Dysfunctional Government

Amid the Pandemic , it's not just Trump as a failure .
Our Two party  system of Democrats and Republicans failed
big time to help the American people survive the
COVID -19 lockdowns . The American Government has
no safety net for anyone except the Rich.

With the so called PANDEMIC running around you would not think that When lawmakers can’t agree on where to go or which route to take, they end up driving in circles, shouting at each other.  (1)>>The U.S. government isn’t doing what it should to protect citizens, and President Trump changes his attitude about the epidemic at every press conference. Governments around the world have laid out varying instructions on how to mitigate the spread of COVID-19 which, for many people, has meant staying at home. But there’s been little direction on how to actually live through a pandemic. How does one reckon with quarantine life?  (2)>>What about those with mental health issues strained by isolation? How about the self-quarantining individuals who are navigating symptoms but are not in need of immediate hospitalization — who is speaking to them? But the utter FAILURE of the two party system is amazing . Democrats and Republicans both elected House and Senate  are a disgrace to put it in simple terms .Even to pass some legislation to help so many people who are suffering economically because of the COVID-19 shutdowns.COVID-19 is the Black Swan event that will bring down the American Society. For good or ill, that remains to be seen. (3)>>The Spanish Flu didn't take out entire Governments and Governmental Response was swift, landing on the problem like a ton of bricks. Today, every government has been behind the 8-ball. USFK soldiers haven't even gotten their NBC gear on yet and set up negative flow tents and done aggressive testing. Almost all US Presidential Candidates are old and have underlying health issues and all are attending massive rallies on a regular basis. This could very well be the first US Election in which all the candidates die on campaign and cause mass electoral chaos leading to civil war. Put simply, America's national government is foundering.  Nancy Pelosi and Mitch  (4)>>McConnell both are heading for a clash that might last for weeks on end. Congressional leaders from both parties privately believe they’ll reach a deal at some point: the stakes are too high for the nation’s health and economic well-being, not to mention Election Day is quickly approaching. But it may take several weeks of difficult negotiations — and public posturing — to strike an accord.  The botched responses to Hurricane Katrina and the Dubai Port World deal are illustrative. Correcting this condition extends beyond the responsibility of the executive and legislative branches and ultimately rests with the American public. If the public does not become engaged and demand action, then it will get the government it deserves. The same, however, cannot be said for future generations, who will inherit a broken republic if we do not act quickly and effectively.The answer to the question of why the United States is in trouble is clear and stark... Government, and the people elected to populate it -- no matter how noble or gifted -- have been stymied in finding workable, effective, and -- in a few crucial instances -- even legal solutions to this array of tough issues. Our government is not working. It has become dysfunctional.  With COVID-19 Americans woke up to find themselves citizens of a failed state.  (5)>>With no national plan—no coherent instructions at all—families, schools, and offices were left to decide on their own whether to shut down and take shelter. When test kits, masks, gowns, and ventilators were found to be in desperately short supply, governors pleaded for them from the White House, which stalled, then called on private enterprise, which couldn’t deliver. States and cities were forced into bidding wars that left them prey to price gouging and corporate profiteering. Civilians took out their sewing machines to try to keep ill-equipped hospital workers healthy and their patients alive. Russia, Taiwan, and the United Nations sent humanitarian aid to the world’s richest power—a beggar nation in utter chaos. (6)>>Pandemic relief is just one among a multitude of pressing problems we expect the public sector to be solve. the coronavirus outbreak makes it clear that the government needs to communicate clearly, operate transparently, and have the necessary resources and well-developed plans in place.  Without these elements and a sense of urgency from the White House, the government cannot respond early and effectively to contain outbreaks, or slow their spread to prevent a pandemic from overwhelming our healthcare system. While the Trump administration took actions to curtail travel from China—where COVID-19 first appeared—in early February, the nature of global disease outbreaks is that there are rarely silver bullets, and efforts may need to be sustained and evolve over time to deal with the shifting threat. America’s lack of preparedness lies squarely with our dysfunctional government. The real lesson to be learned from our botched response to COVID-19.The health‐​care system also faces short‐​term supply constraints. It takes years to produce the thousands of new doctors, nurses, pharmacists, and EMTs that are needed when a crisis hits. It takes time to make more hospital beds, ventilators, ambulances, and personal protective equipment too. That we ran short of these resources when the coronavirus reached our shores is not a sign of a poorly run system, but of one governed by basic economic imperatives: (7)>>Health‐​care businesses sensibly kept only enough resources on hand to deal with expected demand, because maintaining excess capacity was not worth the expense. I don't know why we're not protesting  for universal healthcare in a during a medical pandemic it seems to me that the most important thing for people to go out there and protest is the fact that we don't have universal health care and the fact that we don't have a way to support ourselves because the economy you know we've been forced to stop working and people can't pay their bills those are the things to me those economic issues the healthcare issues are the things that people should have been marching in the streets for not that the other protests weren't important but i would think right now during the middle you know with what we're going through that would have been the most important thing um the thing is the hospitals were emptied out there were plenty of beds available there were there's plenty in fact at least 50 hospitals thus far have gone bankrupt from a lack of people in them during this pandemic so universal healthcare or not um that wasn't an issue we were do that's not why we're seeing a spike in cases here in the united states that's not why we're having issues here in the u.s we emptied out our hospitals to deal with this pandemic um compare best practices in other countries new zealand very quick and bold reaction covid19 is virtually extinct in new zealand once again it's not really it just they've been able to contain themselves and isolate for a little while but eventually they're going to have to come out eventually they're going to go travel the world eventually they're going to have visitors into their country and when that happens when they accept immigrants when they let their own citizens travel around when they open up their borders again when that happens they're going to get the virus unless they waitand they wait for the rest of the world to catch it. In the American national consciousness, our country has always been the richest and most advanced in the world. We have the best of everything. We are the most “first world” of all the developed countries.  But in the United States of America, in the year 2020, the only categories we seem to be leading the rest of the world in are the numbers of confirmed infections and deaths from coronavirus. But universal coverage is only part of the sorry picture. The US for-profit health care “system” has brought about a spate of closures of hospitals that had ceased being profitable, including at least thirty that went bankrupt in 2019. Things have been particularly severe in rural areas, with 120 rural hospitals closing over the last decade, reaching a high with nineteen closures last year. If you had consciously tried to engineer a massive public health disaster, you couldn’t hope to match the ways in which the whole American system has been calibrated to transform this crisis into a catastrophe. Decades of racist, anti-worker, and plutocratic government policy has created the ideal conditions for a pandemic to turn the United States into a failed state.

