jeanine Pirro, has called for investigators to be “taken out in cuffs”. The memo has demonstrated that the FBI had been monitoring former Trump foreign policy adviser Carter Page as well both during and after he worked for the Trump campaign. Remember that Trump accused outgoing Obama for wire tapping his "phones" { LOL ☺} that made a media frenzy . Personally I believe the memo is "fake"  , its another kind of distraction to anything regarding the collusion theory.  (12)>>Like a viscous circle ,   The President seems to be digging himself deeper and deeper in a problem that he created all around himself that started during his campaign .  




NOTES AND COMMENTS:
(**)>>The "good" & "bad" Trumpism.  The "theory" of a "good" and "bad" Trump goes like this : TAX CUTS = THE GOOD TRUMP . WALL & DEPORTATIONS = THE BAD TRUMP . Trump’s accomplishments aren’t minimal — and a huge number of his setbacks are self-made and rhetorical. All of which demonstrates why Trump is beloved by his base but carries an approval rating of 35%, the lowest approval rating of any president at this point in modern American history (every other president since Kennedy was above 50%, except for Reagan in 1981, who clocked in at 49%) (1)>>I sensed looking at Trump that he was not exactly a happy man , his facial expressions gave way to an irate man.   whose “State of the Uniom” address broke rec ords — it was the slowest in at least half a century.According to Business Insider, Trump spoke at an average rate of 72.6 words per minute in his 5,800-word, nearly hour-and-a-half-long speech, which explains why everyone in the audience looked so miserable.  He used the word “we” 130 times, “our” 103 times and “us” 15 times. He mentioned “the people” nine times. He used the word “I” just 35 times and “my” 14 times. He went with the second person “you” 25 times, though that includes “thank you.” (2)>>Mr. Trump while swimming in scandal regarding the Russia probe . For a "complete" analysis  I would recommend reading from the MotherJones magazine , which gives a detail history of Trump -Russia relations . [ see http://bit.ly/2s4FJ3D ] his business ties , and dealings , are only self incriminatory .(3)>>Trump tax plan was drafted by Sen. Paul Ryan himself.  This tax cut that was recently passed has all the marks of Sen . Paul Ryan himself . Critics has said that  it’s clear that Republicans will fall short of these promises. True, they made attempts in earlier versions of the bill, and those provisions just didn’t make it through last-minute dealmaking. But some of the guarantees turned out to be straight-up lies. So they went back to the drawing board to re-write the tax before the Christmas "promise" .   When he became Speaker, Ryan said he was reluctantly passing the title of Ways and Means chairman, and the opportunity to focus attention on tax reform, to Rep. Kevin Brady (R-Texas)Now, the 2017 tax revamp will bring the American tax system more into lockstep with those conservatives’ thinking than perhaps ever before — making the idea that what works for corporate America will work for the country at large a central plank of U.S. policy for decades to come, maybe even a generation or more. (4)>>The warning is that the stock-market is a bomb . I don’t think Trump, a billionaire businessman will intentionally do anything to hurt the market, but in the words of J.P. Morgan, “The market will fluctuate” and that market includes stocks, bonds, real estate, currencies, and commodities. Blame the investors who many maybe Democrats . Trump is elected for 4 years, will the market change? Assuredly. Since most of the past 8 years have been up, some of the next 4 will be down. Monday’s stock plunge was the worst in six and a half years, with the Dow sinking by more than 1,100 points, despite President Trump’s repeated insistence that the economy is thriving under his leadership. (5)>>Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals. Mr. Trump's  seemingly "generous " offer to the Democrats to deal with DACA . President Donald Trump offered Democrats a concession on immigration but at a price that so far they’ve been unwilling to accept.The administration Thursday night proposed giving 1.8 million undocumented immigrants brought to the U.S. as children a path to citizenship in exchange for drastically reducing family-based migration. (6)>>is that his administration wants to build more Nuclear weapons .  During the State of the Union speech , Mr. Trump unleashed the plan to increase our nuclear weapons stock pile . Crazy . President Donald Trump wants more weapons with small yields, which would in theory give military planners more options for waging a "limited" nuclear war that, while unimaginably destructive, would presumably stop short of completely wiping out human civilization. (7)>>The United States government has a serious deficit problem nearing 20 trillion . The practical obstacle to reaching compromise on those issues is the budget deficit increase produced by the tax cut. The ideological one is opposition of Republican congressional leaders, if not the president himself, to a larger role for government.  President Trump follows , keeps the status quo,  the national debt has exceeded $20 trillion for the first time ever — rising the same day President Donald Trump signed a bill into law suspending the debt ceiling and allowing unlimited federal borrowing.The debt ceiling had been frozen at about $19.84 trillion since mid-March, and the Treasury Department was forced to use "extraordinary measures" to prevent borrowing from exceeding that level, the Washington Examiner reported.  