CAN WE SURVIVE A 2nd TRUMP TERM ?

The SERIOUS COMEDY of ERRORS a 2nd TRUMP
TERM.

The time is January 2021. The election has left the nation a psychological mess and a sulfurous cloud of election meddling by foreign hackers hangs over the still-contested results.....Politico Magazine

October 21st , 2019 see: shorturl.at/ozJSX

BESIDES that here we have another serious problem first (1)>>I had a nightmare   . CAN WE SURVIVE A 2nd TRUMP TERM ? Still, it raises eyebrows to hear him continue the assault as an incumbent seeking a second term.In my personal opinion, I would say it is difficult to know. Politics have been drastically changing in the recent years. I have witnessed people from different parties question their political orientation due to recent events. The United States is in a strange place at the moment, so the election is a gamble at the moment. But that is just my experience, I could be completely daft in my political thinking. I begged to ask the question  (1.2)>>if Biden won in November. That might be a possibility .If the Dems did end up nominating some lunatic screaming about abolishing ICE and DHS and obsessing over identity politics instead of staying on message where the Dems are strong (universal health care, better wages, eliminating tax loopholes for the wealthy and corporations) then yes, there is a good chance Trump is reelected. Trump’s favorable rating fell faster than any other president-elect’s in the history of polling, dropping below 50 percent even before his inauguration, a fact that made him look to most civilians as well as politicians like a probable one-term from the get-go. (2)>>Only in the past few months has Trump’s reelection started to appear as likely as not. If he wins, a basic calculation about how to deal with him will tip for a whole range of players. Get me , Donald Trump has been attacked from the first day he was elected . You all know why, he's been accused of colluding with Russia to win the election of 2016 .  The Last Four Years , the nation was out of "focus" . You Can't exactly put the blame on Trump .Trump’s reelection seems implausible to many people, as implausible as his election did before November 2016. But despite the scandals and chaos of his presidency, and despite his party’s midterm losses, he approaches 2020 with two factors in his favor. One is incumbency: Since 1980, voters have only once denied an incumbent a second term. The other is a relatively strong economy (at least as of now). Alan Abramowitz, a political scientist at Emory University who weights both of those factors heavily in his election-forecasting model, gives Trump close to an even chance of reelection, based on a projected 2 percent GDP growth rate for the first half of 2020. First I blame our two Party system that wasted the whole Congress into doing nothing, they can not even work together during a pandemic .(3)>>NOW the Russia gate  investigation was a total Embarrassment. Mueller's evidence was more like a collection of Wikipedia articles , Mueller did not give a full punch to dethrone Trump .  Part of the Mueller evidence is that it was "leaked” to the anti Trump press as part of a media propaganda machine leading up the Mueller testimony. We all should have guessed. We could not even get Trump impeached enough to get him out  .The Democrats did spend nearly 100 million dollars of investigations on Trump , still trying to squeeze an iota looking at his tax returns .It will never end . Honestly while Trump is listed under Forbes as being worth 3 billion, but he is one the poorest of the billionaire boy's club . He's probably broke , because of his risky rel-estate  gambling endeavors . (4)>>UNLESS THE RUSSIANS have his SWISS ACCOUNT ? 

January 2021 . CNN's Anderson  Cooper
walks off TV crying after Trump beats
Joe Biden .
Cooper is reported to have said on TV
"It's the End of America"