NOTES AND COMMENTS:

 (1)>>The U.S. government isn’t doing what it should to protect citizens.For the US, it is the failure to keep the Union of Big Labor, Big Government, and Big Business of the New Deal Era till Reagan shot it in the head, compounded by the failure to have Universal Healthcare and switching away from Technical Schools to primarily college education. This resulted in the average American being a poor laborer whose wages have not kept up with inflation and lacks collective bargaining power to ensure his fair slice. Losing a day of work for illness is a disaster equivalent to a tank of gas or his grocery bill for the week. A week of illness means a loss of his home. So he goes to work and infects others. Government by contrast has become incompetent, gerrymandered, and insulated from actual Democratic Change due to said gerrymandering as well as unlimited Corporate Money. Rather than address internal problems in the US and anger the Corporations, they create threats out of nothing and wage endless wars as a distraction.(2)>>What about those with mental health issues strained by isolation? . Social distancing is not easy for many to cope with, but it can be particularly difficult for people already struggling with mental health issues, according to health experts. Research from the 2002 SARS pandemic — a different kind of coronavirus — showed that quarantine can result in considerable psychological stress in the form of depressive symptoms and PTSD. Other research has shown that chronic social isolation increases the risk of mortality by 29%. In a University of Michigan study that began a week after the World Health organization declared COVID-19 a global pandemic, 28 percent of respondents said they used alcohol or drugs to feel better. More than 50 percent of people reported symptoms of anxiety every day or several days a week.Certain factors increased the risk of psychological problems, such as quarantines lasting longer than 10 days (which was associated mostly with post-traumatic stress), poor information about the rationale for the quarantine, and lack of access to necessary supplies and telecommunication services. (3)>>The Spanish Flu didn't take out entire Governments and Governmental Response was swift. The 1918 influenza pandemic, also known as the Spanish flu, killed an estimated 50 million worldwide, including 675,000 in the U.S., according to the CDC. The pandemic occurred in three waves: the spring of 1918, fall of 1918, and winter and spring of 1919. In the midst of World War I, the federal government had limited resources to fight it.An estimated 30% of U.S. physicians were engaged in military service, so Congress passed funding in October 1918 to recruit doctors and nurses. At the time, there were no vaccines or lab tests to detect the virus, which meant government officials relied on “non-pharmaceutical interventions” such as quarantine, isolation and limits on public gatherings.The U.S. spends almost $1 trillion a year on national defense, but it handles our security so poorly that a virus born in a provincial city in China has killed thousands of us, sickened hundreds of thousands more, and sent us into economic freefall in barely a month. With a record like that, no one should want the government to have more responsibility for the health‐​care system than it already does. (4)>>McConnell both are heading for a clash that might last for weeks on end. In a sign of the difficulties facing Congress, lawmakers can't even agree what round of relief they are currently negotiating. Some classify the last $484 billion relief bill passed in April as only an "interim" measure and describe the current talks as "phase 4." Other members refer to this round as "phase 5" because it will be the fifth coronavirus-focused bill.Among the key sticking points will be addressing the extra $600 in weekly unemployment benefits in the March CARES Act. Democrats want to see those benefits extended and are suggesting tying unemployment benefits to economic conditions. Senate Republicans, however, say the increase in unemployment benefits provide a disincentive for people to return to work.A potential compromise could center around “return to work” incentives. Regardless, the additional benefits for most people are likely to lapse, at least temporarily, before a deal gets struck. While the March law authorizes the extra benefits through the end of the month, the money will effectively stop being paid out on July 25 under the way most state unemployment systems are set up.