GOP presidential nomination RACE 2024 .

  

THE GOP CONTENDERS TO 2024 Primary .
ALL BUT 3 are not part of the "SWAMP ".

👀TRUTH , (1)>>the GOP candidates are NOTHING BUT THE SWAMP & NEOCON establishment ment. 👉With the exception of Larry Elder or Tim Scott for "outsiders" 👈 .  I probably would not vote for Biden , but also not endorse not one GOP candidate . They are read from the same one sided script play book , most of them are just rhinos . (1.2)>>Republicans are the swamp. The marketing language they use is just deceptive. Like all of their other lies and projection I doubt anything they want to do involves actually fixing anything. They want more swamp for personal enrichment. So far the worst of them are on the list  (1.3)>>Mike Pence ,  (1.4)>>Nikki Haley , (2)>>Vivek Ramaswamy [  explained below notes], and Ron DeSantis. What they say gives them practically away . Pro War Ukrainian agenda is a big give away for me why I will never vote for any of them , because they share the same stance on this endless war agenda . They are practically working with the Democrats .  The underwhelming 2022 performance for Republicans was more an issue of candidate quality. Only specific candidates under performed, and they under performed largely by being insane and/or terrible politicians. Biden is historically unpopular, only narrowly more popular than Trump was at this point in his  (3)>>Presidency, and Trump lost. Sure, but that's a primary issue, not a general one. Most Republicans didn't want him to be the nominee in 2016, either, but he ended up being the nominee anyway and they lined up to vote for him enough for him to win.One of Trump's greatest advantages has always been that he's not a conservative or a liberal. He reflects America in the sense that the country isn't so much becoming more conservative, but less liberal. It's also likely one of the reasons  (4)>>Trump didn't really "Pivot" going into the 2016 General Election.  I remember being told in August of 2016 how Trump had no chance. I remember watching the color practically drain from reporters faces the following November as the election results rolled in. There are waaaaaay too many variables at play, and anyone who says they've accounted for them are naive at best and lying at worst.  And all of that is, of course, setting aside the fairly openly anti-democratic actions being taken by Republican legislatures all over the country, and the potential for those actions to be upheld by a stolen Court.  (5)>>Even if Democrats win the election, there is a small but certainly non-zero chance that they will not ultimately retain power.  "No chance" is almost always a bad idea in politics. Low-probability outcomes happen all the time, and Republicans - or Trump in particular - winning is not even low probability. (6)>>Who ultimately wins out will take on President Joe Biden — and potentially secure the White House. It’s really scary that we are living in a time when half the country simply rejects election results it does not want to accept. All of this is true. But Trump's approval rating has not changed very much over the course of all that. He is, apparently, absolutely right about the Fifth-Avenue thing: his net approval rating on the eve of the 2020 election was about -11. His favor ability rating today is about -12. Biden, meanwhile, is currently at -9.5, and Biden is not in the middle of being attacked by a relatively credible opponent for his party's nomination. As dark and Machiavellian as this sounds, the advantage Democrats have going into 2024 is precisely Biden's advanced age and the possibility he may die. Kamala Harris or whoever they swap her out for to become Biden's Vice president ends up having a very high likelihood of becoming president. Though unlike Henry Wallace being replaced by Harry Truman in 1944, there will be blowback if Kamala is replaced. This will largely be from institutions as she has never been popular with voters. Kind of wish there was a viable third party to be honest. Most economic indicators that I see trend toward a recession coming in. This almost always causes a change in power. One can make an argument that this is all the result of a plutocratic order that the republicans would only make worse. But most people are not rational when it comes to these matters. The American public is a gaggle of peasants with a superstitious, provincial mentality that the president is some idealized version of a king controlling the economy like a DJ. To call them rational citizens or call this a democracy is a laughable crock of shit. When everything was against Trump. He was in charge when things bad. And even then Biden fell short of expectations. Next time things are worse, which looks like will be quite soon, he’ll get the blame. Plus his senility will become more apparent. The GOP has more consistent turnout. Trump has a die hard base that will never abandon him. What’s the cliche? Republicans fall in line, democrats fall apart.