Now my personal view about Trump is he’s so  unprofessional in conduct , it’s like he has a screw missing some place, vary unpredictable.  (5)>>Yes he is a scary walking dude who gets his fuel from the alt-right , Christian Coalition , religious right groups . Trump has been their boy all a long.  Let me ask you . A Trump second term is vary unsettling to anyone. Your ALL GOING TO WAKE UP to that reality to that he might win a second term. It will be interesting to see politically, if he’s not on the ballot, if he still has the hold on the party that he does now. Half of the GOP senators are queasy every morning over tweets. (6)>>Trump himself isn’t saying much about what a second term would really look like. Scripted legislative agendas are not how he rolls. Still, if his first term has taught us anything, Trump as a lame duck would be anything but unifying. Indeed, the civil war that the president has predicted could well be visible in the hostile crowds hectoring each other on the Mall in January 2021. After that? What does a bruised but unbowed Trump do with his political capital? What does an enraged Democratic opposition bring to bear that it hasn’t already? Way before the Pandemic last year in 2019,  Trump has presided over the strongest economy in living memory. Unemployment is at record lows, inflation is nearly non-existent, and new jobs are being created at a startling pace. Anyone who studies presidential politics knows that strong economies are the most important factor driving support for the incumbent.  The Post Virus economy of the United States is a crash history lesson on forced lockdowns , government confusion . So between now and election day, few economists  did expect a [DEPRESSION] recession with 50 million with out jobs , worse the nation has no safety net to shield the economy, or bailing people out of a dire economy . For Trump it looks like a bad dream for him. In what would normally be a week of crisis, Trump was claiming other perceived victories. In a way the Democrats have helped Trump by their own lack of empathy helping

Old Moore's Almanack predicted
and later retracted Trump Winning
the 2020 elction .

communites that are hit most by the Pandemic , the whole year had the Likes of Pelosi trying to start a new investigation while trying the divide between the Senate and the House . This may have reached a boiling point right around August . (7)>>BUT the PANDEMIC may have COOKED the 2020 Election . Surely President Trump did in 2016 was as skilled and effective at this line of politicking as any candidate in memory. He made a mantra of "drain the swamp" and let his crowds chant "lock them up."  Even Joe Biden is placed at a severe disadvantage due to losses in his party’s first two presidential nominating contests in Iowa and New Hampshire.But as is the case with most attitudes about the conduct of elections and proposals on voting, partisans are sharply divided in these views. Large majorities of Republicans are confident that the election will be conducted fairly and accurately (75%) and that all citizens who want to vote will be able to do so (87%).
Democrats are considerably less confident: 46% are confident in the fairness and accuracy of the November election, and just 43% are confident all citizens will be able to vote if they want to. Multiple interviews in recent days with influential people in Washington’s political class, including strategists and government veterans in both major parties and figures who have served at high levels in the Trump White House, found most people expecting some sort of dramatic shift of plot in this election year. The one thing many predictions seem to agree on is that the election could rest crucially on Mr Trump’s leadership of the US through the coronavirus pandemic and mitigating the public health crisis’s impact on the economy in the upcoming months before November. Trump is running not so much against specific parts of the government as against the idea of Washington, which is to say the idea that someone somewhere has a lot more power than you do and is using it against your best interests. That idea is deeply fixed, both in the rational workings of the American mind and in the untamed regions of American suspicion Donald J Trump could win a second term.

NOTES AND COMMENTS:

