He should make a stop in San Francisco to see the fruits of his policies. I had no idea Israel was on the way to China. Pretty sure Israel isn’t located in the pacific. |
Thursday, October 26, 2023
NEWSOM's CHINA SURPRISE VISIT & FALL OUT .
Monday, October 23, 2023
I'll try to use a crystal ball , what's NEXT ???
Saturday, October 21, 2023
CONGRESS AND CHAOS .
Hearing Gaetz complain about Jordan being “ knifed by his fellow Republicans” is beyond parody. |
Well, just from my point of view, I think the belief in institutionalists in the GOP has been unfounded since the days of Unitary Executive Theory and other right wing attempts at circumventing the Constitution. I was pleasantly surprised to hear an interview recently with a House member from Arkansas of all places advocating for following the process, regardless of the result. (5)>>Still, this is not a new monster that the GOP has created. It's been a long time coming, and I think anyone who really follows this stuff could have seen it coming since the "ah shucks" populism of George W took root.With the removal on October 20 of Jim Jordan as House Republican Speaker-Designate (the GOP conference’s nominee to become Speaker), replacing previous House Speaker-Designate Steve Scalise, who in turn sought to succeed actual House Speaker Kevin McCarthy, there’s absolutely no way to tell who if anyone will be able to muster the 217 votes necessary to seize the slippery gavel that McCarthy was forced to relinquish on October 3.I told folks the biggest challenge to giving him more powers or electing him to Speaker was that he is a sane person and no sane person wants this impossible job.He has one responsibility right now: gavel in the election of the Speaker, and even just this job is like herding feral cats. (6)>>The extreme instability of the situation means it may be a good idea to look at what would happen if the House is Speakerless for an extended period of time.The one critical piece of business that the House must deal with is annual appropriations, the measures required to authorize all but the most essential government spending. Right now the federal government is operating under a stopgap spending bill which was the immediate cause of McCarthy’s demise after he negotiated it with the Biden administration and Senate Democrats and then passed it in the House with more Democratic than Republican votes. It expires on November 17. Yes. It's so against the interests of their own party, it's insane.Man it's wonderful that they can't all get along. The longer and harder they squabble, the more the institutionalists will be ready to get behind a Democrat to get something done. I think they'll have to choose a more moderate democrat though.I expect them to give in a couple weeks into the shutdown. It should be nonstop public dysfunction til then.
NOTES AND COMMENTS :
(1)>>Gaetz motioned to vacate was because McCarthy worked with Dems to NOT shut down the government. Another wrinkle though, after the motion to vacate, another member can make a motion to table -- that means the motion to vacate is set aside. I think this is the path most likely to lead to Dems casting a vote that protects McCarthy. They're not voting to keep him (technically), just voting to not deal with this nonsense. Why is it if democrats make a mistake and get blamed for it it hurts them for a long time, people quickly lose trust in them, example this whole Menendez thing could really hurt them. but some Republicans can make mistakes do awful things and then get re elected or just walk it off like nothing happened.A government shut down before elections (this is why the plan only covered 45 days, it nudged it past this year's elections) is not a good thing for anyone. Especially if there isn't a replacement speaker any time soon (which given the situation isn't unlikely).As a rule people don't care why you stabbed them, they just care they you did. The GOP may be hurt more but it be ballsy for the democratic party to, at large, to opt for this.Gaetz actively annoys the crap out of McCarthy (like trying to remove him from speaker), doesn't get along with large portions of his own party, and his sex trafficking shit means McCarthy has the excuse to keep anyone from voting no just to screw with him. He's in shorts more embarrassing, and more annoying, then Greene.(2)>>Who's going to get the next wave of BILLIONS of Dollars ???? Ukraine or Israel ???? THE IRONY NOW. Jesus that's a lot of money/goods/weapons.We are led by politicians who work for lobby groups. They place more emphasis in supporting foreign governments and citizens instead of us. A third part of my country's GDP. Well, you see, all of our politicians are owned by the military industrial complex and none actually care about you. However, they will all lie to your face so you hear what you want to hear. Erm, not exactly. There's a way for the House to push a bill through. Basically a vote needs to be taken to let the temporary speaker act on a specific bill. It's not something that even gets discussed much, because being unable to elect a speaker is... Rare In fact it's why the two aid packages are being combined. The hope is that enough people want the Israel aid to happen that they'll stop complaining about Ukraine and it'll go through.