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| We should be all thinking who is going to pay for the rebuilding of Ukraine if the war ever ends . Kharkiv in Ruins . |
With all the sympathy towards the people of Ukraine . There is a lingering question . Who ever wins the war . Either Russia or Ukraine, someone has to rebuild that country. WHO is going to fork up the trillions of dollars ? (1)>>Now out of touch , probably war delusional , Zelenskyy said, "We are already working on programs to rebuild our country after the war. I am confident that we will be able to rebuild our state quickly. Whatever the damage ... It will be a historical reconstruction, a project that will inspire the world". Yes what a word "inspire ". (1.2)>>The Truth , Ukraine is a F**cken mess. Ukraine was a dirt poor hell hole before a war flattened it, a chunk of its people died and another chunk fled to Europe. Lots of people have changed their face book photo but I'm not sure hundreds of billions of dollars will follow to pay for reconstruction .Yes, it has lots of oil , a lot of oil that it can't sell because of American go Joe Biden Green polices . Even the oil could not pay for all the reconstruction. The cost thus far has included financial sanctions and possible criminal liability for war crimes, but it should not end there. If (2)>>Ukraine manages to repel Putin’s army and regain its independence, it will need a massive influx of cash to recover and rebuild Why the conflict in Ukraine is going on . Why it happened . Am against any war first . I see the how this war devastation has ruined Ukraine . Costs of war lives , people and buildings .There is question here. After this war ends , hopefully it will not get worse . (3)>>Who is going to rebuild Ukraine ? . Is it Russia ? Or the US ? China ? The estimate cost of the war plus minus the Ruble , the Dollar , Yuan could exceed into hundreds of trillions of $€¥£ , that would exceed entire budgets of combined EU , US , UK , Russia and China . Consequence is famine , displacement of population , world economic consequence . SO FAR since 2014 , the United States has spent nearly a trillion dollars in Ukraine in Weapons . Now that a humanitarian crisis looms in Europe , the disaster could through the EU into a frenzy . NOW Estimates are up to 10 years or more at this point.I think it’s a complex issue, because while normally reconstruction of a country takes decades, I feel like Ukraine will have a stupendously large amount of volunteers and funds to start clearing and building back fast, once the border were to be secured If Ukraine is fully rebuilt . It really depends on how fast the money comes in for the rebuilding. I JUST CAN SEE (4)>>AMERICA forking up MONEY on this rebuild [American Tax payer sucked up the tab] for this . The problem is that much of Ukraine won't be a pleasant place to live while the construction is going on. (5)>>Making over 10 million people NOT homeless is going to be a logistical mess. A lot of these refugees may not start returning for years, if at all. Population flow may be negative for quite a while after hostilities cease. Remember how catastrophic this is for the economies of the EU, and the US because they may have to house these refugees . If Russia is not completely curb-stomped and the threat of another invasion looms, Ukraine may not recover.The Ukraine war has barely started. Honestly, if you think it’s over or even almost, then you truly do not know what’s going on. Eastern, southeastern, and parts of northern Ukraine are about to get more shellacked. If Ukraine troops go east to come come behind Russian troops, Belarus will probably flank them along with Russian troops from Crimea.The task will be made more difficult by the fact that Ukraine is now effectively cut off from international financial markets and its (6)>>Hryvnia currency has collapsed.Some EU politicians have called for the use of Russian assets frozen by the West, including some $300 billion of Russian central bank reserves, as reconstruction money for Ukraine once the aggression ends.Although the outcome of the war is uncertain, one can start thinking about the future reconstruction of Ukraine. The war might last two years to be exact , prolonged by NATO- US weapons proliferation . However, the cost of reconstruction increases with every additional day of the war and at any increasing rate.
NOTES AND COMMENTS:
(1)>>Now out of touch , probably war delusional , Zelenskyy. I am constrained to ask, what type of man is this? Is he delusional or does he just pretend to be? I cannot possibly describe him as a hero.Yet, the bitter truth is that all that President Volodymyr Zelensky has to do to stop the relentless slaughter of his people is to state clearly and categorically that Ukraine will never join NATO, that Ukraine will never allow foreign military bases on her soil and that Ukraine will maintain her neutrality like Sweden and Finland.He also has to allow the Russian-speaking people of Donetsk and Eastern Ukraine to exercise their right of self-determination and either form their own independent country or become part of Russia. Finally, he has to renounce Ukraine’s claim to Crimea and accept the fact that this strategically-placed seaport and region is now, and will always be part and parcel of Russia.Instead of offering these guarantees and taking these steps, he is giving fine speeches to western parliaments whilst his people are being slaughtered and butchered in their churches, offices, homes and houses and whilst his villages, towns and cities are being bombed, burnt, bombarded and utterly destroyed.(1.2)>>The Truth , Ukraine is a F**cken mess .Ukraine’s grubby politicians and oligarchs have tried to frustrate Western aims without openly defying them. The corruption is decades long fueled by US interests against Russia .Ukraine’s anti-corruption reforms haven’t yet brought its oligarchs to justice. Now Ukraine is a mess , battered looking like the Gaza strip in a more gigantic form . The "west" dubiously should have "known" the consequence of a Russian invasion for along time. Instead the war hawks in the US were trying to checker a deal with Ukraine's oligarchs for oil consumption . In between this , Ukraine was engaged in a civil war fighting the Russian separatists in the east for nearly eight years and it was not well reported in the western media . World leaders should be making a greater effort to get a ceasefire in Ukraine. This raises the suspicion that some leaders want this war to continue in the hope that it will result in a civil war in Russia. A civil war in Russia could result in China backing one side and NATO backing the other side? A sure prescription for World War 3?