NOTES AND COMMENTS :
(1)>>A Trump vs Biden rematch for president is incredibly depressing & demoralizing. This whole election with the rematch between Trump & Biden is probably being manipulated and controlled by some vary dark DEEP STATE actors . Why say that ? Don't you think it's strange that this is the only two choices that Americans have ? If there is any REAL DR . EVIL , he's pretty much setting this country for a bang . Come November am sure that our elections are going to plunge into chaos , probably some false flag event , international crisis . But there are two caveats to that. First, their overall theory of the case is correct. US two-party duopoly is broken. This is a case of overwhelming market failure. Politics is not responding to the massive voter disenchantment with what is on offer. The fact that both party’s nominations have been sewn up without either nominee going near a debate stage is pretty spectacular. (2)>>R'N ALL , Trump should have won 2020 , that I have to admit . I have concluded that President Trump's future response to anything with regard to the 2020 election should be a very declarative "I Won"! The legacy media cannot admit to itself or it's audience that neither they themselves nor the or any State Election Agency did an indepth investigation into the 2020 election, period. That is just a fact. No serious looks at consent decrees were made and no questions were asked about subverting the sovereign legal authority of state legislatures regarding voting laws by State boards of Election, Secretaries of State, Governors, etc none of which had standing or Constitutional authority to change laws or rules even during a pandemic. Congress has no authority over State Legislatures. The Constitution is explicitly clear. State Legislatures alone have plenary authority over elections. Recounts of the same ballots is not an investigation if fraudulent .The Trump-Biden rematchllots have been inserted into the ballots collected. Ballots can be counted dozens of times with the same result. However, determining whether all ballots are valid and legal is a very different matter. Once a ballot has been separated from it's envelope it is the same as every other ballot, unless it has been machine voted. Wisconsin had a ballot harvesting scheme in State Nursing Homes that raised serious concerns. Ballots were being voted by patients who were severely incapacitated. In Michigan there were precincts with more than 100% of registered voters voting, all of them for the same candidate Biden That is a statistical impossibility. Vote counting stopping nearly simultaneously in PA, AZ, NC, WI, MI and others. PA did resume after a time only to stop again, but they had already sent home election count observers. Cameras found ballots being fed through at least one machine multiple times. In Wisconsin counting Machines that were not supposed to be able to connect to the internet in fact did because the election results center was moved to a hotel and results were streamed wirelessly on an internet connected modem inside the building to an internet connected computer. This doesn't even begin to consider the millions of ballots mailed to addresses that were no longer valid. Ballots to persons who had moved, married, died, changed their name were sent out indiscriminately to voter rolls not purged in many locations in many decades. In Georgia, election materials were destroyed at a storage facility where mail in ballot envelopes had been sent to be held for 22 months according to Federal Election Commission rules. The list of irregularities is endless and the number of courts willing to use standing an excuse not to be involved is beyond belief, including the Supreme Court in an action brought by Texas and over a dozen other states.(3)>>We live in CRAZY times . The Trump-Biden rematch. I feel the timing of what happens to Trump in his legal battles is crucial, people don't turn against someone they are supporting, when the legal challenges are brought, that only galvanises support as people push back on the apparent persecution. The fall happens usually when the judgement is made and people can no longer deny the evidence. If nothing major breaks to turn people against Trump before the election he could very well end up better off from the legal challenges, and it would have to be something pretty major because there's already plenty of very damning evidence against him that he seems to have survived. But if something terrible were you happen to collapse support for Trump soon the GOP have a great backup option in Nikki Haley who I really struggle to see Biden beating in a general election. It's also unclear how much of Trump's legal woes is priced into the current polling if it's a lot it's possible if some of the cases go better than expected for him he could even get a boost. I think it's a fools game to try to predict these things ahead of time, to me the polls show it's very close and all to play for, but with a slight advantage GOP and I'm inclined to believe them.(3.1)>>but Biden has made relations with Russia to the brink of War . Theoretically I believe Biden and his cronies are up to something with the election , war with Russia would be catastrophic , but it's the BIGGEST FALSE FLAG to suspend the election and keep Biden in office much longer . If Russia isn't busy steering a presidential election they're taking part in midterms and elsewhere steering legislation in their favor and otherwise just sowing the seeds of discontent to divide public opinion unnecessarily. People who are Democrats will believe that Trump is Putin's stooge, mainly because Biden is so stupid that he just outright talks about poking Putin's whenever it's brought up. But they downplay it, maybe he's just a foolish asset, maybe he just admires a dictator. People will see report after report of Ukrainian money going straight into Biden pockets, and then just shrug and say maybe they were tricked. It's insanity. It's right there, the obvious reality that the deep state has been flooding the country with foreign propaganda and many news sites are happy to help. War is a BIG DISTRACTION in our election year and its going to get worse .