(2.1)>>Joe Biden is trying to sweeten his pitch for more money .I don't understand how we can just give away 100bn yet can't pay workers a living wage what the actual fuck. Yes I understand there are problems out there yet we have issues right here in the USA. There's a war waging south of the border.Homes are expensive af. Wages stagnate Reminds me of one of my favorite quotes: they got money for war but they can't feed the poor. On top of the $4 billion paid annually to Israel?That would be a huge jump whatever proportion of that is Israeli.Any of it going to rebuild Gaza?Why do we always stick out nose in other countries business? 100B could go a long way here in the USA for our starving children, our homeless, our VA, Student loans… idk maybe I’m selfish but I don’t get why we can’t let them figure out their own problems.(3)>>It's all on purpose to create enough CHAOS in the American Government so any deal on the spending crisis on the Debt Ceiling could be stopped. Political debates over the debt ceiling and government shutdowns can be confusing for the public. This primer is intended to clarify the difference between the debt ceiling and a government shutdown while underscoring why the current situation is so fraught.Debt ceiling confrontations, unthinkable for most of US history, have become a feature of modern American politics. Only a few decades ago, the debt ceiling was adjusted as a matter of routine. But increasing polarization of American politics has made the debt ceiling a powerful weapon of political brinkmanship—waiting until the last minute to raise it.he most concerning scenario would entail the government failing to make scheduled payments of interest and principal on existing US debt because the government would have run out of cash to make those payments. A default in such payments would damage the standing of the federal government in financial markets and diminish the perceived trustworthiness of US debt in the eyes of worldwide participants in financial markets. Global financial markets might plunge into uncertainty and chaos, with unknown—and unknowable—consequences.(4)>> “was cussing at him,” and telling Gaetz “it’s all his fault,”. All of the Democrats voted against that rule change that McCarthy allowed as a condition of gaining the Speakership. But Matt asked them to help him oust McCarthy, and broke the rule that they never asked the Dems for anything. Won’t it be hysterical if a centralist GOP nominee, asks the Dems to vote him/her in. He also could have put the funding for ukraine vote up before the speaker one.But he did speaker first to try to for e dems to vote for him by using ukraine funding as leverage because he knew if dems didn't save him they knew there wouldn't ever be another speaker. The fact that the fights are being reported on by the participants, so all the world can see, only underscores the amount of dysfunction. I'm sure heated arguments occur on both sides, but the Democrats know better than to allow them to leak out in real time. McCarthy scolds Gaetz in GOP meeting: ‘Sit your ass down’. They are dysfunctional, corrupt and inept as he is. Nothing gets done because of infighting and fracturing of the party. GOP and Maga GOP are not the same. It's like oil and water.McCarthy tells Gaetz in GOP meeting: ‘Sit your ass down’-The Hill“Gaetz added. “I’m not a very emotional person, I’m a lawyer by trade”Funny, Gaetz has no experience as a lawyer except as a defendant in DUI, sexual assault & extortion charges. McCarthy could have made a deal with the democrats and won the first vote. What heinous concession are the democrats asking for? They want the ability to bring bipartisan bills to the floor for a vote. That’s it. Republicans have an extremely shitty rule where when they have the majority in the house, they will only bring Republican-majority pre-approved bills to a vote (so, shitty Republican bills only). They are subverting the will of the people. Fuck McCarthy and literally every Republican in Congress (and elsewhere too) .They don't want any laws passed anyway while Biden is in office because that might make him look good in some way and help him win re-election. Their whole agenda is to create chaos so Trump will win again because the general public is perceived as so unaware of how the political process actually works and will always blame the President and his party when things don't get done.