(5)>>With no national plan—no coherent instructions at all. While countries like New Zealand and Germany have taken a unified national approach to fighting the virus — and are enjoying the fruits of a successful mitigation strategy —Without a coherent, evidence-based plan in place—a path forward, clear benchmarks, and an end in sight—the public and government officials may grow weary of physical distancing prematurely. The result would be repeated waves of exponential transmission followed by lockdowns, wreaking havoc on the economy and peoples’ lives. It will be far more devastating to our economy—and to public health—to experience waves and waves of virus response rather than properly return to normal when it is truly safe. Americans are willing to make sacrifices and do their part to break transmission, but they need to have faith that there is a plan in place that will work.To state the obvious: The technological and political obstacles are massive. While similar efforts have borne fruit in Singapore and South Korea, the US is a very different country, with a more mistrustful, individualistic culture. Already, polling shows that 70 percent of Republicans, and 46 percent of Democrats, strongly oppose using cellphone data to enforce quarantine orders.Amid record unemployment claims and the disruption of commercial activity caused by the novel coronavirus outbreak, the public’s assessments of the U.S. economy have deteriorated with extraordinary speed and severity. Just 23% of Americans now rate economic conditions in the country as excellent or good, down sharply from 57% at the start of the year.Most now say the economy is in either only fair (38%) or poor (38%) shape. In January, just 9% of Americans said economic conditions were poor.The dramatic plunge in positive assessments of the national economy as a result of the coronavirus outbreak is steeper than declines in economic ratings seen during the last two recessions. Before they took a sudden negative turn, economic attitudes were historically positive. Just three months ago, the public’s views of the national economy were more positive than they had been at any point over the past 20 years. (6)>>Pandemic relief is just one among a multitude of pressing problems.  Stimulus programs designed to keep the economy afloat during the coronavirus pandemic have failed to provide relief to Americans workers and companies who need it most. The coronavirus recession has split America in two: those who are still financially intact, and others facing lasting scars. Millions of Main Street businesses were existing month-to-month before the pandemic arrived, and now they are seriously hurting. Congress and the SBA must take immediate steps to ensure that the next round of small-business relief is actually distributed to those who need it most, and not just to those with lawyers and bankers to ensure they get to the front of the line. The relief and recovery packages have provided relatively timely support to Americans and will certainly help stave off longer-term economic damage. The legislation has also been widely criticized for flaws such as prioritizing industries over workers, inadequate funding for health care, and potentially hindering people who do not typically file tax returns from applying for one-time payments.The US Congress has approved fiscal spending of just under $3 trillion – more than the stimulus given after the global financial crisis. Small companies can take bank loans to cover running costs, wages and rent for a couple of months. If they do not lay off workers, the US Treasury will repay the loans. These loan schemes are conditional on companies freezing share buy-backs and capping management pay and bonuses.(7)>>Health‐​care businesses sensibly kept only enough resources on hand to deal with expected demand. The United States, whose health system is a mix of private and public sources, is one of the only high-income countries that has not achieved universal health coverage: around 8.5 percent of the population go without coverage. The 2010 Affordable Care Act required most Americans to have insurance, but that requirement was eliminated by President Donald J. Trump’s administration in 2019.COVID-19 has put the cracks in America’s healthcare system under a microscope. Instead of a system designed to promote the public health, we see a system that imposes unpredictable costs while excluding millions of people, including many of the essential workers on whom we depend to meet our basic needs — the cashiers, drivers, delivery people, and cooks who ensure that, even during a pandemic, we have access to food and medicine and cleaning supplies. Although these workers face life-threatening risks to keep society functioning, the government has thus far shirked the financial responsibility of their treatment should they contract COVID-19.While most politicians do not support government-funded healthcare, their constituents do. A new national poll of over 1,700 likely voters from The Justice Collaborative Institute and Data for Progress shows that, regardless of party affiliation, the majority of American voters believe that the federal government should take responsibility for covering our healthcare. Nearly 70 percent of voters, including 58 percent of Republicans, support “a crisis care plan that ma[kes] the federal government responsible for paying all health care costs for as long as the United States remains under a state of emergency.”