(4)>>That’s a weird hypothetical but I don’t really buy the underlying premise. And voters won't show up for Biden because he didn't refund their student loans and/or they're pissed at his Israel/Palestine stance Many Americans don't want anymore endless wars , with specialty Ukraine situation.The Israel/Palestine conflict has divided Democrats internally to a degree not seen very often. The only way I see it not being a negative for Democrats in 2024 is if the conflict subsides somewhat in upcoming months and the more vocal people “forget” about it. Which is definitely something Americans are known for. Democrats get divided internally all the time. Democrats in disarray is a meme for a reason.Nobody is going to give a shit about Israel/Palestine by the Summer of 2024 and I would bet on that. Americans have short memories and get bored easily and the discourse around Israel/Palestine has already started to bore the average voter. I’m skeptical that Gen Z is willing to throw away, abortion access, protecting lgbtq rights, and the only party to even pretend to care about climate change, over the Israel-Palestine conflict. This is literally their future that’s on the ballot and they know how Trump will govern.I’m not saying Biden has it in the bag, but there’s just so much more baggage on the Trump side that it’s going to be very hard for him to overcome. Besides how on earth can anyone actually think a Republican administration would be better for Palestine? (5)>>But 2 things are true of President Trump whether you love him or hate him...The only way Trump isn't getting the nomination is if he dies. I cannot imagine SCOTUS agreeing with Colorado on keeping him off the ballot. Even if they do, it might not be decided until the election is over. I don't think any of the indictments are going to keep him from office, and he'll probably be able to keep them in appeal limbo until after the election anyway, at which time he would pardon himself (if he wins). He's going to get the nomination for his party ... it's rigged as much as the Democratic party under Biden. It seems like the process that defined the 2016 primaries is happening again. Trump and his supporters are very good at taking down the current frontrunner until nobody can challenge him. We saw it happen with Jeb, then Rubio, then Cruz and now arguably DeSantis. Nikki Haley has flaws, as well as "flaws" where the Republican base is concerned, and they haven't been given much of a challenge yet.People have been saying this since Biden got elected yet when it comes to it Dems still did well in 22 and 23. So what exactly is different about the inflation and economic issues than what was going on when Dems won before? (6)>>Our government is poorly designed if the goal is a citizen based democracy. What I find strange is how people will pick an actual insurrectionist over a guy who supports Israel just like every politician has (including Trump) for the last several decades.There's some pretty egregious double standards going here. Democrats must be perfectly moral, perfectly capable superheroes all the time without fail. If they are flawed at all then BAM! They lose support in droves. Meanwhile, we can't even expect a Republican to not intentionally get hundreds of thousands killed (via COVID and the anti-vax/mask nonsense, for example).The bar is set far too high for Dems and far, FAR too low for Repubs is what I'm saying.So you're probably right that these are reasons why Biden may not beat Trump and I find it insane.(7)>>SO CALLED democracy.In 2024, many voters will literally just be choosing whether they preferred 2016-2020 or 2020-2024. If it comes down to that comparison, the outcome could certainly be different, though I’m not going to say I know for certain which way those voters would break.The lasting impact of Biden’s democracy policy will only emerge over time, and it will ultimately hinge on the answers to three open questions: Can the administration’s promising thematic democracy initiatives be more fully integrated into U.S. bilateral country policies? Can these initiatives be brought together to ensure they add up to more than the sum of their parts? And can the inherently long-term nature of the bets that the administration is making be underpinned by successful efforts to institutionalize and sustain these policies beyond 2024?In 2020, Biden was running against an unpopular incumbent in an economic recession. In 2024, he will be an unpopular president who presided over high inflation and two polarizing foreign wars. Unless Biden somehow performs better than his 2020 bid, any decrease in support will result in him loosing key battleground states.If Biden gets injured or gets ill, or faints in public (like Hillary), think about the press coverage that will generate. And now think about how close the margins were in 2020 on the key battleground states. This election is anything but over.(8)>>The 2024 election matters. Do you think the average American is already betting on a Presidential race 11 months out? I don't think the betting odds represent the average person any better than polls do in present day. Probability of Biden winning Democratic nomination as well as Biden winning the 2024 presidential election has been plummeting over the past week. Michelle Obama seems to have been gaining a lot of traction in terms of her odds to win the presidential election. Biden’s chances of winning the Democratic nomination has plummeted by almost 20% within the last week or two. Michelle Obama went from just a 2% chance of winning the presidency to over 7%. Perhaps we have a dark horse candidate for the Democratic Party. Meanwhile Trump has been relatively stable at around 50%, he has been fluctuating from 49% to 51% to win the presidency.Dismissing the possibility of a candidate's victory without a comprehensive analysis of the current political climate—factoring in the latest polls, demographic shifts, and on-the-ground campaign efforts—reflects a misunderstanding of the unpredictable nature of electoral politics. A responsible approach to political discourse demands more than parroting partisan lines; it requires critical engagement with a broad spectrum of information, going beyond the echo chamber to truly grasp the state of play in American elections. Relying solely on media outlets that confirm your personal biases can skew your understanding of the political climate. It's crucial to engage with a diverse range of news sources, including those that challenge your viewpoints, to gain a well-rounded perspective. Echo chambers do a disservice to the complexity of American politics, where voter behavior is not monolithic but rather a tapestry of diverse and shifting opinions. This is why "October surprises" have such a huge impact, like What happened with Hilary Clinton in 2016.If the only thing you know when you finally start paying attention is Trump's words vs. Biden's, with zero context or knowledge of what is exaggeration or outright lies, then you'll vote based on that information alone.