(5)>>Still, this is not a new monster that the GOP has created. It all started when they alone decided to do brinkmanship politics with the government shutdown. Then some didn’t like it when they didn’t drive over that cliff. In other democracies, if this happen it would trigger a new election. That tempers members of a parliament from feeling adventurous. So I would say that the whole Gaetz-McCarthy thing is mostly due to a flawed implementation of a parliament. But within that flawed implementation, Gaetz is obviously a lit match in a tinder factory.That has got to be one of the absolutely least self aware arguments ever made. That has been their party’s only tactic since Obama, to the point that obstruction, delay, and shutdown are their primary governing strategy. Do you think they may actually be starting to realize how much they suck?I know it’s actually worse than that. They know how damaging it is to the American people, but literally can’t get past the political theater in order to govern because they were never there to govern in the first place. The theatrics is why they were there, and that’s what they are doing. Hire drama queens, get drama. (6)>>The extreme instability of the situation means it may be a good idea to look at what would happen if the House is Speakerless for an extended period of time. It's just funny that this attempt by Gaetz has probably ended Jordan's chances of ever getting to the speakership. Gaetz is holding a bloody knife in his hand as he complains about Jordan getting knifed. Yeah, it happened in 1855-1856. The lead up to the Civil War was just pure political chaos.They weren't able to elect a Speaker for two months.What happens is that... the House can't pass any laws. So the country can't pass any laws. Which basically leaves us without a functional government. 1923. I read it took somewhere around 2 months back then! That's why this is so hilarious and embarrassing for these "conservatives". They just continue to perpetual of MAGA politics. I digress, they cannot assign committees and even finish swearing in members of the house without leadership. If they take all year, they will get NOTHING done (which in actuality is a good thing, keep them infighting and we'll (moderates, who make up 65% of the country still) keep the ship straight). So conspiracy theory: Of the 18 of the 20 Republicans who originally voted against McCarthy (Biggs, Boebert, Crane, Good, Rosendale, Bishop, Brecheen, Cloud, Clyde, Donalds, Gosar, Harris, Paulina Luna, Miller, Norman, Ogles, Perry, and Roy) are members of the Freedom Caucus with Jordan. Gaetz also voted for Jordan, though not actually a member but instead just associated with them. For ballots 1-8 most of them voted for either Biggs, Donalds, or Jordan (or Trump for Gaetz). Some voted for Hern for a couple ballots (who is not Freedom Caucus but if Gaetz voted for him that tells you all you need to know). Then the last 6 hold outs (Biggs, Beobert, Crane, Gaetz, Good, and Rosendale) voted for either Hern, Jordan, or Biggs before voting present to end things. And what did Jordan do this whole time? Like the "team player" he is Jordan voted for McCarthy all 15 rounds and always talked about unity. He kept telling people to vote for McCarthy.Fast forward to the motion to vacate and you have some familiar names in Biggs, Crane, Gaetz, Good, with Buck and Rosendale being new Freedom Caucus additions. The only outliers are Burchett and Mace.In both of those votes the only ones who aren't election deniers are Brecheen, Roy, Mace, and Buck (though he did sow doubt prior to the election).Finally we're at the Speaker votes and we put our tinfoil hats on. Who gets put forward against Scalise? Jordan. And when Scalise gets pressured to step away by Trump and his supporters it's Jordan who steps in. Jordan, who is Freedom Caucus through and through and yet has really toned down going into both votes as if he's trying to appear reasonable. And I think that was the plan all along. Jordan has established himself as a stand out Republican, even if it's not for actually doing his job as a legislator, but he also is known for his aggressive personality. So I believe that the far-right has been waiting for an opportunity to attempt to put one of their own, a prominent, far-right, very pro-Trump, election denier, in the position of Speaker and who better than Jim Jordan? Clearly they wanted an opportunity to remove McCarthy, since they're the ones who pushed to get the one member vacate rule, but they knew whoever they put up in earnest had to be appear reluctant and party focused. So Gaetz took on the role of villain (a rooenhe was spawned to play) which would let Jordan be the hero that saves the conference. If it wasn't for those pesky no spine RINOs...
Monday, October 16, 2023
WILL BIBI Netanyahu SURVIVE ?