Can WE REOPEN SAFELY?

California's Governor Newsom seems to be heading
for another stricter lockdown as August approaches.


When lockdown ends there will inevitably be a spike, and we need to have worked hard during lockdown to prepare, like the WCape has. But we can't stay in lockdown forever and we need to save our economy.

Places of worship, hair salons and other businesses are closing again after Gov. Gavin Newsom on  (1)>>Monday rolled back the state's reopening amid an increase in COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations. Everyone said in April that the second shutdown would be SO much more painful, and it definitely will be. Dr. Anthony Fauci suggested on Monday that the current nationwide surge in COVID-19 cases was due to the United States not shutting down completely in its initial response to the virus. “We did not shut down entirely and that’s the reason why we went up,” said Fauci during a virtual conversation hosted by Stanford Medicine. “We started to come down and then we plateaued at a level that was really quite high, about 20,000 infections a day. Then as we started to reopen, we’re seeing the surges that we’re seeing today as we speak.”We can’t keep moving the goalposts. We can’t say, “It’s just for a couple of weeks.” Then it’s a couple of months. Then it’s until we have “14 straight days of no new cases,” then it’s 28 days. Then it’s “when we have a vaccine.”The testing fiasco was the original sin of America’s pandemic failure, the single flaw that undermined every other countermeasure. If the country could have accurately tracked the spread of the virus, hospitals could have executed their pandemic plans, girding themselves by allocating treatment rooms, ordering extra supplies, tagging in personnel, or assigning specific facilities to deal with COVID-19 cases. None of that happened. Instead, a health-care system that already runs close to full capacity, and that was already challenged by a severe flu season, was suddenly faced with a virus that had been left to spread, untracked, through communities around the country. Overstretched hospitals became overwhelmed. Basic protective equipment, such as masks, gowns, and gloves, began to run out. Beds will soon follow, as will the ventilators that provide oxygen to patients whose lungs are besieged by the virus.  (2)>>When will that be? And what about the next virus? Will we have to stay home for that one too? It’s confusing and deeply unsettling to many. And just as many are becoming very angry. Its never going to end .  California's Twenty-nine counties the state is monitoring are now required to close indoor operations. It's not like we have much choice. Extended lockdowns are not an option economically. Some nation wide  city mayor's have made  statements yesterday that due to the reduced sales taxes coming in they are stating to eliminate police, fire, and many other services provided by theie city. The state I live in was essentially bankrupt before this started,  (3)>>California hit the fan a few months ago ,and many services are being cut.Best to just stay locked down forever instead of putting on the training wheels and learning from mistakes as we go.Oh, I like this page a lot--it's a lot of interesting data to compare in one place. I like that states can clearly move back as well as forward.On the first table, I'd like to see the reopening dates in there as well, since it'll be really interesting to see days since reopening in conjunction with the other numbers. I struggle a little with averages on Table 2. I don't see how Montana could be 120% increasing in the last 14 days with a 30-day graph wherein the second half of the line is pretty flat, and I'm not sure it's worth including Rt with that wide a possible range. Table 3 uses the red/green system for three separate metrics within the table, which I find confusing, but still good info. For table 4, once I figured out there genuinely were two different goals for daily national testing I was good to go but it took me a minute.Overall it's really enlightening and I'd love to see one on countries[ see charts and info at https://www.covidexitstrategy.org/ ] States are trying  to reopen America’s paused, traumatized economy. In the absence of a national roadmap for that transition, governors, regional leaders, and business owners are scrambling. They are downloading general guidance documents from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). They are scouring the world for COVID-19 testing kits. And they’re asking trusted stakeholders what they think about easing coronavirus quarantines. or the first time since this country was formed, the US is BANNED from traveling to most other countries in N. America, Europe and Asia.We are now behaving like some 3rd world hovel incapable of managing a pandemic. The rest of the western world is reopening with testing and tracing and people can return to work or school without having to risk their lives. 
NOTES AND COMMENTS:

(1)>>Monday rolled back the state's reopening. It might go through three wave even before we get a vaccine. But we can make subsequent waves less severe by keeping a few things going until then. Things like: mask and glove culture, reduced social gatherings, rapid and regular testing, contact tracing, reduced international travel, continued production of necessary medical equipment, and so on.For example, in the U.S. through the first week of April, there were officially just over 360,000 confirmed cases nationwide. Without lockdowns and other interventions, the researchers at Berkeley calculate that the U.S. would have had nearly 14 times as many by April 6: more than 5 million confirmed cases. To put this in perspective, the U.S. now, two months later, is hitting the 2 million mark.  (2)>>When will that be? And what about the next virus? Why was the world so unprepared? Should countries have higher national stockpiles of ventilators, masks, ICU beds? Should stay-at-home orders have been issued earlier?These are all measures for after an epidemic has begun, after an enterprising virus has leapt from an animal to a human (a phenomenon scientists call “spillover“). But a small group of ecologists, epidemiologists, and veterinarians have spent the last decade attacking pandemics from another angle. One big question is whether the coronavirus is also here to stay. If efforts to contain it fail, there’s a high chance that it will become endemic. As with influenza, this could mean that deaths occur every year as the virus circulates, until a vaccine is developed. If the virus can be spread by people who are infected but don’t have symptoms, it will be more difficult to control its spread, making it more likely that the virus will become endemic. (3)>>California hit the fan a few months ago .   A Few Months ago California Gov. Newsom stressed in his daily briefings that the laockdowns were needed to BEND THE CURVE , this began in March . The Hard lockdowns failed , the state of California is now having serious budget problems .Gov. Gavin Newsom has repeatedly said California will need to see steady declines in coronavirus cases and deaths in order to reopen in earnest. But two months into the state’s shelter-in-place order, coronavirus cases are still rising and deaths remain at a stubborn plateau. In fact, Friday was the state’s second-deadliest day amid the pandemic.One goal of the stay-at-home order was to buy public health officials time to get a handle on the virus, and ultimately suppress it, by figuring out just how much “hidden disease” was out there through increased testing and tracing.

CAN WE SURVIVE A 2nd TRUMP TERM ?

The SERIOUS COMEDY of ERRORS a 2nd TRUMP
TERM.

The time is January 2021. The election has left the nation a psychological mess and a sulfurous cloud of election meddling by foreign hackers hangs over the still-contested results.....Politico Magazine

October 21st , 2019 see: shorturl.at/ozJSX

BESIDES that here we have another serious problem first (1)>>I had a nightmare   . CAN WE SURVIVE A 2nd TRUMP TERM ? Still, it raises eyebrows to hear him continue the assault as an incumbent seeking a second term.In my personal opinion, I would say it is difficult to know. Politics have been drastically changing in the recent years. I have witnessed people from different parties question their political orientation due to recent events. The United States is in a strange place at the moment, so the election is a gamble at the moment. But that is just my experience, I could be completely daft in my political thinking. I begged to ask the question  (1.2)>>if Biden won in November. That might be a possibility .If the Dems did end up nominating some lunatic screaming about abolishing ICE and DHS and obsessing over identity politics instead of staying on message where the Dems are strong (universal health care, better wages, eliminating tax loopholes for the wealthy and corporations) then yes, there is a good chance Trump is reelected. Trump’s favorable rating fell faster than any other president-elect’s in the history of polling, dropping below 50 percent even before his inauguration, a fact that made him look to most civilians as well as politicians like a probable one-term from the get-go. (2)>>Only in the past few months has Trump’s reelection started to appear as likely as not. If he wins, a basic calculation about how to deal with him will tip for a whole range of players. Get me , Donald Trump has been attacked from the first day he was elected . You all know why, he's been accused of colluding with Russia to win the election of 2016 .  The Last Four Years , the nation was out of "focus" . You Can't exactly put the blame on Trump .Trump’s reelection seems implausible to many people, as implausible as his election did before November 2016. But despite the scandals and chaos of his presidency, and despite his party’s midterm losses, he approaches 2020 with two factors in his favor. One is incumbency: Since 1980, voters have only once denied an incumbent a second term. The other is a relatively strong economy (at least as of now). Alan Abramowitz, a political scientist at Emory University who weights both of those factors heavily in his election-forecasting model, gives Trump close to an even chance of reelection, based on a projected 2 percent GDP growth rate for the first half of 2020. First I blame our two Party system that wasted the whole Congress into doing nothing, they can not even work together during a pandemic .(3)>>NOW the Russia gate  investigation was a total Embarrassment. Mueller's evidence was more like a collection of Wikipedia articles , Mueller did not give a full punch to dethrone Trump .  Part of the Mueller evidence is that it was "leaked” to the anti Trump press as part of a media propaganda machine leading up the Mueller testimony. We all should have guessed. We could not even get Trump impeached enough to get him out  .The Democrats did spend nearly 100 million dollars of investigations on Trump , still trying to squeeze an iota looking at his tax returns .It will never end . Honestly while Trump is listed under Forbes as being worth 3 billion, but he is one the poorest of the billionaire boy's club . He's probably broke , because of his risky rel-estate  gambling endeavors . (4)>>UNLESS THE RUSSIANS have his SWISS ACCOUNT ? 

