IF TRUMP is RIGHT . (1)>>He be the FIRST U.S. President ever arrested , in handcuffs . So far , here is the story .Trump expects to be arrested in connection with a Manhattan district attorney investigation and called on his supporters to protest, even as uncertainty remained about whether any legal action was actually imminent. Trump's advisers Tuesday made clear they had no specific knowledge of the timing of any possible indictment, even as the former president made the comments on Truth Social, the social media network he founded. He could just be saying it, and the if the DA doesn't indict him, he can then say (2)>>"See? They don't have anything on me!" If there's enough to indict him, especially after a grand jury has recommended indictment, no one should be above the law.He absolutely deserves a fair trial for whatever they indict him for, but he shouldn't get a pass because it would be political. That's worse than not giving him a pass because it is political .Either way, if you commit a crime, you should stand trial, and ultimately putting criminals away, or clearing the names of accused people is a good thing. Who cares about the politics? I'm sure the politicians are very concerned about the politics, but everyday Americans are worried about justice and right vs wrong. Not whether something should be done or not done because of "politics." (3)>>Why are people skeptical? Trump is even saying that he’s getting indicted tomorrow or in handcuffs when it happens .. There’s never been a point in the last 7 years where it was imminent. And nobody is denying that he’s getting indicted this week. REMEMBER THEY WERE AFTER TRUMP since they first day he he became PRESIDENT ! Every other time it was speculated on what illegal shit he could get charged with and how it was illegal and rumors about sealed indictments, but there was never a point where they said he was getting indicted. There’s also the specific skepticism for the date. Trump is the only source claiming he’ll be arrested tomorrow. If he claimed water was wet, you’d best check to see if there’d been a flash freeze. I’m in this camp. The NY grand jury is wrapping up and security arrangements are being made for the unrest which is sure to be caused in the event of an indictment. It’s most likely happening soon. I just feel certain it won’t be on Tuesday. It’ll be hilarious if this is the one time a Trump prediction came true, though. (4)>>That the Stormy Daniels payoff is the stupidest, crassest thing to lead to the first arrest of a US president, but also it it is completely unsurprising after the past 7+ years we've been through.I maintain that the vast majority of the people who are "upset" about this are purely doing so because they already hate Trump anyway, and wouldn't give half a shit if they weren't desperately looking for some avenue to remove him from office, but you are correct that the story is apparently deeper than just "he had an affair."It's legally significant. I'm not saying that there should be no investigation, or that nothing illegal happened. I'm saying that out of every 100 people who suddenly care about campaign finance, maybe 1 of them actually cares about campaign finance, and if this was a politician they liked, they'd dismiss it as boring.
2. ARREST PUTIN !😛
Coincidentally now there is a arrest warrant for Putin ? |
THE COMEDY NEVER ENDS . (5)>>The International Criminal Court (“ICC”) issued an arrest warrant for Russian President Vladimir Putin for the alleged war crime “of [the] unlawful transfer of population (children) from occupied areas of Ukraine.”Remember, these charges relate to Russia’s treatment of children. (6)>>Apparently, removing children from a war zone is a war crime. But the U.S. starving 500,000 of them to death is not. Yes, Putin took children that were being held in orphanages , that were Russian , living in a war torn part of Ukraine to safety . The whole thing smells of legal problems . You can't arrest a leader , president of another country . Is it just me, or do governments that want to arrest people from war crimes, etc. ALWAYS let the cat out of the bag. Why do they not just arrest them if they show up without shouting out "Hey if you come here, we will arrest you". Maybe by law, they have too, but that doesn't seem reasonable.NOW This. The whole warrant this is essentially for show; he's never going to leave Russian-occupied soil for the rest of his life.And I very much doubt that Russia would ever turn him in. If a change that massive happened in their government, they'd likely want to handle it themselves. Look at a case like Saddam Hussein; the country wasn't going to ship him off to Europe to be judged by an international court, they were going to handle it locally. (7)>>It's true that if Putin were removed the new leadership would probably look for an off ramp. However, we have to actually give them one. We get rid of Putin via a method that is seen as an act of war. Because if we did that, then the new Russian leadership would be forced to immediately retaliate or be torn apart by their own people. You can't take Putin out and expect the next guy in charge to be chill about it. Even if they weren't Putin's biggest fan, they wouldn't be able to let the office of the Russian President be taken out by a foreign power.Not automatically, but it would be a major confrontation. Attempt to attack NATO conventionally would be disastrous for Russia. Trying to engage in a nuclear war is foolish given you can't win a nuclear war. More likely it would be some form of asymmetric attack, like a major cyber attack, that they can plausibly deny, along with arresting a bunch of foreigners and keeping them hostage. Putin isn't going to test the resolve of the west on this one though. He won't go to a country that doesn't guarantee he's security and that he will be free from arrest.