(2)>>Ukraine manages to repel Putin’s army and regain its independence. When planning his invasion of Ukraine, Putin could count on many known facts. He knew that militarily Russia dwarfs Ukraine. He knew that Nato would not send troops to help Ukraine. He knew that European dependence on Russian oil and gas would make countries like Germany hesitate about imposing stiff sanctions. Based on these known facts, his plan was to hit Ukraine hard and fast, decapitate its government, establish a puppet regime in Kyiv, and ride out the western sanctions.But there was one big unknown about this plan. As the Americans learned in Iraq and the Soviets learned in Afghanistan, it is much easier to conquer a country than to hold it. (3)>>Who is going to rebuild Ukraine ? . Is it Russia ? Or the US ? China ? The estimate cost of the war plus minus the Ruble , the Dollar , Yuan could exceed into hundreds of trillions of $€¥£ , that would exceed entire budgets of combined EU , US , UK , Russia and China . To ADD MORE to the economic chaos of combined budgets it would be impossible to bring Ukraine back as a whole nation . The rebuilding of Ukraine promises to be one of the most challenging and ambitious undertakings of the twenty-first century. The task ahead requires a comprehensive approach that goes far beyond funding the reconstruction of Ukraine’s devastated infrastructure and ruined cities . According to preliminary estimates, $565 billion is needed to rebuild Ukraine after the war with Russia. That is just a 'estimate' but it not complete if you add the Ukraine population . My estimate could be over 100 trillion dollars . No one NATION has no budget that would fill a reconstruction project that would take decades . (4)>>AMERICA forking up MONEY on this rebuild.With all this Ukraine.. what about.. i dunno… the people suffering in our own Country!? Can we cut them millions of tax payer money?8 months to pass a $600 stimi for Americans. 8 hours to pass a $14mil care package for another country. And they got raises..!?! They must have to pay for their own gas. This makes me think of the aid (American Tax Dollars) sent to Ukraine. Does anyone honest with themselves truly believe a dime of that went to the actual people of Ukraine? Or was it to replenish their slush fund assets that Russia froze? I wonder...How much money has been given to Ukraine since the start of the conflict? (All countries combined)What is the value of any military equipment provided to Ukraine? (All countries combined)What was the amount of the 2021 national tax revenue of Ukraine?Who is going to pay to restore Ukraine after the conflict? How much will that cost?There is a lot of money changing hands. Some accountability would be nice.I predict untold billions or even trillions will be poured into Ukraine after the war and it will be a gigantic clusterfuck in which money intended for rebuilding a city just vanishes and ends up in some oligarchs pocket. (5)>>Making over 10 million people NOT homeless. The Invasion triggers the worst refugee crisis since WWII. NOT as MUCH Russian aggression , but the U.S. Proxy war with a puppet government , the Ukrainian people caught in the middle.There are now almost as many Ukrainian refugees as there were Afghan refugees fleeing the (first) Taliban regime in 2001, according to figures compiled by the UN High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR). They represent about 9.1% of Ukraine’s pre-invasion population of about 41.1 million – ranking the current crisis 16th among 28 major refugee crises by share of population. This whole thing is extremely expensive . Biden announced that the US will resettle 100,000 Ukrainian refugees. He also pledged $1B to on-the-ground humanitarian aid to the displaced, both in Ukraine as well as neighboring countries. It can be argued that Ukraine government’s phenomenal PR strategy during this crisis has helped convince other nations to be more welcoming. But, that doesn’t account for the drastic difference in reception of these two groups of civilians in need of refuge. It feels like the willingness to allow refuge of displaced individuals is tied to an overarching feeling that one group of individuals is worth more than another. One significant difference between the groups being their skin color. Many nations have freely opened their borders to Ukrainian refugees. The narrative in the mass media and social media has largely been “visas have been waived, we’re here to support you.” Comparatively, when Syrian, Lebanese, and other refugees of color sought refuge in neighboring countries in past years, they were met with reluctant acceptance or sometimes, outright denial. The narrative always included a discussion about lack of housing, the increased job competition, an increase in crime, and so on.(6)>>Hryvnia currency. Is the National Bank of Ukraine propping up Ukrainian currency? I'm curious to understand what's happening.Ukraine’s crisis of politics and territorial integrity has left its mark on the exchange rate of Ukraine’s currency, the Hryvnia.The value of Ukraine’s hryvnia to the dollar plummeted as Russia launched an attack on Ukraine on February 24, falling to just under UAH30 to the dollar. I have just read with horror that Ukrainian refugees who fled here with all their cash are no longer able to exchange their money into Euros and many are now left with no funds at all in addition to the terrible war, the loss of their homes and presumably many of their loved ones. The total amount of aid the U.S. is providing Ukraine exceeds the $13.6 billion in the spending package. Which is weapons , not material sustenance for reconstruction . Humanitarian needs will also be stark. This is not a black and white situation. Even if the entire Ukrainian government is corrupt and serves only to launder money for global elites, there are still a few million women and children being forced out of their homes into neighboring countries. They’re innocent and are actual refugees unlike the millions of economic migrants which poured into Western Europe for the last 10 years. I don’t trust the mainstream media at all, but denying these people sanctuary is not the way. Post war resources are required to re-build infrastructure, so I guess steel, forest, water, electricity, oil would be required.