January 2021 . CNN's Anderson  Cooper
walks off TV crying after Trump beats
Joe Biden .
Cooper is reported to have said on TV
"It's the End of America"

Now my personal view about Trump is he’s so  unprofessional in conduct , it’s like he has a screw missing some place, vary unpredictable.  (5)>>Yes he is a scary walking dude who gets his fuel from the alt-right , Christian Coalition , religious right groups . Trump has been their boy all a long.  Let me ask you . A Trump second term is vary unsettling to anyone. Your ALL GOING TO WAKE UP to that reality to that he might win a second term. It will be interesting to see politically, if he’s not on the ballot, if he still has the hold on the party that he does now. Half of the GOP senators are queasy every morning over tweets. (6)>>Trump himself isn’t saying much about what a second term would really look like. Scripted legislative agendas are not how he rolls. Still, if his first term has taught us anything, Trump as a lame duck would be anything but unifying. Indeed, the civil war that the president has predicted could well be visible in the hostile crowds hectoring each other on the Mall in January 2021. After that? What does a bruised but unbowed Trump do with his political capital? What does an enraged Democratic opposition bring to bear that it hasn’t already? Way before the Pandemic last year in 2019,  Trump has presided over the strongest economy in living memory. Unemployment is at record lows, inflation is nearly non-existent, and new jobs are being created at a startling pace. Anyone who studies presidential politics knows that strong economies are the most important factor driving support for the incumbent.  The Post Virus economy of the United States is a crash history lesson on forced lockdowns , government confusion . So between now and election day, few economists  did expect a [DEPRESSION] recession with 50 million with out jobs , worse the nation has no safety net to shield the economy, or bailing people out of a dire economy . For Trump it looks like a bad dream for him. In what would normally be a week of crisis, Trump was claiming other perceived victories. In a way the Democrats have helped Trump by their own lack of empathy helping

Old Moore's Almanack predicted
and later retracted Trump Winning
the 2020 elction .

communites that are hit most by the Pandemic , the whole year had the Likes of Pelosi trying to start a new investigation while trying the divide between the Senate and the House . This may have reached a boiling point right around August . (7)>>BUT the PANDEMIC may have COOKED the 2020 Election . Surely President Trump did in 2016 was as skilled and effective at this line of politicking as any candidate in memory. He made a mantra of "drain the swamp" and let his crowds chant "lock them up."  Even Joe Biden is placed at a severe disadvantage due to losses in his party’s first two presidential nominating contests in Iowa and New Hampshire.But as is the case with most attitudes about the conduct of elections and proposals on voting, partisans are sharply divided in these views. Large majorities of Republicans are confident that the election will be conducted fairly and accurately (75%) and that all citizens who want to vote will be able to do so (87%).
Democrats are considerably less confident: 46% are confident in the fairness and accuracy of the November election, and just 43% are confident all citizens will be able to vote if they want to. Multiple interviews in recent days with influential people in Washington’s political class, including strategists and government veterans in both major parties and figures who have served at high levels in the Trump White House, found most people expecting some sort of dramatic shift of plot in this election year. The one thing many predictions seem to agree on is that the election could rest crucially on Mr Trump’s leadership of the US through the coronavirus pandemic and mitigating the public health crisis’s impact on the economy in the upcoming months before November. Trump is running not so much against specific parts of the government as against the idea of Washington, which is to say the idea that someone somewhere has a lot more power than you do and is using it against your best interests. That idea is deeply fixed, both in the rational workings of the American mind and in the untamed regions of American suspicion Donald J Trump could win a second term.