EPILOGUE :
TRUMP and PUTIN , again coincidentally in a comical way have arrest warrants , but am not so sure on TRUMP's ARREST is a mere distraction on the US NEWS MEDIA clowns . Within 72 hours both Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump will either have been arrested or have an arrest warrant. If I was to tell Republicans this 2 years ago they would have laughed and then jumped to the defense of both these men. . Again your fantasy outweighs reality. The NY DA has elevated a misdemeanor case to a felony. He is using a case that two DA'a left the office over in 2016, so? Look in the mirror. Think about what America stands for. The GOP & DEMOCRATS are a train wreck right now.Mr. Trump is not out of the woods yet, as legal analysts say the Manhattan grand jury that has been hearing evidence in secret for weeks could still settle on criminal charges. BUT it would be EVEN HARDER to ARREST PUTIN without starting World War III .They are laughing at you.
NOTES AND COMMENTS :
(1)>>He be the FIRST U.S. President ever arrested . He would be the first president to be put into handcuffs since Ulysses S. Grant was pulled over for speeding in his horse and buggy.The 18th president was pulled over by a police officer in 1876, with officer William West telling him: 'Duty is duty sir, and I will have to place you under arrest.'President Richard Nixon also came close to being arrested amid the infamous Watergate scandal after he conspired to cover up his administration's involvement in the 1972 break-in of the Democratic National Committee headquarters in Washington, D.C.Trump also became the first president to have their home raided by the FBI, after they swooped on Mar-a-Lago in relation to classified files the former president had allegedly stashed at his Florida bolthole. (2)>>"See? They don't have anything on me!" This is exactly the problem. If they spend 20 years painfully gathering evidence, by the time they are ready to act, Trump will either be dead already, or will be on his 5th term as Fuhrer. There is a time-criticality to prevent further damage being done.Even if he did, you may never find out at this point. The case as reported in the news is past NYS's five year statute of limitations as all the payments were finished in 2017. While there are still exceptions to that rule, it will be difficult to argue those exceptions should apply to Trump. And the previous DA declined to pursue this case because he didn't believe there was an applicable NYS law and thought trying to apply violating a federal law he was never charged with as the basis for the case wouldn't fly. There's a high chance this case gets dismissed before it would ever go to trial. In the case of prosecuting a former president for campaign finance violations that happened 7 years ago, there is no way the pros outweigh the cons. Failing to prosecute means maybe more campaign finance shenanigans (as if those don’t already occur frequently). But prosecuting means opening a Pandora’s box. You can rest assured that if the Republicans win, Biden will face prosecution if he lives long enough. For what? Who knows. Doesn’t matter. A good prosecutor will find a way. And the cycle will continue and may devolve into just arresting political opponents BEFORE they have a chance to win office. This is banana republic shit. (3)>>Why are people skeptical? Trump is even saying that he’s getting indicted tomorrow or in handcuffs when it happens ..I can't say I agree with his usage of "extreme." It might fit those on the right who have convinced themselves this is some elaborate ploy to garner sympathy for Trump, but I'd say anyone who has two brain cells to rub together and isn't a member of the Cult of Donald understands that he, like anyone else, be held accountable for the ALLEGED crimes he's committed.This kind of thing happens in every election everywhere, if any rule is violated to the smallest extend, the opposition will try to try to exploit it to the maximum. There's no reason to assume to think that they've has been holding back this whole time, but now it's different because they went after trump. They're already "looking for a way" and always have been, but if there isn't a way, then they can't find one. But it looks like they did with Trump. (4)>>That the Stormy Daniels payoff is the stupidest. When this whole investigation into Trump's dealings began and Robert Mueller was appointed, he was looking into ACTUAL problems, like alleged collusion with Russia in the lead-up to the election.However, lately, including this raid on Cohen's office, it seems that a lot of focus is being put on his supposed affair with Stormy Daniels.It