(1)>>I had a nightmare.  . Several years ago I had a nightmare . IN this nightmare I saw the White House Burining , standing infront of the White House was Barack Obama leading some kind of protest . I saw that dream vividly in 2010 . Never I would think that 10 years later the whole country would be in chaos , not much about the Corona Virus , but the Floyd Riots as I would called them , but with not  to mention the BLM movement , and Antifa in the middle of the chaos . Right now I have to give some fair warning about  the future for America. IT's is going off a political cliff. Like a race car crashing down a ravine pulling down the Democrats and Republican parties, and all those currupt cronies .(1.2)>>if Biden won in November. Data from the web portal predictions.global shows the prediction marketplace Augur and the future 2020 election outcome predictions stemming from that platform. During the last few weeks, people are still not sure that Joe Biden will be the Democratic party nominee. Despite the fact that Biden has 2,144 delegates people still think it is questionable. Augur stats also show that 29% of the prediction marketplace users think Kamala Harris could be the Democratic party nominee for President in the 2020 election. (2)>>Only in the past few months has Trump’s reelection started to appear as likely as not.His average approval rating is nearing the 30s, poll after poll shows him behind presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden by double digits, and even Fox News shows him narrowly trailing Biden in solid red states. Trump's Republican allies are reportedly concerned about his reelection chances and Trump has yet to meet the urgency of the moment. Despite recent polls that identify Joe Biden as the heavy favorite in 2020, a political science professor is still standing by his prediction model that shows President Trump having a "91 percent" chance of winning in November.Mediaite reported on Wednesday that Stony Brook professor Helmut Norpoth is doubling down on his "Primary Model,” which has correctly predicted five out of the past six elections since 1996 and every single election but two in the past 108 years.“The Primary Model gives Trump a 91 percent chance of winning in November,” Norpoth said. "This model gets it right for 25 of the 27 elections since 1912, when primaries were introduced."As Mediaite noted, the two elections the model failed to predict were the 1960 election of John F. Kennedy and the 2000 election of George W. Bush. According to at least one expert, however, none of that matters.Political science professor Helmut Norpoth—who correctly predicted Trump's 2016 upset victory—says Trump has a 91 percent chance of winning reelection in 2020, according to a model that's correctly called five of the six elections since 1996.Norpoth's model uses primary wins coupled with the early enthusiasm generated by candidates to predict how those trends will hold on the crucial day voters head to the ballot box.(3)>>NOW the Russia gate  investigation was a total Embarrassment. I have argued and argued I saw this coming two years ago the vary minute that Trump was being investigated that it was going nowhere . Mueller's evidence was "evidence" about what we already knew about Trump and Russia , the evidence of collusion was vary thin , but the real investigation failed to focus on Trump's past relations with Russia as business man . The Whole "theory" of why Trump was investigated was that he won the 2016 election because of Russia somewhow changing the voter machines or smearing Hillary making her not get enough electorial votes . Blaming Russia was a empty wine skin . It took away the focus of corruption within our Government system that may have rigged the entire election system to favor a candidate . As we are seeing right Now with the Biden coincidence (4)>>UNLESS THE RUSSIANS have his SWISS ACCOUNT ?  The congressional Democrats subpoenaed ­Deutsche Bank for its records on Trump, his family members and his businesses. The Trump family sued to block the bank from complying; after two federal courts ruled against the Trumps, the Supreme Court has agreed to hear the case, with oral arguments expected in the spring. State prosecutors, meanwhile, are investigating the bank’s ties with Trump, too. The F.B.I. has been conducting its own wide­ranging investigation of ­Deutsche Bank, and people connected to the bank told me they have been interviewed by special agents about aspects of the Trump relationship.   In truth Trump was all but finished as a major real-estate developer, in the eyes of many in the business, and that’s because the U.S. banking industry was pretty much finished with him. By the early 1990s he had burned through his portion of his father Fred’s fortune with a series of reckless business decisions. Two of his businesses had declared bankruptcy, the Trump Taj Mahal Casino in Atlantic City and the Plaza Hotel in New York, and the money pit that was the Trump Shuttle went out of business in 1992. Trump companies would ultimately declare Chapter 11 bankruptcy two more times. When would-be borrowers repeatedly file for protection from their creditors, they become poison to most major lenders and, according to financial experts interviewed for this story, such was Trump’s reputation in the U.S. financial industry at that juncture. But Trump eventually made a comeback, and according to several sources with knowledge of Trump’s business, foreign money played a large role in reviving his fortunes, in particular investment by wealthy people from Russia and the former Soviet republics. (5)>>Yes he is a scary walking dude who gets his fuel from the alt-right 👉Trump is methodically engaging in verbal assaults that throw fuel on his political program of closed borders, nativism, social exclusion, and punitive excess. Even his cultivated silences and failures to condemn right-wing violence, in the fatal aftermathof the Unite the Right rally in Charlottesville, for instance, or regarding the pipe-bombing suspect Cesar Sayoc, communicate directly to extremists. We are watching, in real time, a new right discourse come to define the American presidency. The term “alt-right” is too innocuous when the new political formation we face is, in truth, neo-fascist, white-supremacist, ultranationalist, and counterrevolutionary. Too few Americans appear to recognize how extreme President Trump has become—in part because it is so disturbing to encounter the arguments of the American and European new right. But we must—and we must call Trump out for deploying them to gain power.  ,👉 Christian Coalition , religious right groups .The president’s strange photo op , in which he followed up a truculent law-and-order speech by marching across Lafayette Park (from which peaceful protesters had just been cleared with tear gas and rubber bullets) to a fire-damaged St. John’s Episcopal Church, only to silently hold up a Bible, but Connecting Trump to evangelical leaders in 2016, and it promises to be one of the most vital weapons in Trump’s reelection arsenal this year. It’s hardly news that Christians are as polarized by Trump as other Americans, with white conservative Evangelicals in particular glorying in his championship of such causes as the criminalization of abortion and a return to traditional (e.g., heterosexual and male-dominated) marriage. But the reactions to this particular incident represent significant differences in how Christians view their own faith and its proper place in 21st-century America.  Embedded throughout this discussion is an assumption that the majority of evangelicals will vote for Republicans, and this assumption is well supported in survey data. The 2016 National Election Pool Exit Survey had Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton among white evangelicals by a staggering 79% to 16%. In that exit survey, white evangelicals composed 46% of Trump’s coalition compared to 9% of Clinton’s coalition. The aforementioned 2018 AP/NORC survey found white Evangelical voters were roughly twice as likely to approve of Donald Trump’s job as president as other voters. While only a small percentage of white evangelical protestants consistently vote for Democrats or identify as liberal, they tend to cluster in certain churches and, consequently, could have substantial localized electoral impact. (6)>>Trump himself isn’t saying much about what a second term would really look like.   President Donald 