NOTES AND COMMENTS:

(1)>>I had a nightmare.  . Several years ago I had a nightmare . IN this nightmare I saw the White House Burining , standing infront of the White House was Barack Obama leading some kind of protest . I saw that dream vividly in 2010 . Never I would think that 10 years later the whole country would be in chaos , not much about the Corona Virus , but the Floyd Riots as I would called them , but with not  to mention the BLM movement , and Antifa in the middle of the chaos . Right now I have to give some fair warning about  the future for America. IT's is going off a political cliff. Like a race car crashing down a ravine pulling down the Democrats and Republican parties, and all those currupt cronies .(1.2)>>if Biden won in November. Data from the web portal predictions.global shows the prediction marketplace Augur and the future 2020 election outcome predictions stemming from that platform. During the last few weeks, people are still not sure that Joe Biden will be the Democratic party nominee. Despite the fact that Biden has 2,144 delegates people still think it is questionable. Augur stats also show that 29% of the prediction marketplace users think Kamala Harris could be the Democratic party nominee for President in the 2020 election. (2)>>Only in the past few months has Trump’s reelection started to appear as likely as not.His average approval rating is nearing the 30s, poll after poll shows him behind presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden by double digits, and even Fox News shows him narrowly trailing Biden in solid red states. Trump's Republican allies are reportedly concerned about his reelection chances and Trump has yet to meet the urgency of the moment. Despite recent polls that identify Joe Biden as the heavy favorite in 2020, a political science professor is still standing by his prediction model that shows President Trump having a "91 percent" chance of winning in November.Mediaite reported on Wednesday that Stony Brook professor Helmut Norpoth is doubling down on his "Primary Model,” which has correctly predicted five out of the past six elections since 1996 and every single election but two in the past 108 years.“The Primary Model gives Trump a 91 percent chance of winning in November,” Norpoth said. "This model gets it right for 25 of the 27 elections since 1912, when primaries were introduced."As Mediaite noted, the two elections the model failed to predict were the 1960 election of John F. Kennedy and the 2000 election of George W. Bush. According to at least one expert, however, none of that matters.Political science professor Helmut Norpoth—who correctly predicted Trump's 2016 upset victory—says Trump has a 91 percent chance of winning reelection in 2020, according to a model that's correctly called five of the six elections since 1996.Norpoth's model uses primary wins coupled with the early enthusiasm generated by candidates to predict how those trends will hold on the crucial day voters head to the ballot box.(3)>>NOW the Russia gate  investigation was a total Embarrassment. I have argued and argued I saw this coming two years ago the vary minute that Trump was being investigated that it was going nowhere . Mueller's evidence was "evidence" about what we already knew about Trump and Russia , the evidence of collusion was vary thin , but the real investigation failed to focus on Trump's past relations with Russia as business man . The Whole "theory" of why Trump was investigated was that he won the 2016 election because of Russia somewhow changing the voter machines or smearing Hillary making her not get enough electorial votes . Blaming Russia was a empty wine skin . It took away the focus of corruption within our Government system that may have rigged the entire election system to favor a candidate . As we are seeing right Now with the Biden coincidence (4)>>UNLESS THE RUSSIANS have his SWISS ACCOUNT ?  The congressional Democrats subpoenaed ­Deutsche Bank for its records on Trump, his family members and his businesses. The Trump family sued to block the bank from complying; after two federal courts ruled against the Trumps, the Supreme Court has agreed to hear the case, with oral arguments expected in the spring. State prosecutors, meanwhile, are investigating the bank’s ties with Trump, too. The F.B.I. has been conducting its own wide­ranging investigation of ­Deutsche Bank, and people connected to the bank told me they have been interviewed by special agents about aspects of the Trump relationship.   In truth Trump was all but finished as a major real-estate developer, in the eyes of many in the business, and that’s because the U.S. banking industry was pretty much finished with him. By the early 1990s he had burned through his portion of his father Fred’s fortune with a series of reckless business decisions. Two of his businesses had declared bankruptcy, the Trump Taj Mahal Casino in Atlantic City and the Plaza Hotel in New York, and the money pit that was the Trump Shuttle went out of business in 1992. Trump companies would ultimately declare Chapter 11 bankruptcy two more times. When would-be borrowers repeatedly file for protection from their creditors, they become poison to most major lenders and, according to financial experts interviewed for this story, such was Trump’s reputation in the U.S. financial industry at that juncture. But Trump eventually made a comeback, and according to several sources with knowledge of Trump’s business, foreign money played a large role in reviving his fortunes, in particular investment by wealthy people from Russia and the former Soviet republics. (5)>>Yes he is a scary walking dude who gets his fuel from the alt-right 👉Trump is methodically engaging in verbal assaults that throw fuel on his political program of closed borders, nativism, social exclusion, and punitive excess. Even his cultivated silences and failures to condemn right-wing violence, in the fatal aftermathof the Unite the Right rally in Charlottesville, for instance, or regarding the pipe-bombing suspect Cesar Sayoc, communicate directly to extremists. We are watching, in real time, a new right discourse come to define the American presidency. The term “alt-right” is too innocuous when the new political formation we face is, in truth, neo-fascist, white-supremacist, ultranationalist, and counterrevolutionary. Too few Americans appear to recognize how extreme President Trump has become—in part because it is so disturbing to encounter the arguments of the American and European new right. But we must—and we must call Trump out for deploying them to gain power.  ,👉 Christian Coalition , religious right groups .The president’s strange photo op , in which he followed up a truculent law-and-order speech by marching across Lafayette Park (from which peaceful protesters had just been cleared with tear gas and rubber bullets) to a fire-damaged St. John’s Episcopal Church, only to silently hold up a Bible, but Connecting Trump to evangelical leaders in 2016, and it promises to be one of the most vital weapons in Trump’s reelection arsenal this year. It’s hardly news that Christians are as polarized by Trump as other Americans, with white conservative Evangelicals in particular glorying in his championship of such causes as the criminalization of abortion and a return to traditional (e.g., heterosexual and male-dominated) marriage. But the reactions to this particular incident represent significant differences in how Christians view their own faith and its proper place in 21st-century America.  Embedded throughout this discussion is an assumption that the majority of evangelicals will vote for Republicans, and this assumption is well supported in survey data. The 2016 National Election Pool Exit Survey had Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton among white evangelicals by a staggering 79% to 16%. In that exit survey, white evangelicals composed 46% of Trump’s coalition compared to 9% of Clinton’s coalition. The aforementioned 2018 AP/NORC survey found white Evangelical voters were roughly twice as likely to approve of Donald Trump’s job as president as other voters. While only a small percentage of white evangelical protestants consistently vote for Democrats or identify as liberal, they tend to cluster in certain churches and, consequently, could have substantial localized electoral impact. (6)>>Trump himself isn’t saying much about what a second term would really look like.   President Donald 