NOTES AND COMMENTS : (1)>>the GOP candidates are NOTHING BUT THE SWAMP & NEOCON.  A majority of voters believe that Republican leaders in Washington worked “secretly” with Democrats in 2020 to take out former President Donald Trump and make Joe Biden president.  & former President Donald Trump. He's expected to face at least half a dozen serious rivals, with one possible contender, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, sometimes—but not always—outpolling him in head-to-head matchups. Neoconservatism—or at least an interventionist mindset contiguous with longstanding right-wing assumptions about the American prerogative to serve as a virtuous hyperpower—became the prevailing stance. In his 2002 State of the Union address, Bush named Iran, Iraq, North Korea, "and their terrorist allies" as a new "axis of evil."These are Republicans whose foreign policy is more consonant than not with the interventionist model of the Bush-era GOP.In the Republican rift over U.S. aid to Ukraine, then, this is the faction eager to keep the guns and dollars flowing east. A late May Quinnipiac poll of declared or potential candidates put Trump at 56 percent support with Republican or Republican-leaning voters, DeSantis at 25 percent, and Haley at 3 percent, with Pence, Christie and South Carolina Senator Tim Scott all at 2 percent. Ramaswamy and others received below 2 percent.Meanwhile, polls show Haley’s soaring rhetoric on Ukraine a bit out of touch with GOP voters. A January Pew poll showed that 40 percent of Republicans thought the U.S. was sending too much aid to Ukraine. (1.2)>>Republicans are the swamp. The REASON why the LEFTIST Democrats have gotten pretty much away with destroying our nation is because the Republican swamp has been kissing their arise , they are part of the uniparty of the Deep State . GOP is now a cult, not a political party. The sooner independents and moderates on both side realize the better. The base of the GOP has been lost to fanaticism. THE Democrats on the left are lost to wokeness . Part of the "swamp" Republicans like those running for the President office , have been around since Bush was in office , they have been holding hands with the democrats for a long time .The GOP isn’t failing, they’ve already failed. There’s no way back for them; they’ve thrown all their cards on the table and the whole world now knows what they are. KNOWING that TRUMP is dangerous to TRADITIONAL swamp republicanism , the BUSH -CLINTON NEO-CONISM . Not the Party of Ronald Reagan anymore . (1.3)>>Mike Pence.  Pence lost control of Trump , when Trump decided not to follow the deep state agenda , it's possible that Pence was working the sidelines to betray Trump , sleep in bed with the like of Pelosi .  The man (Pence) STILL thinks he could be president. I'm sure he said that to appeal to the Republican base and to see if his numbers go up.He is in denial of the reality of the situation: His boss and president told his entire political party he is a coward and deserved whatever was coming for him on 1/6. He deserved death. And he thinks he can just turn that around by being quiet.Mike Pence's response? I won't help the coup but I won't expose it either.The man has chosen party over country, and any half-assed trying to find a middle ground bullshit he pulls like this just further proves it. At least some of the other candidates can use their failed run to try to become the VP or get a cabinet spot. Pence is just wasting time and money.He's a religious weirdo who calls his wife "mother". He's beyond nuts. Pence is full on whacko coo-coo bananas at this point. It's going to be a tight race for last between him and Christie. (1.4)>>Nikki Haley. UN Nikki Haley "was probably the most pro-war, pro-imperialist high-ranking Trump official.  Beyond her disgraceful record, Haley has been a Bush Neocon ,  is probably like the  same deep state cabal which Biden is following reading  the same script . SHE  would love to see America enter another war . Haley's time at the UN have shown a woeful decline of the United States' standing in the eyes of the world. She was a Tea Party candidate, but 'moderate' means: loves U.S. wars & hegemony." New York Times' story about the surprise resignation. "Haley spent every minute of her time at the UN threatening innocent nations w/ war, terror and literally bullying and trying to blackmail (and miserably failing) the entire [world] into supporting her agenda dictated by the military industrial complex." Remember when she was basically laughed out of the General Assembly of the UN for (verbally) blowing  UP Trump? TRUMP SHOULD AVOID HER IF HE PICKS HER AS HIS VP !  This whole thing is her putting herself front and center in hopes of being picked as a running mate for an actual candidate. (2)>>Vivek Ramaswamy [  explained below notes]. I swear Vivek is gotta be a Democrat . He's probably more radical than any of the other GOP neo-cons running . CERTAINLY, he's crazy . His speech at a NRA convention is disturbing enough , he said : "Here’s how we protect Taiwan without going to war with China: open a branch of the NRA in Taiwan, put an AR-15 in the hands of every family, and train them how to use it."It would take some seriously covert operations for the US to smuggle 20 million or so rifles without any of the Chinese intelligence finding out.Also, would the Taiwanese government do the usual government thing of confiscating the guns after the Chinese threat ends?Just like you can expect Ukraine to do once the war stops. ANOTHER CRAZY idea from Vivek is toying the idea of drafting generation Z into the army in order to vote .  SO IT would help bolster waning "national pride". Ramaswamy is proposing a constitutional amendment to get this done.The amendment would raise the voting age from 18 to 25, he said, leaving an exception for those 18 and older who "meet a national service requirement." SO for me Vivek is nothing but a war monger , why is he running anyway ???? (3)>>Presidency, and Trump lost. Sure. Donald Trump didn't exactly lose to a Biden landslide in 2020. Republicans made a lot of mistakes for Biden to win, and you can bet your ass they're correcting it.They're going to encourage mail-in voting this time.All the scandals you speak of have been proven to make him more popular than ever. Remember, it's the other side deciding that, and they don't go by the same logic. Independents still hate Biden so much that they'd vote for Trump. They already gave Biden a chance, they're regretting it. Hard.Abortion is a state issue now, has nothing to do with the Presidency. Both sides trying to do it on a national level will fail miserably.(4)>>Trump didn't really "Pivot" going into the 2016 General Election.  President Donald Trump was convinced he would win on election of 2016 as early as of April of that year . While most people were sooo convinced that Hillary would wipe out the vote [ steal the election] . Convincing enough , Trump did win the 2016 without Russian meddling , more like people did not want HILLARY and BILL back . The USA unleashed the fear (level orange! Be scared!) after the attacks on Sep 11, 2001. Anyone just now turning 18 would think this is just normal, but it wasn't before then. Yes, we also had a BIG STEAL when Trump built an overall lead against Biden and was projected the winner in Florida.  Trump's victory would've been a repeat of 2016, when Trump pulled off a shock win over Hillary Clinton. The Democrats planned to prevent another Trump victory as we are seeing it right now with the many indictments fake criminal investigations . (5)>>Even if Democrats win the election, there is a small but certainly non-zero chance that they will not ultimately retain power.  The MESS created by the Democrat Party in the US , with the crashing economy . It's not possible that they can hold on power , or even for a BIDEN WIN in 2024 . Head to head polling for November 24 is less than useless. If anything Trump is poised to splinter the GOP , which he has done already . What big name but Desantis will challenge Trump? Lots of Buttigieg and Ben Carson types looking for a resume boost, but few real heavyweight opponents. Which means it could be a head to head Trump vs Desantis in 2024.It will be Biden vs DeSantis in 2024, or DeSantis vs Buttigieg or whomever.The problem with the Democratic party is that the tent is so big they have no coherent agenda. You've got borderline conservatives like Manchin, moderates like Pelosi, and progressives like AOC who all have to work together despite being diametrically opposed on numerous issues. As a result they can't take any steps forward without alienating a small portion of their base. But their margins for victory in federal government and statewide elections is so small those tiny demographic shifts make them lose.This is why voter apathy (or voter suppression) is so incredibly dangerous. When people say "My vote doesn't matter", "I don't care about the result", "The person I wanted to vote for didn't make it to the final vote", "Voting is too difficult", or whatever reason they come up with for not bothering, it is effectively a vote for the "30% extreme" to take over. The fanatics will show up, especially if motivated by someone equally insane, power-hungry, self-interested, or worse. All it takes is for ~30% of the good people who could vote to not do so.(6)>>Who ultimately wins out will take on President Joe Biden.  Joe Biden’s approval numbers are weak and are reminiscent of the numbers from some recent presidents who lost reelection.   There is no clear alternative nominee right now, whereas the players in the Republican Party are. Being that he is running, knowing that a fair percentage of democrats don’t want him to run again, it maintains him as the assumed candidate unless the party can unite around a strong alternative that can beat him in the nomination. If the nominee can’t beat him, then how are they going to beat DeSantis?  70 percent of Democrats didn't want him re run for reelection. His approval ratings are low, I wish he would have read the room better and let someone younger run. Now you're not going to get anyone else from the Democratic Party to run in opposition because the majority will back the President. If there was a viable third option I would entertain that but if they don't qualify for the debate stage the majority of people will never hear them.People do research, look into candidates like Marianne Williamson or Kennedy if you are going to be voting liberal. Biden is a walking corpse, I don’t understand how people are ok with this man representing their country when he can’t even string along coherent sentences. Liberals hate on big corporations, and yet someone like Biden is literally the perfect puppet for these corporations to latch onto and you are kidding yourselves if you think otherwise. And for a group that hates Trump they sure like to ignore the things that Biden has said which if we are being honest are much worse.