HAMAS KILLED THE PEACE . AND BIBI Netanyahu Ruined THE ISRAELI NATION . |
So the last major Intel failure in Israel led to the Yom Kippur War which was not Israel's best moment. The fallout basically ended Mapei's dominance of Israel politics and led to the rise of Likud. The recent killings of Israeli civilians are horrific. There can be no justification for the slaughter of innocents, whether in Israel or Gaza. (1)>>BIBI Netanyahu made probably the worst mistake in Israeli history . AS far as the Israeli intelligence given warnings of possible Hamas attacks from the CIA ,EGYPT Bibi sat on this for almost a month before shit hit the fan and many innocent Israelis died . It would seem that Israelis will hold Bibi accountable for fanning the flames and failing to secure the nation.One man (2)>>(Bibi) alone couldn't make this disaster happen, others had to concur and stand down in various ways. They will band together to prevent any investigation concluding (much like what happened w/ 9/11 Commission). I think this may be it for him when the smoke clears.Especially since we already know that while his was fighting with protesters the US was sending Intel an attack was being planned.Let’s look at other facts. How in the world,did Israeli intelligence services miss an attack of this scale completely? They literally have spies and informants everywhere,particularly in Palestinian Territories. Apparently Egypt had warned them 10 days ago that something big was coming. (3)>>Let’s not forgot that Netanyahu was facing historic protests due to his judicial reforms which was causing a huge schism within Israeli society. Nobody will be talking about those reforms for a while now. It's more likely that US intelligence agencies planned to let the attack occur so they could use it as justification to further their own ends. This is exactly what happened when they used 9-11 to enact the neo-cons plan to invade Iraq.They knew.
DESTROY GAZA . Israeli Bibi Government wants to wipe out Palestinians . Perfect excuse for the unpopular (4)>>Netanyahu to consolidate power and put Gaza under complete submission. "Gotta break a few eggs" is the favorite slogan for the sadistic "ends justify the means" types. But historically in Israel people have held the leader to account for intelligence failures and its not clear to me that there is a clear difference in the perception of patriotism between the right and left the way there is in the US.Also one critical factor that remains to be seen is the fate of the hostages. I think it was 15 years ago or so, but Israel traded over 1000 prisoners to get one hostage back. Making sure everyone comes home is extraordinarily important. Now, this attack may have hardened that perspective....I'm not sure. But if those hostages are killed.....I could see Bibi getting blamed with significant political and personal consequences. This strains credulity to me that a state that is in a constant uh mode of alert with multiple warnings from outside intelligence agencies would have not doubled down on security at that time now I maybe I'm wrong I I'd have to hear the argument that he made but that fact pattern yeah combined with their motivation to get Palestinians out of that region suggests to me that they probably let it happen well . (5)>>It would seem that Israelis will hold Bibi accountable for fanning the flames and failing to secure the nation. I think this may be it for him when the smoke clears. The public is being played for fools while the military-industrial complex enriches itself. As if Israel ever was the underdog with the backing of all the Western superpowers. It’s incredible how an oppressor can have such a victim mentality, he most likely believes his own lies. Can you hate the state of Israel without hating Jews, yes. Can you hate salafists and other religious extremists without hating all Muslims, yes. Can you hate Putin while reading Dostoyevsky, yes. Does acknowledging that both Russia and Ukraine has issues with corruption and neo-nazi groups make you support an offensive war and war crimes, no. I’m starting to lean more and more towards the old Russian futurists. Burn it all down to build something better. He has gotten exactly what he wanted,to butcher more Palestinians and steal more land and build more illegal settlements.
BIBI Netanyahu the Dictator as BEST.
Israel has an extensive history of false flags. They have absolutely no real interest in peace, because conflict is their pretext for expansion and colonization and bilking aid dollars.So I think Israel would let a couple hundred ravers get shot to glass Gaza City? Absolutely.They almost got away with sinking the USS Liberty to get the US into a war with Egypt, with absolutely no consequences for them.I think a Netanyahu went from being five minutes away from being called a dictator in his own country to a Father of the Nation? Don’t worry about his party, he will keep it together. There is no politician in Israel at the moment (or in foreseeable future) who can really take on him. Also, globally speaking, Israel has been slowly but steadily becoming more and more of a villain for everyone in the civilized world. I don’t know if this trend has been reversed completely, but it is certainly set aside for a while.Israel has some of the best intelligence services and their mossad is 100% on point. This will likely be (6)>>the end of Netanyahu after the war is over though. Same type of intelligence failure happened in 1973 which essentially forced the resignation of the PM, Golda Meir, after the war.They are the gold standard for national defense. No way in hell that Israel was unaware that this was coming.
