Tuesday, March 19, 2024

California Gov. Newsom AWOL !!!!

Sounds like a big money laundering scheme. The fact that so many well regarded mental health advocacy groups oppose the prop is a huge, huge reg flag. We'll talk a little about Prop 1 . And our ... California Gov. Newsom has gone AWOL . He was supposed to give his "State of the State" and as usual he ditched it , because everything with the state of California is screwed up .California budget is in the tank ... am sure Newsom has some good news ? Is Newsom working on the budget ?  Gavin Newsom also faces a second RECALL attempt , with that he's probably one of the worst governors in the United States .  A lot of Californians are having a tough time with rising inflation, including housing prices, gas prices, and all types of products/services. Moreover, wages aren't keeping pace. Therefore, they are likely to blame the person at the top regardless of whether he had something to do with it or not (and I'll leave my opinion on that for another time).Also, Newsom is raising his profile nationally, which often doesn't play well for any politician within his own state. He's alienating part of his base while becoming a lightning rod for Republicans and even some of his Democratic colleagues (e.g., Fetterman), and that is going to have some in-state effects as well.Newsom's recent moves also don't play to his strength among California voters, which is being in step with the majority of them on just about every issue. Instead, his constant airtime is highlighting his core weakness - i.e., a lack of charisma, personal charm, likability, or whatever you want to call it. For many Californians, he may be a guy who they want in charge but he doesn't have the ability to inspire (like Obama) or have people relate to him (like Bill Clinton).  
Proposition 1 Debacle .
Right now the Governor is waiting on his Prop 1 . Gavin Newsom postponed his annual State of the State speech while he rushes to fix rejected ballots of registered Democrats only to save his $6.4 billion Proposition 1 by using his federal PAC “Campaign for Democracy” What makes me skeptical is borrowing the money via bonds instead of just paying as we go (which means things will be slower to start, yes, but given the challenge a slow start might be beneficial to work things out). At today's interest rates borrowing seems kind of disadvantageous. Pretty much everything else im down with, forced treatment yes please. But I'm curious if there's a good reason to use bonds here. When I first started reading about it, I thought it was probably a good idea. But after more reading and analysis, it just seems to me like the cost per bed is ridiculously high (this many billions of dollars should help WAY more people), there are existing ballot measures that haven’t nearly lived up to their promises that we should see to fruition first, and that 1 is likely to just cause different people to become homeless when they lose their existing mental healthcare support from the counties when Prop 1 takes county money. I’m also not happy about the last minute amendments in the legislature that were made before it was rushed onto the March ballot. Oh- and why is there so much builder and corporate money behind it (Uber just dropped a bunch of money to the Yes campaign- WHY?). That’s very suspect. Where the money comes from is always telling.I have read a lot of arguments for and against and while I agree with the goal, this haphazardly written and rushed ballot measure seems like the wrong way to go about it.Ballot propositions in California are generally poorly written and have a notorious track record of unintended consequences, or special interest fuckery…in the absence of compelling independent endorsements, vote no.
The State of the State in "decline".
Gavin Newsom’s California is the richest state but its cities resemble those of Third World countries.Biden stated that Newsom could “have the position I aspire to.”Ponder the implications for our nation's future if this were to come to fruition. Keep in MIND that Gov. Newsom flew to China at the same time neglecting the state budget .Gavin’s been running for president since he was mayor of SF. It’s an open secret. He’s just waiting for the Democratic Machine to give him the green light at this point. That they are letting him travel to China to meet with Xi means it’s coming soon. I’d put my money on 2028. His current gubernatorial term ends Jan 24, 2027. Recently he vetoed several bills, and I am not sure the legislator could overturn the veto. Some were programs I'd generally agree with but his reasoning was the same for all of them. No budget or no funding provided for these programs. Most of his years he has kept the budget pretty solid and kept an rainy day fund for the lean years. He is NOT  a good governor and I'd prefer someone who was a bit more idealist and left but he has kept the budget relatively strong. A lot of the conservative hate centered around covid and the bad optics he had at a dinner party, but the funny thing about that dinner party. It followed covid protocol. Surplus, then deficit, then surplus, then deficit. Eventually we will hit surplus again and then later deficit again. Wow first it’s a 32 billion dollar deficit…then it’s a 68 billion dollar deficit. Now, we’re being told it’s a 73 billion dollar deficit. California lawmakers are about to implement a bunch of new taxes or cut benefits for a lot of their social programs.  Going to be interesting watching the media turn a blind eye to the millions of Californians who will be hurt when Democrats cut programs which people rely on. Democrats have completely run the State of California for a decade. They have a super-majority, and Republicans are unable to even filibuster a bad bill as a last resort.The policy failures and bad legislation are theirs and theirs alone; Bad propositions are often due to heavy pushing by liberal institutions, if not the CA Democratic Party.  Oh well. Devil is in the details that is Gavin Newsom himself .. gone AWOL !