What happens now is we get to see whether Trump can make good on two completely incompatible promises he made as a candidate. Both concern the debt. He vowed 1) to eliminate the debt—all $20 trillion of it—in eight years while 2) not touching entitlements like Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security.Why are these incompatible? Because entitlements—which devour 60% of all federal spending—are, by far, the biggest driver of the debt. And with 10,000 baby boomers retiring daily (projected to continue through 2029) it’s quickly getting worse. Every year, four million more people go from working to getting a check from Uncle Sam. Remember: entitlement spending is “mandatory,” meaning lawmakers can’t touch it.You don’t have to be a math whiz to figure out what that’ll do to the budget, but here’s what the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office predicts: “Outlays for mandatory programs increase as a share of GDP by 2.4 percentage points from 2017 to 2027—mainly because of the aging of the population and rising per capita health care costs. Social Security and Medicare account for nearly all of that increase.”In turn, this means that discretionary spending—stuff that CAN be touched by lawmakers—will drop to about 5.3% of GDP over the next decade. That doesn’t leave much to cut—just a small part of the federal budget that lawmakers and Trump can take an ax to. Good luck wiping out $20 trillion in debt from that. (8)>>The deep state entered America’s national discourse in 2017.  The deep state is defined by the Oxford English Dictionary as meaning “a body of people, typically influential members of government agencies or the military, believed to be involved in the secret manipulation or control of government policy.”  Political scientists and foreign policy experts have used the term deep state for years to describe individuals and institutions who exercise power independent of—and sometimes over—civilian political leaders. The Washington swamp — the deep state — is bigger, more vicious and more dangerous to American liberty than even a cynic could have imagined.Now that we know what the declassified House memo says about government misconduct, we also know what it means. (9)>> Republican chairman of the House intelligence panel, Devin Nunes. The memo, written by Republican House Intelligence Committee Chairman Devin Nunes, raises concerns about the FBI’s securing a Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA) warrant as part of the investigation into possible ties between Donald Trump’s presidential campaign and Russia. The memo claims the FBI and Justice Department’s actions in obtaining the warrant against former Trump campaign advisor Carter Page ”represent a troubling breakdown of legal processes established to protect the American people from abuses related to the FISA process”. However, the memo appears to fall short of the promises made by some Republicans – namely that the evidence it contained would cast doubt on the origins of the Russia investigation. Much of the information it contained involved allegations Mr Nunes and others had previously made public. Democrats also point out that Australian officials told the FBI about another Trump campaign official, George Papadopoulos, had possible knowledge about Russia’s activities. The memo itself states that information about Mr Papadopoulos ”triggered the opening of an FBI counterintelligence investigation in late July 2016.” . (10)>>Trump and Russia during the 2016 election.  According to New American, the Deep State’s “Plan A,” is the imploding “investigation” into alleged “Russian collusion” by Special Counsel Robert Mueller, said Stone. If and when that fails, which Stone suggested was likely and soon, the establishment would move to “Plan B.” In essence, Plan B would involve trying to get a majority of Trump’s cabinet to declare him unfit for office. This would allow Trump to be removed under the U.S. Constitution’s 25th Amendment.(11)>>“more troubling than the underlying crime in Watergate”.  Trump's tweets are a bit amusing and at best self incriminating . He said , “This is Nixon/Watergate,” he tweeted  last March, while falsely accusing President Barack Obama of tapping the phone lines at Trump Tower. Trump has declared that “Benghazi is bigger than Watergate” and said the Obama-era sale of uranium mining interests to Russia is “Watergate, modern-age.”   . The last election could have been rigged on both sides of the political system . It could be a most bizarre twist of Russian meddling would be that "they" have wire tapped Trump himself , while at the same time , trying to hack Hillary's e-mails at the request of Trump who asked Russia to hack and find Hill's 30, 000 e-mails . (12)>>Like a viscous circle.  the Russians did not fully trust Trump . They may have had an incriminating but politically embarrassing dossier which could topple the Trump administration . At the time, Mr Trump denounced the document as fake news, and its veracity has widely been questioned.But Sir Richard Dearlove, who ran MI6 between 1999 and 2004, told  BBC's Newsnight programme: "I think that there is probably some credibility to the content..I wouldn't put it any more forcefully than that."Among the more lurid allegations was a claim that the Russians held evidence of Mr Trump hiring prostitutes during a visit to Moscow .The file also claimed that the Trump campaign team had multiple contacts with Russian officials during the presidential election race. [ see this URL : https://themoscowproject.org/dossier/ ] Trump supporters started a misinformation campaign about the dossier, circulating images on 4chan and Reddit that include passages not contained in the original document. They claim the entire dossier is made up and that it was sent to a Republican strategist, Rick Wilson, last year. Wilson denied being the source of the leak.