NOTES AND COMMENTS : (1)>>BIBI Netanyahu made probably the worst mistake in Israeli history . Well he was just a couple months ago busy trying to overthrow their current judicial system and effectively install himself as a dictator which everyone was pretty upset about. I wouldn't be surprised if the current "intelligence oversight" was a last ditch attempt to consolidate power but he'd have to be pretty monstrous to do that so I doubt that was actually the case. If he manages to overcome hamas entirely and drive out the last of the Palestinians I could see that rallying support for him. The only thing that makes sense given the conflicting intelligence reports and the shocking brutality of the attack is Hamas’ forces went out of control. It seems plausible their plan was to attack IDF bases as a diversion while kidnapping civilians to be held for ransom. There’s no way Iran would’ve signed off on what happened or Netanyahu would’ve let it happened. But instead of a professional army, Hamas had a poorly trained rabble of angry young men. And like always has happened in warfare, they went out of control and massacred civilians. Now everything’s escalating out of control and there’s no clear way out.(2)>>(Bibi) alone couldn't make this disaster happen. My whole thing is that Bibi has been known for being an authoritarian. If he does something bold to appease hard liners, he might get to keep office. What’s the end game for allowing an attack to take place though? This surely isn’t a good thing for Netanyahu’s government? It’s going to tear his party to pieces, just think Israel may have the world on his side right now, but surely there will be hardliners within his party and government that will push hard for them to fully occupy West Bank. If they were to occupy West Bank surely the international opinion would sour and if he doesn’t move to occupy then he’s just facing down dissent within his own party. Not to mention the fact that now Lebanon may feel emboldened to make a move. I just don’t see what the upshot in not acting on such intelligence would be it seems like a lose/lose/lose situation. Yes. It was a double holiday. Your surprise shows how little you know about the history. They literally did the same thing on Yom Kippur 50 years ago. That president was removed from office. Seems pretty stupid to do the exact same thing but worse and not only expect to keep your office but think it’s going to somehow help.The rave was in a forested area right outside of Gaza which isn’t very populated.The electric fence was disabled from inside Israel and then hit with bulldozers to open room.(3)>>Let’s not forgot that Netanyahu was facing historic protests due to his judicial reforms which was causing a huge schism within Israeli society. JUST & months ago Hundreds of thousands of Israelis rallied against the government's judicial plans on Saturday night, in what organisers said were the biggest street protests in Israel's history.Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu says the changes - which would curb the power of courts - will restore balance between the branches of government. Opponents say they threaten democracy. Israel is shifting into a fascist apartheid state, that's not some weird phrasing, its what the UN says and if the UN is telling you, your'e going too far, you have really fucked up. The demonstrators, mostly Israelis, carried Israeli flags that said, “Free in our land,” a line from the national anthem, and chanted, “Democracy or rebellion” and “shame” to the beat of a snare drum.“If there won’t be equality, we’ll take down the government, you came down on the wrong generation,” they chanted, in a refrain from the protest movement in Israel.He mainly wants to severely weaken the supreme court's checks on the government.For example, the supreme court can now overturn certain actions by the government on account of being "unreasonable". Netanyahu wants to cancel that.The Supreme Court can overrule any law by the Knesset (the Israeli legislature) with the reasoning that it is unconstitutional (Israel doesn't quite have a constitution, but it does have a set of basic laws that serve as a proto-constitution). Netanyahu wants to make it harder for them to do so (need a bigger majority) and also give the Knesset the ability to override this decision with a simple majority.Judges are picked by a committee which includes politicians, lawyers and judges. Netanyahu wants to change the composition of this committee making it more political, so the ruling party has a majority in deciding who can be a judge.