AFTER NOTE(S).

 👉With the exception of Larry Elder or Tim Scott for "outsiders" 👈   LARRY ELDER and TIM SCOTT are both pretty much not part part of the all white Deep State Swamp . I've seen people say anecdotally that Tim Scott overperforms with black people in South Carolina, but does anyone have any actual exit poll data on this?People have seen Elder as Uncle Tom for decades (or at least Will Smith). Was listening to this guy's speech this morning. My friend asked me how can Scott stand up there and spout his rhetoric? I just replied he's a hired goon. He's just in it for the money. The irony is being a pastor. The jesus guy he preaches about would hate everything about him.  One other way Scott stands out: the tens of millions of dollars he's received from Larry Ellison, a tech billionaire who owns 98% of Lana'i, the sixth-largest Hawaiian Island. Larry Elder is a good guy , I am starting to think some of these people are jumping in to keep anyone from actually raising a challenge to Trump. This guy is a very extreme evangelical in his support . I'm actually surprised that over the years there hasn't been more blowback on Larry, I bet he hasn't been actually in a predominantly black neighborhood since he was a kid, as I would think his welcome would not be warm at all with some of the things he's said over the years about the black community. He got neutered by Newsom in the CA recall election. Elder, who announced his own GOP bid for the 2024 presidential election last month, said in an interview on Fox News on Friday that he supports what Trump did as president and so do other Republicans, but they are “rightfully” concerned that he cannot win over swing voters, especially suburban women.   I still think the implication that a demographic will vote against the party they usually vote for just because the other nominated someone who looks like them is strange though.

FINIS .