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| CAN CHINA CONTROL THE TALIBAN ??? |
As America retreats in a totally botch pullout that now has created much chaos . (1)>>The Biden Administration total failure of informing it's allies has made a rift with the US . China and Russia are eyeing a "new hope"for the Taliban . (1.2)>>NOT as much Russia interest in the Taliban , but China obviously has a agenda with the terrorist group .The swift crumbling of U.S.-trained Afghan forces and the chaotic evacuation of Americans and their Afghan colleagues have given (1.3)>>China an opportunity to highlight American failures. I find that vary strange that China would find interest in the Taliban . China’s interest in that region for minerals and sought after resources comes with huge incentives for the Taliban and those in power regardless of their inhumane tactics. Go back and have a war against the Taliban who will undoubtedly have help from the Chinese? China must now contend with a fractious Afghanistan along its western border that's led by an extremist Islamist group that has targeted civilians in attacks and provided sanctuary to al-Qaida. China is seeking to rebuild Afghanistan hoping to turn the Taliban around by fighting terrorism .It's geo-politics 101. The current occupier is moving out. Our top competitor wants to exploit this. The Taliban needs investment and wants to pocket whatever they can get for whatever resources they can sell-off. Think of it as a fire sale.It's been this way for decades. President Biden said the American drawdown in Afghanistan will allow the U.S. to focus more on outcompeting China. And China must now work with not only the Taliban but also with Pakistan — where Chinese interests have come under periodic attack, despite strong Islamabad-Beijing relations — in order to maintain stability along its borders.Security remains China's primary worry. Beijing is especially concerned that Afghanistan could harbor a resurgence of the East Turkestan Islamic Movement — a name the U.S. and China have used to refer to a loose and scattered effort by Uyghurs outside China to establish an insurgency.But the U.S. withdrawal also presents Beijing’s leaders with an opportunity: to solidify their dominance in a region they consider their backyard and, even more, to play the role of hero by succeeding where Washington failed.The CIA may not be salivating in the shadows, but other countries that have a vested interest in Afghanistan now have a great advantage: a power vacuum was recently filled by players who have ZERO experience and ZERO respect on an international level.China's Uighur region borders Afghanistan. Afghanistan has billions of $$ worth of rare-earth minerals, gas and strategic placement in the region. The Taliban will be propped up and funded by China without a drop of blood spilled on either side. Money talks more than bullets.China doesn't need to send troops in. It didn't work for Russia and it didn't work for the United States. The Taliban is no longer outwardly hostile as they seek recognizance on the world stage.The old leader of the Taliban is killed and the new leader identifies himself and in the West they say "yes, that is the man we must assassinate!" And in China they likely say "yes, that is the man we need to bribe".
NOTES AND COMMENTS:
(1)>>The Biden Administration total failure of informing it's allies has made a rift with the US . A core reason for this failure of American strategy is the flawed manner in which American policymakers, particularly within the defense establishment, rely on highly visible metrics that emphasize military hardware. Political scientists and defense experts measure manpower, weapons systems, number and types of ships, attack aircraft, or tanks. They do so without considering the many other facets that define competition among great powers. (1.2)>>NOT as much Russia interest in the Taliban . While criticising the US withdrawal as hasty, Russia may draw satisfaction from the inconclusive outcome of America’s long struggle in Afghanistan – recalling its own humiliating withdrawal in 1989 after a futile decade-long conflict waged to support its client regime in the face of mujahideen assaults. Moscow seems concerned less about who wins and loses the emerging Afghan civil war and more about whichever authorities gain sway in Kabul being able to impose some order on the country.This reflects Russia’s key interest in preventing any spillover of instability and Islamist extremism from Afghanistan into adjacent Central Asian countries – Tajikistan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan – with potential flow-on terrorist risks for Russia itself.(1.3)>>China an opportunity to highlight American failures. China will want to step into Afghanistan to forestall a political vacuum or to halt the potential for the Taliban to support Uighur separatists in China.Xinhua, the state news agency, said the fall of Kabul marked the collapse of America’s international image and credibility. On Twitter, Hu Xijin, the editor of a nationalistic state newspaper, cited a joke circulating in China that the Taliban’s takeover was smoother than the U.S. presidential transition.China is not yet much of an economic player in Afghanistan. State-owned companies have attempted some investments, including in copper mining in Logar province. But security and other issues have meant no mining has ever begun.Chinese engagement and aid to Afghanistan have been limited, and Beijing is extremely resistant to the idea of sending peacekeeping forces to Afghanistan to protect its commercial interests.