(4)>>Netanyahu to consolidate power and put Gaza under complete submission. "Gotta break a few eggs" is the favorite slogan for the sadistic "ends justify the means". In a video statement posted Monday to X, formerly Twitter, Belarra called on the Spanish government to launch a petition for the ICC to investigate Netanyahu over allegedly "carrying out a planned genocide in the Gaza Strip" in retaliation for the October 7 surprise attack by Islamist militant group Hamas. The apocalyptic scenes and sounds in Gaza are proof that a cruel, occupying army is intent on achieving its overarching aim: the annihilation of what remains of an already shattered slice of land and the indiscriminate killing of helpless, exhausted children, women and men.Over decades, a succession of immune Israeli governments and their useful proxies, the rampaging settler militias, have waged incremental genocide, bit by bit, with the explicit approval, consent, and encouragement of Western governments – who, in a predictable show of performative solidarity with a ruthless ally – have bathed their tourist attractions in blue and white or the Star of David.The final and most crucial factor is international support. After speaking to President Biden, Netanyahu reported back that Western leaders had “promised Israel would have freedom of action to continue this battle.” No official U.S. statement has directly urged Israel to show restraint. Ethnic cleansing and genocide can happen anywhere. It happens when international powers provide carte blanche, a blank check or signal of unconditional support in the face of expected violence. The Israeli military is now launching what it has called an “extensive attack” on Gaza. One need only listen to the words of those in charge to fear that ethnic cleansing may be afoot. “We are fighting human animals and we are acting accordingly,” Defense Minister Yoav Gallant said on Monday as he announced a complete siege of Gaza, blocking any food or water. More than 300,000 Palestinians have already been displaced. Without a hint of irony, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told civilians in Gaza to “get out now.” But under siege, Gazans have nowhere to go. From Netanyahu's public address to the people of Israel:"We’re hitting “our enemies with unprecedented force,” he went on, but “I stress: It’s only the beginning. Our enemies have only just begun to pay the price. I won’t detail what will come next. But I’m telling you, it’s only the beginning.”He has already broken international law. Proportional response is what is needed, not scorched earth.(5)>>It would seem that Israelis will hold Bibi accountable for fanning the flames and failing to secure the nation. In any event he hopes to transform this moment to his own maximum advantage (his calls for a "unity government," like his saber-rattling, seem transparently self-serving).Netanyahu is talking of a prolong war which means time buying for his term. Ordinary people on both sides of the question are paying a horrid price for Bibi's neuroses, and his colossal vanity.The disaster that befell Israel on the holiday of Simchat Torah is the clear responsibility of one person: Benjamin Netanyahu. The prime minister, who has prided himself on his vast political experience and irreplaceable wisdom in security matters, completely failed to identify the dangers he was consciously leading Israel into when establishing a government of annexation and dispossession.Netanyahu and by proxy the US are largely to blame, as the US pretends it's on some moral high horse in Ukraine while it enabled Israel to impose apartheid upon the Palestinian people. It was only a matter of time and now Israel has it's excuse to openly massacre Palestinians, now with media coverage that will obsess about the war while it ignores the oppression.(6)>>the end of Netanyahu after the war is over though. An overwhelming majority of 86% of respondents, including 79% of coalition supporters, said the surprise attack from Gaza is a failure of the country's leadership.Four out of five Jewish Israelis believe the government and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu are to blame for the mass infiltration of Hamas terrorists into Israel and the massacre that followed, a new Dialog Center poll released on Thursday found. Obviously it’s one poll and being taken immediately after the attack but Israelis seem to be firmly blaming Bibi for allowing this attack to happen. Netanyahu should’ve expected an attack. It was the 50th anniversary of the Yom Kippur War - the single most predictable day ever for an attack. Egyptian Intelligence reportedly warned Israel days in advance that they suspected this.Instead, Netanyahu divided and distracted the country with his judicial power-grab, pulled troops away from Gaza, and was totally distracted and caught off guard by the attack. Far more Israelis were killed because of it.Israelis get this, and when the dust settles, there will be accountability in government over this travesty. Starting with the PM. This conflict is very complicated and comprises multiple groups behaving in understandable and human ways which unfortunately result in mass human suffering. What can the population of Gaza, overwhelmingly younger than 30, reasonably do about Hamas? Are they really responsible for their parent's failures? Can they be expected not to radicalize when they live in abject poverty and their families are killed? Can Israelis be expected to have sympathy for their plight when they indiscriminately fire rockets at them and have spent the past 70 years fighting for their annihilation? Can they be expected to give up settlements when they were rewarded for withdrawing from Gaza by the ascendance of Hamas? The sad reality is that both sides have been too traumatized to care about the trauma of the other.