Old Moore's Almanack 2020.
Predicted a Trump win , this was
published last year . Later Moore ,
turned around and modified his
prediction .

Trump’s answer To to Sean Hannity’s question about his plans for a second term was was like this:Well one of the things that will be really great: you know, the word experience is still good. I always say talent is more important than experience. I’ve always said that. But the word experience is a very important word. It's a very important meaning. I never did this before, I never slept over in Washington. I was in Washington I think 17 times, all of a sudden I’m the president of the United States, you know the story, I’m riding down Pennsylvania Avenue with our First Lady and I say, “This is great.” But I didn’t know very many people in Washington, it wasn’t my thing. I was from Manhattan, from New York. Now I know everybody. And I have great people in the administration. You make some mistakes, like you know an idiot like Bolton, all he wanted to do is drop bombs on everybody. You don’t have to drop bombs on everybody. You don’t have to kill people.(7)>>BUT the PANDEMIC may have COOKED the 2020 Election .  Our National election is cooked. Party conventions are in jeopardy, campaigning is on hold and local ... the coronavirus pandemic has drastically upended the 2020 elections. The fact that Joe Biden is really in the race is suspect that this ALL SOME KIND OF STAGGED EVENT . HE's not running to WIN , but to lose and take a bow to Trump . Over the past two months, the outbreak of the novel coronavirus has had a devastating impact on nearly all aspects of life in the United States. And now, most Americans expect it will disrupt the presidential election in November. People will not be able to go to the POLLs in person. American citizens always argue about politics and the two-party system and the 2020 election cycle is no different for many U.S. citizens.  The public knows that the incumbent President, Donald Trump, will presumptively be presented as the leader in 52 days.The public is also aware that former Vice President for the Obama administration, Joe Biden, will also likely be presented as the Democrats leader at the national convention in 45 days. A lot of people think that the two choices from the Democrat and Republican parties are horrible this election cycle but many Americans are not aware of third-party candidates.