Old Moore's Almanack 2020.
Predicted a Trump win , this was
published last year . Later Moore ,
turned around and modified his
prediction .

Trump’s answer To to Sean Hannity’s question about his plans for a second term was was like this:Well one of the things that will be really great: you know, the word experience is still good. I always say talent is more important than experience. I’ve always said that. But the word experience is a very important word. It's a very important meaning. I never did this before, I never slept over in Washington. I was in Washington I think 17 times, all of a sudden I’m the president of the United States, you know the story, I’m riding down Pennsylvania Avenue with our First Lady and I say, “This is great.” But I didn’t know very many people in Washington, it wasn’t my thing. I was from Manhattan, from New York. Now I know everybody. And I have great people in the administration. You make some mistakes, like you know an idiot like Bolton, all he wanted to do is drop bombs on everybody. You don’t have to drop bombs on everybody. You don’t have to kill people.(7)>>BUT the PANDEMIC may have COOKED the 2020 Election .  Our National election is cooked. Party conventions are in jeopardy, campaigning is on hold and local ... the coronavirus pandemic has drastically upended the 2020 elections. The fact that Joe Biden is really in the race is suspect that this ALL SOME KIND OF STAGGED EVENT . HE's not running to WIN , but to lose and take a bow to Trump . Over the past two months, the outbreak of the novel coronavirus has had a devastating impact on nearly all aspects of life in the United States. And now, most Americans expect it will disrupt the presidential election in November. People will not be able to go to the POLLs in person. American citizens always argue about politics and the two-party system and the 2020 election cycle is no different for many U.S. citizens.  The public knows that the incumbent President, Donald Trump, will presumptively be presented as the leader in 52 days.The public is also aware that former Vice President for the Obama administration, Joe Biden, will also likely be presented as the Democrats leader at the national convention in 45 days. A lot of people think that the two choices from the Democrat and Republican parties are horrible this election cycle but many Americans are not aware of third-party candidates.