is my position that no one outside of his own household should care about what happened with this woman, and it has no bearing on his job as President.Furthermore, I will assert that anyone who claims to be outraged about it is doing so purely because they hate Trump and are looking for any possible way to remove him from office. I would wager that most of these people (rightly so) were dismissive of the "scandal" surrounding Bill Clinton and HIS extramarital goings-on.That was a non-story, and this is, too.I admittedly don't know a lot about it, but even from what I've found, I can find no more depth to this story beyond "He had an affair with a porn star." To me, this does not matter in the slightest. (5)>>The International Criminal Court (“ICC”) issued an ....However, in 1998 the US was one of only seven countries – along with China, Iraq, Israel, Libya, Qatar, and Yemen – that voted against the Rome Statute. US President Bill Clinton signed the Rome Statute in 2000 but did not submit the treaty to the Senate for ratification. In 2002, President George W. Bush effectively “unsigned” the treaty, sending a note to the United Nations secretary-general that the US no longer intended to ratify the treaty and that it did not have any obligations toward it. However, since then, US relations with the court have been complicated but often positive How about ICC pressing charges against the BUSH I & II ? Nor is it a crime for the U.S. to burn children alive (see also here); explode children to pieces; shoot children at point blank range; fire generational birth defect-causing depleted uranium at children; rape children (see also here and here); overlook its Afghan warlord allies’ systematic rape of children; and punishing its own soldiers for trying to stop it. The American government doesn't recognize the ICC for a number of reasons .In 2002, U.S. President, and soon-to-be murderer of one million Iraqis, George W. Bush, signed into law the American Service Members Protection Act (also known as the “Hague Invasion Act”), which “authorize[d] the use of military force to liberate any American or citizen of a U.S.-allied country being held by the [ICC] court, which is located in The Hague.” In 2020, President Donald Trump imposed sanctions on ICC prosecutor, Fatou Bensouda, who had opened an investigation into U.S. war crimes in Afghanistan. Under international law, states have a responsibility to investigate and appropriately prosecute (or extradite for prosecution) suspected perpetrators of genocide, war crimes, crimes against humanity, and other international crimes. (6)>>Apparently, removing children from a war zone is a war crime. Putin saves 17k children from the battlefield and he’s the criminal? Our NN actually showed that the Russians allow any parents that come forward to collect them. Reports first emerged last spring that Ukrainian children in occupied territory were being taken to Russia, and even being adopted by Russian families. Russia has presented its actions as a humanitarian mission to save Ukrainian children from the war. But Ukraine has accused Russia of genocide and described its actions as a war crime.Should say he stole the children who Ukraine was using as sex trafficked and black market organ harvesting.... That means Putin is a hero and saves the lives of children.... I stand behind anyone who protects those who can not protect themselves, especially children!!!(7)>>It's true that if Putin were removed the new leadership would probably look for an off ramp. This exact kind of political/cultural exceptionalism (ie democracy is the only "proper" form of government, and that other nations need "wester guidance" on how to run their own government) is why western state-building has failed badly outside of the handful of countries rebuilt by the US after World War 2. No offense, but your view here feels like a very western bourgeois take on statecraft - ie the world is better if everyone adopts western social and political norms. No humility or self awareness in how your own value system is failing in front of your own eyes in the US. Just, the rest of the world is so benighted and stone age that they can't possibly conceive of political systems on their own or build an economy that isn't controlled and dictated by western economic interests.Given Russia's history I wouldn't hold my breath for long term positive changes. The USSR did fall yet here we are again.Don't get me wrong, Putin being gone would NOT good in the short term at least. But Russia has gone through multiple revolutions and in a way, I think that only makes them more prone to anti-democratic practices in the future.